High Wind in California, November 7 to 8, 2002

INTERIOR CENTRAL CALIFORNIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
300 PM PST THU NOV 7 2002

NEXT IMPULSE OF ENERGY NOW APPROACHING THE CALIFORNIA COAST.
SATELLITE DERIVED RAINFALL RATES RUNNING AS HIGH AS ONE HALF INCH
PER HOUR OVER THE OPEN SEAS WITH THIS ACTION. WITH A 120KT H25 JET
REACHING THE STATE LATE TONIGHT ALONG WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
SYSTEM HUKO...EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO GREATLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY OVERNIGHT. THIS IS PARTICULARLY TRUE ALONG THE
WINDWARD SIERRA...WHERE ELEVATIONS ABOVE 8000 FEET CAN EXPECT VERY
HEAVY SNOWFALL. IMPRESSIVE DYNAMICS CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AS TROPICAL
PLUME CONTINUES TO ADD SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE. STILL BELIEVE RAIN
SHADOWING WILL GREATLY REDUCE TOTAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
VALLEY...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A COUPLE OF INCHES BEFORE
ALL IS SAID AND DONE LATE SATURDAY AS ADDITIONAL DISTURBANCES RIDE
IN ON THE FAST NEARLY ZONAL FLOW. WINDS WILL ALSO BE A SIGNIFICANT
FACTOR ACROSS ALL MOUNTAINOUS AREAS AND THE KERN DESERTS. WITH THE
HEAVY RAINFALL...THE THREAT OF FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS THE BURN
AREAS OF TULARE COUNTY AND HAVE KEPT FFA IN EFFECT.   BURGER

IN THE EXTENDED...LONG RANGE SOLUTIONS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND SHOW
STORM TRACK STAYING NORTH OF THE CWA MON AND TUE WHILE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE BUILDS INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CA. THIS WILL PROVIDE AN
IDEAL SETUP FOR NIGHT AND MORNING FOG FORMATION IN THE SJ VLY...ESP
EARLY TUE MORNING WHEN INVERSION IS AT ITS STRONGEST AND SFC PRES
GRADIENTS AND WIND IS LIGHT. RIDGE IS FLATTENED BY A WEAK SHORT WAVE
TROUGH TRAVERSING THE CWA LATE TUE NIGHT AND/OR WED. MOISTURE IS
RATHER LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM...SO EXPECT LITTLE MORE THAN SOME
MID LEVEL CLOUDS AS IT PASSES THRU CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY. THE GFS
MODEL FORECASTS AN INCREASE IN ONSHORE PRS GRADIENTS WED RESULTING
IN BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE KERN CO MTNS AND
DESERT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD BACK ACROSS CENTRAL
CA THU WITH GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES. HOWEVER...THERE MIGHT BE SOME
STRATOCU BANKING UP AT THE SOUTH END AND EAST SIDE OF THE SJ VLY
AGAIN WED NIGHT/THU AM AS TROF EXITS INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND NW
FLOW ALIGNS FROM THE 1000-500 MB LEVEL.   DURFEE

.HNX...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA...NORTH
       OF KERN COUNTY...AND ABOVE 8000 FEET...TONIGHT THROUGH
       SATURDAY NIGHT.
    ...WIND ADVISORY FOR KERN MOUNTAINS AND KERN DESERTS TONIGHT
       AND FRIDAY.
    ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY FOR THE MANTER AND
       MCNALLY BURN AREAS OF TULARE COUNTY.

CAZ089>099-081330-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
429 PM PST THU NOV 7 2002

UPDATED FOR WIND ADVISORY AND FLOOD STATEMENT

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR.

UPDATED FOR WINTER STORM WARNING AND HIGH WIND WATCH

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A PACIFIC STORM WILL REACH CENTRAL CALIFORNIA THURSDAY...BRINGING
THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RAIN TO THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR
AND HEAVY SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SIERRA THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO BRING HIGH WINDS TO THE MOUNTAINS
AND DESERTS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD
HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY IS LOW.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN
SIERRA NEVADA ABOVE 7000 FEET...NORTH OF KERN COUNTY...FOR THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...SFOWSWHNX...OR WMO I.D. WWUS46 KHNX.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST WIND ADVISORY FOR THE KERN COUNTY
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS...SFONPWHNX...OR WMO I.D. WWUS76 KHNX.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENT FOR THE MANTER AND MCNALLY
BURN AREAS OF TULARE COUNTY...SFOFLSHNX...OR WMO I.D. WGUS86 KHNX.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

SANGER