Michigan, 2001

Hail in Michigan, May 25, 2001

May 25, 2001 · NWS APX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 hail, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 25, 2:50 PM EST, 5 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 25, 2:50 PM EST, 5 hours 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
350 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2001

UPPER LOW WAS CENTERED OVER NORTHERN INDIANA THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE
MAIN SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WAS LOCATED OVER
WISCONSIN...WITH MOST PRONOUNCED SURFACE TROUGHING EXTENDING FROM
THIS FEATURE EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN MI. EAST OF THE UPPER LOW...A
SHORTWAVE WAS ROTATING NW ACROSS NW LOWER MICHIGAN...ENHANCING
SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THERE...WHILE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WAS
APPROACHING NW OH AND HEADING NORTH. FINALLY...A LONG BAND OF
ENHANCED MOISTURE/PRECIP COVERAGE...UNDER BAND OF STRONGEST WINDS AT
850-250 MB...WRAPPED AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LOW FROM THE
SE US ACROSS LAKE HURON.

FORECAST CONCERNS CENTER TIMING OF FEATURES ROTATING THROUGH PARENT
LOW AND ASSOCIATED POPS THROUGH MEMORIAL DAY.

NW SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIT NORTHEAST
COUNTIES DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...BUT PER 12Z MODELS CENTER OF
UPPER LOW WILL LIFT N...WHILE NW OH SHORTWAVE WILL PUSH NORTH
AND INTO EASTERN COUNTIES OF N LOWER MICHIGAN AROUND MIDNIGHT.
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE WIDESPREAD WITH THESE UPSTREAM FEATURES...
SO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN FORECAST
FOR THE WEST AND THE EAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. PER UPSTREAM RADAR
TRENDS AND FORECAST TRACKS OF UPSTREAM FEATURES...PRECIP COVERAGE IN
CENTRAL COUNTIES FROM HTL THROUGH GLR TO CHEBOYGAN MAY BE SCATTERED
THROUGH THE EVENING...AND WILL MAKE FINAL DECISION AT ISSUANCE TIME.
MEANWHILE...AS UPPER LOW LIFTS NORTH...12Z MODELS SUGGEST THAT
AS UPPER LOW LIFTS NORTH TONIGHT...AREA OF MEAN 850-500 MB RELATIVE
HUMIDITY GREATER THAT 70 PERCENT...NOW ASSOCIATED WITH UPSTREAM
THUNDERSTORMS...WILL PUSH INTO AT LEAST SW COUNTIES AND WILL KEEP
NUMEROUS SHOWERS GOING THERE OVERNIGHT. FINALLY...PLUME OF DEEP
MOISTURE STREAMING NW ACROSS LAKE HURON WILL SPREAD INTO EASTERN
UPPER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING...FARTHER WEST THAN INDICATED BY
12 MODELS...AS OH SHORTWAVE PUSHES NORTH...SO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN ORDER THERE THIS EVENING. THEN...AS
UPPER LOW CIRCULATION SPREADS OUT OVERNIGHT...AXIS OF DEEP LAYER
STRONG WINDS WILL SHIFT N/E OF THE EASTERN UP...AND PRECIP COVERAGE
WILL DIMINISH OR DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT.

LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT A CLOSED SURFACE LOW MAY BE
DEVELOPING OVER SW MI THIS AFTERNOON...IF THIS FEATURE HOLDS
TOGETHER AND PUSHES UP INTO SOUTHERN COUNTIES THIS EVENING...LOW
LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL BE ENHANCED...AND EVENING SHIFT WILL NEED TO
MONITOR THUNDERSTORMS CLOSE TO LOW FOR LOW LEVEL ROTATION.

SATURDAY...EXCEPT FOR LINGERING SHOWERS (AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS)
CLOSEST TO UPPER LOW IN THE W/SW...DAY WILL START OFF WITH AREAS OF
FOG BUT NOT MUCH PRECIP. THEN...AS NORTHERN/WESTERN WILL BE IN A
SIMILAR REGIME AS N IN/W OH/S MI...WITH 500 MB TEMPS FORECAST TO
FALL A DEGREE OR TWO FROM THOSE OF THIS MORNING (-24C)...SO SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD...WITH AT LEAST LIKELY POPS
IN ORDER...SATURDAY AFTERNOON. IN THE EAST...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE IS
FORECAST TO ROTATE THROUGH PARENT LOW FROM SE MI TO NE MI
18Z-0Z...AND THIS FEATURE WILL ENHANCE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
THERE...SO WILL FORECAST LIKELY POPS EVEN IN THE EAST SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...AND PERHAPS INTO MEMORIAL
DAY...MODELS AGREE THAT ANOTHER SHOT OF DEEP MOISTURE/DEEP LAYER QG
FORCING WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION FROM THE S/SW LATE SATURDAY OR
SATURDAY NIGHT. ALSO...MODELS NOW ADVERTISE THAT SURFACE LOW OVER
WISCONSIN WILL INTENSIFY AND WILL ROTATE INTO S/CENTRAL MI BY
SATURDAY EVENING...ENHANCING LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. THEN...THE 12Z
AVN/UKMET FORECASTS SUGGEST THAT SURFACE LOW AND DEEP MOISTURE
WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION...JUSTIFYING AT LEAST LIKELY POPS WITH A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.EXTENDED...EXCEPT FOR CANADIAN MODEL...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS
GRADUALLY PUSH THE SURFACE/UPPER LOW EAST OF THE REGION MEMORIAL
DAY. HOWEVER...ENOUGH CYCLONIC FLOW/MOISTURE WILL PERSIST TO JUSTIFY
A CONTINUED MENTION OF SHOWERS (WITH PM THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE). IN
FACT...6Z AVN SUGGESTS THAT THE DAY WILL START WITH DEEP
MOISTURE/WIDESPREAD PRECIP...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN. TUESDAY FORECAST IS TRICKY. CANADIAN MODEL HOLDS THE
SFC/UPPER LOWS OVER THE REGION LONGEST...BUT TREND IS MORE
PROGRESSIVE THAN PREVIOUS RUNS. MEANWHILE...ALL MODELS SUGGEST THAT
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO OR PASS THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA AT
SOME POINT DURING TUESDAY. 0Z MRF/6Z AVN MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH
STRENGTH OF COLD FROPA...ENOUGH SO TO CONVINCE ME TO LOWER TEMPS
JUST A BIT TUE-WED FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST...BUT FRONT WILL PUSH
THROUGH RAIN FREE AS IT ENCOUNTERS AREA OF DRYING/SUBSIDENCE IN WAKE
OF DEPARTING UPPER LOW. 0Z UKMET EVEN SUGGESTS THAT SURFACE BOUNDARY
WILL STALL OVER THE SOUTH...WITH AN ENHANCED CHANCE FOR (ESPECIALLY
PM) SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THERE...BUT SURFACE BOUNDARY SHOULD
KEEP PUSHING SOUTH GIVEN NW STEERING FLOW. FOR NOW...WILL CONTINUE
CURRENT DRY FORECASTS FOR TUESDAY. THEN...MRF AGAIN SUGGESTS THAT
RIDGING/WARMING TREND WILL DOMINATE THE WED-FRIDAY TIME PERIOD.
EUROPEAN MODEL SUGGESTS A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY
AS A SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW/COLD FRONT APPROACH THE
REGION...THE SAME SYSTEM THAT WAS FORECAST TO PUSH THROUGH THE
REGION WEDNESDAY IN THE PREVIOUS RUN. LATEST RUN OF THE EUROPEAN IS
CLOSER TO MRF...SUGGESTING A DEEPER TOUGH TO THE EAST AND STRONGER
RIDGING OVER THE FORECAST AREA...RESULTING IN A SLOWER/FARTHER NORTH
TRACK/WEAKENING TREND FOR APPROACHING FOR SHORTWAVES. STILL FEEL
THAT EUROPEAN IS PUSHING SHORTWAVE/COLD FRONT TOO FAR SOUTH
THURSDAY...SO WILL FAVOR MRF SOLUTION. BY FRIDAY...MRF SUGGESTS THAT
SURFACE LOW OVER HUDSON BAY WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT TOWARD SOUTHERN
CANADA...AND A SERIES OF WEAK SHORTWAVES WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN
THE RIDGE OVER THE REGION...BUT LACK OF MOISTURE/CLEAR FOCUS FOR
CONVECTION JUSTIFIES A DRY FORECAST.

.APX...NONE.

ROWLEY

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 27 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:29 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Crawford

When
May 25, 8:30 PM EST
Where
Crawford County, Grayling
Measured
0.75 in hail
Reported by
GENERAL PUBLIC
Coordinates
44.667, -84.700

An upper low and the associated cold air aloft caused scattered thunderstorms to develop during the afternoon and evening hours across northern Lower Michigan. A few of the thunderstorms produced severe hail.

What these are

Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Michigan in 2001Every state in 2001This day in weather historyWarnings in Michigan, May 2001

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5246205.