Alert archive / Virginia / Prince William County
Weather alerts in Prince William County, Virginia, 2022
102 weather alerts in 2022, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Prince William County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2022. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 102
- Warnings
- 41
- Watches
- 15
- Advisories
- 0
- Busiest month
- July30 alerts
- Busiest day
- May 27, 20227 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Prince William County in 2022 had a tornado report inside them.
Prince William County, 2022
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 30 | 23 | 23% | 33 | 79% | 19 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 2 | 0 | 100% | 1 | 0% |
Each office's whole area, 2022
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: tornado warnings | 38 | 6 | 84% | 10 | 80% | 9 min |
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: severe thunderstorm warnings | 413 | 300 | 27% | 1,177 | 78% | 21 min |
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: flash flood warnings | 77 | 34 | 56% | 84 | 88% | 90 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 5:13 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Jan 3, 11:06 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jan 7, 2:02 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jan 16, 3:24 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Feb 4, 9:00 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 6 hr |
| Feb 24, 9:13 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Mar 31, 2:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Mar 31, 7:13 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| Mar 31, 8:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 42 min |
| May 6, 11:48 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 16 hr |
| May 15, 3:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| May 15, 7:28 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 2 hr |
| May 16, 2:23 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 16, 3:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| May 16, 3:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 41 min |
| May 16, 4:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 38 min |
| May 22, 12:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 22, 1:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 22, 7:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 56 min |
| May 27, 6:01 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| May 27, 6:24 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| May 27, 8:13 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 27, 10:59 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| May 27, 11:43 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 47 min |
| May 27, 5:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| May 27, 7:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| Jun 2, 1:04 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jun 2, 1:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 2, 3:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 38 min |
| Jun 2, 4:43 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| Jun 8, 2:58 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 8, 5:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 38 min |
| Jun 8, 6:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 47 min |
| Jun 8, 11:17 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Jun 9, 1:39 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jun 13, 8:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 48 min |
| Jun 13, 9:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 43 min |
| Jun 16, 3:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jun 16, 4:53 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Jun 16, 5:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 28 min |
| Jun 17, 3:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Jun 22, 12:57 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Jun 22, 1:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 22, 1:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 62 min |
| Jun 22, 3:56 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Jun 22, 4:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 27 min |
| Jun 22, 6:16 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Jul 1, 11:59 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jul 1, 3:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Jul 1, 3:38 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 1, 5:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 44 min |
| Jul 2, 1:16 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Jul 2, 3:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jul 2, 4:47 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Jul 7, 12:25 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 39 min |
| Jul 9, 12:57 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 8 hr |
| Jul 12, 12:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 12, 2:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jul 12, 4:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Jul 12, 4:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 48 min |
| Jul 12, 5:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 41 min |
| Jul 12, 5:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 37 min |
| Jul 12, 7:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 50 min |
| Jul 13, 9:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 37 min |
| Jul 14, 4:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 41 min |
| Jul 16, 1:36 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jul 17, 2:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Jul 18, 1:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jul 18, 4:32 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Jul 21, 12:38 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 23, 7:04 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 25, 1:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Jul 25, 1:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jul 25, 3:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 43 min |
| Jul 25, 3:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 40 min |
| Jul 25, 4:01 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Jul 29, 12:24 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 4, 1:14 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 4, 7:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 36 min |
| Aug 4, 8:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 30 min |
| Aug 5, 2:37 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Aug 5, 3:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 36 min |
| Aug 10, 1:01 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 10, 4:25 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 2 hr |
| Aug 10, 4:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 26 min |
| Aug 10, 5:18 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 100 min |
| Aug 10, 6:37 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 2 hr |
| Aug 10, 6:58 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 3 hr |
| Aug 22, 4:10 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 30, 1:55 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 30, 4:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 39 min |
| Aug 30, 4:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 32 min |
| Sep 12, 2:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Sep 12, 4:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 47 min |
| Sep 12, 4:52 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LWX | 23 min |
| Sep 12, 5:41 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 3 hr |
| Sep 12, 5:46 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Sep 25, 10:23 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Sep 25, 11:37 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Sep 25, 2:35 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Nov 11, 2:30 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Dec 22, 8:35 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 15 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 30 |
| Tornado Warning | 1 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 14 |
| Tornado Watch | 1 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 46 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 8 |
| Flash Flood Warning | 2 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20212023
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.