Alert archive / Virginia / Prince William County

Weather alerts in Prince William County, Virginia, 2022

102 weather alerts in 2022, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Prince William County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2022. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
102
Warnings
41
Watches
15
Advisories
0
Busiest month
July30 alerts
Busiest day
May 27, 20227 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Prince William County in 2022 had a tornado report inside them.

Prince William County, 2022

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings10100%0
Severe thunderstorm warnings302323%3379%19 min
Flash flood warnings20100%10%

Each office's whole area, 2022

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Baltimore/Washington: tornado warnings38684%1080%9 min
NWS Baltimore/Washington: severe thunderstorm warnings41330027%1,17778%21 min
NWS Baltimore/Washington: flash flood warnings773456%8488%90 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 3, 5:13 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC4 hr
Jan 3, 11:06 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Jan 7, 2:02 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Jan 16, 3:24 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Feb 4, 9:00 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningLWX6 hr
Feb 24, 9:13 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Mar 31, 2:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Mar 31, 7:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
Mar 31, 8:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX42 min
May 6, 11:48 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX16 hr
May 15, 3:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC85 min
May 15, 7:28 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX2 hr
May 16, 2:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 16, 3:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
May 16, 3:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX41 min
May 16, 4:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLWX38 min
May 22, 12:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 22, 1:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
May 22, 7:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX56 min
May 27, 6:01 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
May 27, 6:24 AM EDTTornado WatchSPC8 hr
May 27, 8:13 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 27, 10:59 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC91 min
May 27, 11:43 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX47 min
May 27, 5:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr
May 27, 7:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC83 min
Jun 2, 1:04 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Jun 2, 1:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 2, 3:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX38 min
Jun 2, 4:43 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
Jun 8, 2:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 8, 5:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX38 min
Jun 8, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX47 min
Jun 8, 11:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Jun 9, 1:39 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jun 13, 8:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX48 min
Jun 13, 9:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX43 min
Jun 16, 3:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Jun 16, 4:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Jun 16, 5:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX28 min
Jun 17, 3:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr
Jun 22, 12:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC93 min
Jun 22, 1:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 22, 1:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX62 min
Jun 22, 3:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC94 min
Jun 22, 4:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatLWX27 min
Jun 22, 6:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
Jul 1, 11:59 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jul 1, 3:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr
Jul 1, 3:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 1, 5:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX44 min
Jul 2, 1:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
Jul 2, 3:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jul 2, 4:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Jul 7, 12:25 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX39 min
Jul 9, 12:57 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX8 hr
Jul 12, 12:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 12, 2:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Jul 12, 4:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC88 min
Jul 12, 4:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX48 min
Jul 12, 5:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX41 min
Jul 12, 5:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX37 min
Jul 12, 7:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX50 min
Jul 13, 9:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX37 min
Jul 14, 4:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX41 min
Jul 16, 1:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jul 17, 2:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
Jul 18, 1:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jul 18, 4:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC88 min
Jul 21, 12:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 23, 7:04 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Jul 25, 1:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Jul 25, 1:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Jul 25, 3:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX43 min
Jul 25, 3:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX40 min
Jul 25, 4:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
Jul 29, 12:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 4, 1:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 4, 7:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX36 min
Aug 4, 8:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX30 min
Aug 5, 2:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Aug 5, 3:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX36 min
Aug 10, 1:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Aug 10, 4:25 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWX2 hr
Aug 10, 4:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX26 min
Aug 10, 5:18 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWX100 min
Aug 10, 6:37 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX2 hr
Aug 10, 6:58 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX3 hr
Aug 22, 4:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Aug 30, 1:55 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 30, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX39 min
Aug 30, 4:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX32 min
Sep 12, 2:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Sep 12, 4:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX47 min
Sep 12, 4:52 PM EDTTornado WarningLWX23 min
Sep 12, 5:41 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX3 hr
Sep 12, 5:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
Sep 25, 10:23 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Sep 25, 11:37 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Sep 25, 2:35 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Nov 11, 2:30 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Dec 22, 8:35 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningLWX15 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20212023

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.