Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Warnings in 2022

Tornado Warning 38, NWS Baltimore/Washington

September 12, 2022Fairfax County, Prince William County, Virginia; Charles County, Maryland

NWS Baltimore/Washington issued this tornado warning at Sep 12, 2022, 4:52 PM EDT for Fairfax County, Prince William County, Virginia; Charles County, Maryland. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 12, 2022, 4:52 PM EDT (20:52 UTC)
Expired
Sep 12, 2022, 5:15 PM EDT
In force
23 min
Issued by
NWS Baltimore/Washington
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
0.75 in

Counties Charles County, MD, Fairfax County, VA, Prince William County, VA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 34 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2022-09-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 666 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2022-09-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 1 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
666 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-34 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
559 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
1 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Sep 12, 3:31 PM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 12, 3:31 PM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 12, 10:25 AM EDT, 6 hours 27 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1025 AM EDT Mon Sep 12 2022

ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ008-011-013-014-016>018-504-506-508-
VAZ052>057-131000-
Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD-
Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA-
Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD-
Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD-
Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA-
Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor-
Chester River to Queenstown MD-Eastern Bay-
Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River-
Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD-
Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth
Island-District of Columbia-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-
Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-
Central and Southeast Montgomery-Central and Southeast Howard-
Southeast Harford-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax-
Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-
King George-
1025 AM EDT Mon Sep 12 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Maryland portion of the
Chesapeake Bay, Tidal Potomac River, and I-95 corridor through
central Maryland, northern Virginia, and District of Columbia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Flood Watch is in effect for portions of the Baltimore and
Washington Metropolitan Areas from 5 PM to midnight. An isolated
instance of flooding is possible elsewhere.

In addition, an isolated thunderstorm may produce damaging wind
gusts or a brief tornado.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

MDZ003>006-503-505-507-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501-502-505>508-
WVZ050>053-055-131000-
Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-
Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford-Augusta-
Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Nelson-
Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-
Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-
Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-
Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-
Hardy-
1025 AM EDT Mon Sep 12 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern West
Virginia, northern and central Virginia, and central and western
Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Flood Watch is in effect for portions of northern and northwest
Virginia, eastern West Virginia, and north central Maryland this
afternoon and evening. An isolated instance of flooding is
possible elsewhere.

In addition, an isolated thunderstorm may produce damaging wind
gusts or a brief tornado, mainly east of Interstate 81.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

MDZ001-501-502-VAZ503-504-WVZ501>506-131000-
Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany-
Western Highland-Eastern Highland-Western Grant-Eastern Grant-
Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Western Pendleton-
Eastern Pendleton-
1025 AM EDT Mon Sep 12 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Allegheny Front
counties in western Maryland, eastern West Virginia, and Highland
County Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

An isolated instance of flooding is possible through this
afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 12, 3:18 PM EDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
318 PM EDT MON SEP 12 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE ALANTHUS           38.52N  77.90W
09/12/2022                   CULPEPER           VA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF FARLEY
            ROAD AND ALANTHUS ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX2204964

ADM
Local storm report, Sep 12, 4:28 PM EDT, 24 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Baltimore/Washington issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 11, 9:04 PM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryLWXArlington, King George, City of Alexandria, City of Falls Church14 hr
Sep 12, 2:52 AM EDTFlood WatchLWXArlington, Clarke, Fairfax, Frederick, Loudoun, Page and 6 more17 hr
Sep 12, 5:15 AM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryLWXAlbemarle, Amherst, Augusta, Clarke, Culpeper, Fauquier and 17 more4 hr
Sep 12, 2:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier37 min
Sep 12, 2:11 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWXClarke, Frederick, Warren, City of Winchester103 min
Sep 12, 2:37 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier23 min
Sep 12, 4:01 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX89 min
Sep 12, 4:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXPrince William, Stafford47 min
Sep 12, 5:20 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX55 min
Sep 12, 5:33 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX87 min
Sep 12, 5:38 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX78 min
Sep 12, 5:41 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWXArlington, Fairfax, Prince William, City of Alexandria, City of Fairfax, City of Falls Church and 2 more3 hr
Sep 12, 5:53 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX61 min
Sep 12, 6:59 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX46 min
Sep 12, 7:15 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX60 min
Sep 12, 4:10 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWXBaltimore6 hr
Sep 12, 5:28 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWXBaltimore, Carroll5 hr
Sep 12, 6:18 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXBaltimore3 hr
Sep 12, 6:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCharles, Saint Mary's32 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Virginia, 2022Tornado Warnings in Maryland, 2022Every tornado warning in 2022Tornadoes in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.