Alert archive / Virginia / Prince William County
Weather alerts in Prince William County, Virginia, 2010
139 weather alerts in 2010, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Prince William County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2010. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 139
- Warnings
- 42
- Watches
- 22
- Advisories
- 0
- Busiest month
- June33 alerts
- Busiest day
- August 5, 201014 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Prince William County, 2010
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 34 | 27 | 21% | 11 | 91% | 12 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 8 | 8 | 0% | 1 | 100% | 330 min |
Each office's whole area, 2010
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: tornado warnings | 31 | 2 | 94% | 4 | 50% | 17 min |
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: severe thunderstorm warnings | 257 | 198 | 23% | 762 | 86% | 21 min |
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: flash flood warnings | 64 | 35 | 45% | 139 | 92% | 166 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 8:10 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Feb 5, 11:45 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Feb 5, 6:58 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Feb 6, 6:53 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Feb 6, 12:03 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Feb 9, 7:04 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Mar 22, 12:44 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 8, 5:37 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 23 min |
| Apr 8, 6:37 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 53 min |
| Apr 8, 6:59 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 46 min |
| Apr 16, 6:16 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 74 min |
| Apr 16, 6:20 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 70 min |
| Apr 25, 2:26 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Apr 25, 4:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 25, 6:16 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Apr 25, 8:53 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 26, 3:47 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 58 min |
| Apr 26, 4:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 42 min |
| Apr 26, 6:13 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 62 min |
| May 2, 4:45 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 60 min |
| May 2, 8:27 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| May 12, 2:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| May 14, 11:56 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 14, 2:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 14, 5:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 43 min |
| May 14, 6:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 40 min |
| May 14, 6:35 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| May 14, 7:32 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 28 min |
| May 14, 7:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 47 min |
| May 23, 1:19 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 3 hr |
| May 27, 1:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| May 27, 4:13 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 62 min |
| May 27, 8:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| May 27, 10:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 44 min |
| May 27, 10:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 40 min |
| Jun 3, 11:27 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Jun 3, 1:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 3, 3:36 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 54 min |
| Jun 3, 3:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 49 min |
| Jun 3, 3:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 38 min |
| Jun 3, 4:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 41 min |
| Jun 3, 6:28 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 62 min |
| Jun 4, 2:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jun 4, 7:03 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 57 min |
| Jun 6, 11:42 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| Jun 6, 12:40 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jun 6, 2:38 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 67 min |
| Jun 6, 3:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 25 min |
| Jun 12, 2:47 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Jun 12, 3:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Jun 12, 4:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 42 min |
| Jun 12, 4:16 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Jun 12, 4:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 50 min |
| Jun 12, 5:36 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 24 min |
| Jun 22, 11:35 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 25 min |
| Jun 22, 3:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 27 min |
| Jun 22, 7:06 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 24 min |
| Jun 22, 7:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 50 min |
| Jun 22, 7:27 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| Jun 24, 12:16 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Jun 24, 12:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jun 24, 2:34 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jun 24, 3:43 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 62 min |
| Jun 28, 12:26 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 28, 1:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 28, 2:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 42 min |
| Jun 28, 2:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 49 min |
| Jun 28, 3:53 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 13, 6:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 58 min |
| Jul 13, 6:08 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 37 min |
| Jul 13, 6:49 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 41 min |
| Jul 13, 10:34 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 56 min |
| Jul 13, 11:06 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 3 hr |
| Jul 14, 12:22 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 23 min |
| Jul 16, 9:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 27 min |
| Jul 19, 5:40 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 50 min |
| Jul 19, 5:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 33 min |
| Jul 20, 7:11 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 64 min |
| Jul 25, 1:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 54 min |
| Jul 25, 1:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jul 25, 2:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 54 min |
| Jul 25, 3:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 38 min |
| Jul 25, 3:25 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 65 min |
| Jul 25, 3:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 63 min |
| Jul 25, 4:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 58 min |
| Jul 29, 11:36 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 54 min |
| Jul 29, 11:54 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 29, 4:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| Aug 4, 5:30 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 30 min |
| Aug 4, 5:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Aug 4, 6:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 61 min |
| Aug 4, 7:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Aug 4, 7:53 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 37 min |
| Aug 4, 7:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 64 min |
| Aug 5, 12:37 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 53 min |
| Aug 5, 1:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Aug 5, 2:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 49 min |
| Aug 5, 3:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 44 min |
| Aug 5, 3:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 51 min |
| Aug 5, 3:42 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 33 min |
| Aug 5, 3:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 52 min |
| Aug 5, 3:56 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 64 min |
| Aug 5, 4:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 46 min |
| Aug 5, 4:54 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 105 min |
| Aug 5, 5:19 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 41 min |
| Aug 5, 5:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 46 min |
| Aug 5, 5:37 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 38 min |
| Aug 5, 6:23 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Aug 12, 1:52 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| Aug 12, 2:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 45 min |
| Aug 12, 2:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Aug 12, 3:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 44 min |
| Aug 12, 6:55 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 50 min |
| Aug 16, 2:01 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Aug 16, 2:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Sep 22, 2:31 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 59 min |
| Sep 22, 2:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Sep 30, 4:55 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Sep 30, 4:57 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 6 hr |
| Sep 30, 10:38 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 6 hr |
| Sep 30, 4:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 45 min |
| Sep 30, 4:40 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 11 hr |
| Sep 30, 6:13 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 6 hr |
| Sep 30, 10:56 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 4 hr |
| Oct 26, 6:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 54 min |
| Oct 26, 7:19 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 12 hr |
| Oct 26, 11:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| Oct 27, 12:24 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 66 min |
| Oct 27, 5:28 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Oct 27, 11:54 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 66 min |
| Oct 27, 12:13 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Nov 17, 12:03 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 42 min |
| Nov 17, 12:06 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Dec 1, 3:48 AM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Dec 1, 4:25 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Dec 1, 4:58 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 47 min |
| Dec 1, 5:44 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 26 min |
| Dec 1, 6:01 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | LWX | 119 min |
| Dec 1, 7:51 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 34 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 17 |
| Tornado Watch | 5 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 53 |
| Special Weather Statement | 22 |
| Flooding | |
| Flash Flood Warning | 8 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20092011
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.