Alert archive / Virginia / Prince William County

Weather alerts in Prince William County, Virginia, 2009

66 weather alerts in 2009, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Prince William County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2009. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
66
Warnings
16
Watches
12
Advisories
0
Busiest month
June32 alerts
Busiest day
June 9, 20096 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

Prince William County, 2009

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings00
Severe thunderstorm warnings14843%425%4 min
Flash flood warnings00

Each office's whole area, 2009

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Baltimore/Washington: tornado warnings13192%813%2 min
NWS Baltimore/Washington: severe thunderstorm warnings21611348%27786%21 min
NWS Baltimore/Washington: flash flood warnings431858%5680%56 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Feb 11, 8:00 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC60 min
Feb 11, 8:19 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC3 hr
Feb 11, 9:33 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX43 min
Feb 11, 10:14 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC61 min
Mar 1, 5:01 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Apr 21, 2:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 7, 12:11 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX3 hr
May 16, 2:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC24 min
May 29, 12:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC55 min
May 29, 1:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
May 29, 2:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX24 min
May 29, 4:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC60 min
May 29, 6:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC55 min
Jun 2, 1:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC89 min
Jun 2, 1:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jun 2, 4:18 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC87 min
Jun 2, 4:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX51 min
Jun 2, 4:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX50 min
Jun 3, 12:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC64 min
Jun 3, 1:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC9 hr
Jun 3, 4:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Jun 3, 7:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC95 min
Jun 3, 7:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX40 min
Jun 3, 8:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX42 min
Jun 9, 6:01 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC59 min
Jun 9, 2:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 9, 4:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC57 min
Jun 9, 4:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX53 min
Jun 9, 5:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX63 min
Jun 9, 5:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX59 min
Jun 10, 1:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC93 min
Jun 11, 11:51 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC84 min
Jun 11, 1:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC3 hr
Jun 11, 8:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC66 min
Jun 13, 7:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX47 min
Jun 13, 8:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC66 min
Jun 18, 11:40 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC95 min
Jun 18, 2:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC9 hr
Jun 20, 1:55 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC95 min
Jun 26, 2:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 26, 4:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX50 min
Jun 26, 7:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC57 min
Jun 26, 9:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX49 min
Jun 26, 9:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC64 min
Jun 26, 9:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX41 min
Jul 1, 12:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC57 min
Jul 17, 9:52 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC83 min
Jul 17, 10:29 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 17, 12:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC91 min
Jul 24, 3:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Jul 26, 1:40 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 26, 2:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 26, 4:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC89 min
Jul 27, 9:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX35 min
Jul 31, 12:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC84 min
Jul 31, 1:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 31, 3:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC85 min
Aug 21, 12:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
Aug 21, 12:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Aug 21, 7:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC60 min
Dec 18, 7:22 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Dec 19, 12:34 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Dec 19, 6:57 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Dec 19, 12:27 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Dec 25, 7:16 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningLWX98 min
Dec 30, 10:57 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20082010

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.