Alert archive / Virginia / Caroline County
Weather alerts in Caroline County, Virginia, 2019
135 weather alerts in 2019, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Caroline County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2019. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 135
- Warnings
- 23
- Watches
- 16
- Advisories
- 17
- Busiest month
- June29 alerts
- Busiest day
- April 19, 20198 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Caroline County in 2019 had a tornado report inside them.
Caroline County, 2019
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 19 | 16 | 16% | 11 | 100% | 13 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 0 | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2019
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Wakefield, VA: tornado warnings | 59 | 15 | 75% | 28 | 82% | 13 min |
| NWS Wakefield, VA: severe thunderstorm warnings | 327 | 237 | 28% | 509 | 86% | 20 min |
| NWS Wakefield, VA: flash flood warnings | 18 | 13 | 28% | 33 | 82% | 92 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 3:36 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | AKQ | 24 hr |
| Jan 11, 9:59 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | AKQ | 51 hr |
| Jan 12, 3:46 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 48 hr |
| Jan 20, 3:29 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | AKQ | 32 hr |
| Jan 30, 3:42 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Jan 30, 3:46 AM EST | Wind Advisory | AKQ | 14 hr |
| Feb 7, 8:29 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 8 hr |
| Feb 10, 3:19 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 16 hr |
| Feb 19, 3:36 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 42 hr |
| Mar 19, 10:03 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 12 min |
| Mar 21, 1:18 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 42 min |
| Mar 22, 5:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 49 min |
| Apr 8, 2:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Apr 14, 5:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 26 min |
| Apr 14, 6:54 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 36 min |
| Apr 15, 12:07 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Apr 15, 12:41 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Apr 15, 1:28 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 47 min |
| Apr 15, 1:50 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 40 min |
| Apr 19, 8:26 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | AKQ | 20 hr |
| Apr 19, 12:29 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 19, 1:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 48 min |
| Apr 19, 1:17 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 11 hr |
| Apr 19, 1:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 40 min |
| Apr 19, 3:18 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Apr 19, 4:32 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 58 min |
| Apr 19, 6:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Apr 26, 11:37 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Apr 26, 2:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| May 2, 6:29 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 31 min |
| May 2, 6:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 32 min |
| May 8, 5:51 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 39 min |
| May 23, 3:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| May 23, 3:42 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| May 23, 4:18 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 42 min |
| May 23, 4:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 42 min |
| May 25, 10:02 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 28 min |
| May 26, 11:14 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| May 26, 1:45 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 26, 3:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 52 min |
| May 26, 4:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 40 min |
| May 26, 5:45 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 26, 11:43 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 47 min |
| May 30, 6:35 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| May 30, 7:40 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | 35 min |
| May 31, 9:50 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 40 min |
| May 31, 10:09 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 3 hr |
| Jun 2, 12:24 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 2, 3:33 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Jun 2, 5:57 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Jun 2, 10:01 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 44 min |
| Jun 5, 12:52 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Jun 5, 2:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jun 5, 4:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 40 min |
| Jun 6, 5:38 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 37 min |
| Jun 7, 3:04 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 3 hr |
| Jun 13, 6:20 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 55 min |
| Jun 17, 2:03 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Jun 17, 4:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jun 17, 6:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 25 min |
| Jun 18, 12:23 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Jun 18, 2:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 18, 4:47 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Jun 18, 5:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 48 min |
| Jun 18, 6:08 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 37 min |
| Jun 18, 6:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 61 min |
| Jun 20, 12:23 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 20, 1:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jun 24, 5:27 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 48 min |
| Jun 24, 6:14 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 46 min |
| Jun 24, 6:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 50 min |
| Jun 24, 7:17 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 28, 5:59 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 29, 2:52 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 23 min |
| Jul 4, 3:11 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 49 min |
| Jul 4, 4:00 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 45 min |
| Jul 6, 1:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 7, 7:48 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 117 min |
| Jul 11, 12:51 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Jul 11, 5:59 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 11, 6:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 25 min |
| Jul 11, 6:32 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 43 min |
| Jul 16, 2:46 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 52 hr |
| Jul 16, 3:28 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jul 17, 1:29 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jul 17, 5:24 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 36 min |
| Jul 18, 1:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 18, 3:25 PM EDT | Excessive Heat Warning | AKQ | 3 days |
| Jul 18, 3:25 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Jul 19, 3:15 AM EDT | Excessive Heat Watch | AKQ | 12 hr |
| Jul 22, 1:11 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Jul 22, 2:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jul 24, 8:19 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 41 min |
| Jul 31, 4:19 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 56 min |
| Jul 31, 5:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 28 min |
| Jul 31, 5:12 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 48 min |
| Aug 2, 4:47 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 43 min |
| Aug 2, 8:49 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 116 min |
| Aug 5, 3:13 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 47 min |
| Aug 5, 3:35 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 3 hr |
| Aug 7, 12:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Aug 7, 1:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Aug 7, 1:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Aug 7, 3:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 21 min |
| Aug 7, 5:59 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 46 min |
| Aug 7, 6:47 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 43 min |
| Aug 7, 7:15 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 60 min |
| Aug 7, 7:32 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 43 min |
| Aug 8, 12:34 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 41 min |
| Aug 9, 2:25 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min |
| Aug 13, 9:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 46 min |
| Aug 19, 2:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 46 min |
| Aug 19, 5:56 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 34 min |
| Aug 20, 7:00 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 20, 7:39 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 3 hr |
| Aug 20, 9:22 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 53 min |
| Aug 21, 5:49 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 41 min |
| Aug 21, 6:30 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 45 min |
| Aug 21, 7:13 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 62 min |
| Aug 21, 8:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 41 min |
| Aug 22, 5:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 46 min |
| Aug 22, 5:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 56 min |
| Sep 2, 10:10 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 50 min |
| Sep 11, 3:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Sep 11, 5:39 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 66 min |
| Sep 11, 6:50 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 40 min |
| Sep 12, 2:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Oct 23, 1:06 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 4 hr |
| Oct 31, 1:11 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Oct 31, 7:14 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Oct 31, 10:10 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 65 min |
| Nov 1, 4:00 AM EDT | Freeze Watch | AKQ | 9 hr |
| Nov 1, 12:54 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | AKQ | 20 hr |
| Dec 27, 12:39 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 10 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 19 |
| Tornado Warning | 1 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 9 |
| Tornado Watch | 3 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 39 |
| Special Weather Statement | 40 |
| Flooding | |
| Flash Flood Watch | 1 |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 6 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Storm Warning | 1 |
| Winter Storm Watch | 1 |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 3 |
| Heat | |
| Excessive Heat Warning | 1 |
| Excessive Heat Watch | 1 |
| Heat Advisory | 2 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 1 |
| Freeze Watch | 1 |
| Wind Chill Advisory | 2 |
| Wind and dust | |
| Wind Advisory | 1 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 3 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20182020
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.