Alert archive / Utah / San Juan County / Flash Flood Warnings

Flash Flood Warnings in San Juan County, Utah, 2021

19 flash flood warnings in 2021. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of flash flood warnings reaches back to 1986.

San Juan County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2021. Tap one for its archive.

Flash Flood Warnings
19
Busiest month
July12 flash flood warnings
Busiest day
July 24, 20213 flash flood warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

6 of 19 flash flood warnings covering San Juan County in 2021 had a flash flood report inside them; 3 of 7 flash flood reports fell inside a warning, on average 93 minutes after it went out.

San Juan County, 2021

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Flash flood warnings19668%743%93 min

Each office's whole area, 2021

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Grand Junction, CO: flash flood warnings852076%5149%51 min
NWS Salt Lake City, UT: flash flood warnings1375461%12558%85 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 14, 3:45 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatSLC6 hr
Jul 24, 3:35 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJT3 hr
Jul 24, 3:42 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJT2 hr
Jul 24, 3:47 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJT3 hr
Jul 25, 3:30 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatGJT3 hr
Jul 26, 6:10 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJT3 hr
Jul 26, 6:11 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJT3 hr
Jul 26, 6:21 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJT3 hr
Jul 28, 3:17 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatGJT5 hr
Jul 28, 6:32 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJT75 min
Jul 28, 7:23 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJT3 hr
Jul 29, 6:17 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJT3 hr
Aug 1, 8:56 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatGJT109 min
Aug 1, 11:10 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatGJT3 hr
Aug 2, 4:14 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatSLC3 hr
Aug 17, 6:57 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatSLC5 hr
Aug 19, 2:03 AM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatSLC6 hr
Aug 26, 4:52 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJT3 hr
Aug 26, 5:42 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatGJT3 hr

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20202022

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.