Alert archive / Utah / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 71, NWS Grand Junction, CO

August 1, 2021Grand County, San Juan County, Utah

NWS Grand Junction, CO issued this flash flood warning at Aug 1, 2021, 8:56 PM MDT for Grand County, San Juan County, Utah. It was in force for 109 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 1, 2021, 8:56 PM MDT (02:56 UTC)
Expired
Aug 1, 2021, 10:45 PM MDT
In force
109 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Junction, CO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

Counties Grand County, UT, San Juan County, UT

The radar

The Grand Junction radar (KGJX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 1, 9:30 PM MDTFLASH FLOOD4 Se Grand Co Arpt, UTLARGE MUD AND DEBRIS FLOW FROM THE PACK CREEK WILDFIRE BURN SCAR BREACHED THE PACK CREEK BRIDGE. THIS FLOW IS BIGGER THAN THE ONE LAST WEEK.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 101 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 00:00Z on 2021-08-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 162 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 00:00Z on 2021-08-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 49 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
162 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2258 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

127 
WGUS55 KGJT 020256
FFWGJT
UTC019-037-020445-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FF.W.0071.210802T0256Z-210802T0445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
856 PM MDT Sun Aug 1 2021

The National Weather Service in Grand Junction has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  The Pack Creek Fire Burn Area in...
  Southeastern Grand County in east central Utah...
  Northeastern San Juan County in southeastern Utah...

* Until 1045 PM MDT.

* At 856 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain over the Pack Creek Fire Burn Area. Between 0.2 and 0.5 
  inches of rain has fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 1.5 
  inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1.5 inches 
  are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or 
  expected to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the burn scar will result in debris flow 
moving through the Pack Creek Burn Area. The debris flow can consist 
of rock, mud, vegetation and other loose materials.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding in and around the Pack Creek
           Fire Burn Area.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
           the Pack Creek Fire Burn Area.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Spanish Valley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause 
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks...streams...and 
ditches in the Pack Creek Fire Burn Area. Severe debris flows can 
also be anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed 
away in places. If you encounter flood waters...climb to safety.

Move away from recently burned areas. Life-threatening flooding of 
creeks, roads and normally dry arroyos is likely. The heavy rains 
will likely trigger rockslides, mudslides and debris flows in steep 
terrain, especially in and around these areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3850 10927 3851 10926 3850 10922 3844 10923
      3844 10926 3845 10928 3842 10932 3843 10939
      3845 10939 3847 10934 3848 10930

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL...1-1.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

BWM
2 follow-up statements
245 
WGUS75 KGJT 020352
FFSGJT

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
952 PM MDT Sun Aug 1 2021

UTC019-037-020445-
/O.CON.KGJT.FF.W.0071.000000T0000Z-210802T0445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Grand UT-San Juan UT-
952 PM MDT Sun Aug 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE PACK CREEK FIRE BURN AREA REMAINS IN 
EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GRAND AND 
NORTHEASTERN SAN JUAN COUNTIES...

At 952 PM MDT, Emergency management reported a large flash flood, 
mud and debris flow was moving down the Pack Creek and breached the 
Pack Creek bridge.

Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain over the 
Pack Creek Fire Burn Area. Between 1 and 1.5 inches of rain has 
fallen since 830 pm. The expected rainfall rate is 0.2 to 0.5 inches 
in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.2 to 0.6 inches are 
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the burn scar will result in debris flow 
moving through the Pack Creek Burn Area. The debris flow can consist 
of rock, mud, vegetation and other loose materials.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding in and around the Pack Creek Fire Burn
         Area.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
         the Pack Creek Fire Burn Area.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Spanish Valley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause 
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks...streams...and 
ditches in the Pack Creek Fire Burn Area. Severe debris flows can 
also be anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed 
away in places. If you encounter flood waters...climb to safety.

Move away from recently burned areas. Life-threatening flooding of 
creeks, roads and normally dry arroyos is likely. The heavy rains 
will likely trigger rockslides, mudslides and debris flows in steep 
terrain, especially in and around these areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3850 10927 3851 10926 3850 10922 3844 10923
      3844 10926 3845 10928 3842 10932 3843 10939
      3845 10939 3847 10934 3848 10930

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL...0.2-0.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

BWM
090 
WGUS75 KGJT 020443
FFSGJT

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1043 PM MDT Sun Aug 1 2021

UTC019-037-020453-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FF.W.0071.000000T0000Z-210802T0445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Grand UT-San Juan UT-
1043 PM MDT Sun Aug 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE PACK CREEK FIRE BURN AREA WILL EXPIRE 
AT 1045 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GRAND AND NORTHEASTERN 
SAN JUAN COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. However, please continue to stay away from swiftly flowing 
water and mud flows that may still be moving down creek beds, and 
heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3850 10927 3851 10926 3850 10922 3844 10923
      3844 10926 3845 10928 3842 10932 3843 10939
      3845 10939 3847 10934 3848 10930

$$

BWM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Junction, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 1, 6:35 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGJTUintah115 min
Aug 1, 6:41 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTUintah34 min
Aug 1, 7:03 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGJTGrand3 hr
Aug 1, 11:10 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatGJTGrand, San Juan3 hr
Aug 2, 1:17 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGJTGrand, San Juan118 min
Aug 2, 1:29 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGJTSan Juan2 hr
Aug 2, 4:37 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGJTUintah2 hr
Aug 2, 5:12 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTSan Juan48 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Utah, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.