Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Erie County

Weather alerts in Erie County, Pennsylvania, 2016

115 weather alerts in 2016, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Erie County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2016. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
115
Warnings
25
Watches
13
Advisories
32
Busiest month
December20 alerts
Busiest day
September 10, 20166 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Erie County in 2016 had a tornado report inside them.

Erie County, 2016

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings10100%0
Severe thunderstorm warnings12925%7100%36 min
Flash flood warnings110%3100%79 min

Each office's whole area, 2016

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Cleveland, OH: tornado warnings5180%2100%5 min
NWS Cleveland, OH: severe thunderstorm warnings854844%13476%20 min
NWS Cleveland, OH: flash flood warnings3167%3100%79 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 1, 3:53 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryCLE12 hr
Jan 1, 3:27 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningCLE6 hr
Jan 3, 3:41 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryCLE32 hr
Jan 10, 4:23 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningCLE33 hr
Jan 10, 4:27 AM ESTWind AdvisoryCLE14 hr
Jan 11, 3:23 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchCLE12 hr
Jan 11, 3:44 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningCLE47 hr
Jan 12, 1:27 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE78 min
Jan 13, 6:55 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE95 min
Jan 14, 5:12 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE78 min
Jan 16, 3:54 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchCLE12 hr
Jan 16, 3:35 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningCLE68 hr
Jan 18, 5:23 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE82 min
Feb 2, 3:54 AM ESTWind AdvisoryCLE29 hr
Feb 9, 3:46 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchCLE11 hr
Feb 9, 2:27 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningCLE49 hr
Feb 9, 2:27 PM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryCLE49 hr
Feb 11, 3:46 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchCLE11 hr
Feb 12, 2:46 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningCLE42 hr
Feb 12, 2:46 AM ESTWind Chill AdvisoryCLE45 hr
Feb 12, 5:10 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE65 min
Feb 12, 6:21 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE69 min
Feb 14, 3:11 PM ESTWinter Storm WatchCLE12 hr
Feb 14, 3:11 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryCLE46 hr
Feb 15, 3:29 AM ESTWinter Storm WarningCLE34 hr
Feb 19, 3:53 AM ESTWind AdvisoryCLE17 hr
Feb 19, 11:07 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE23 min
Feb 19, 11:47 PM ESTWind AdvisoryCLE4 hr
Feb 24, 3:31 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryCLE38 hr
Feb 28, 3:50 AM ESTWind AdvisoryCLE18 hr
Mar 30, 3:50 PM EDTWind AdvisoryCLE31 hr
Apr 1, 3:32 PM EDTWind AdvisoryCLE36 hr
Apr 2, 4:18 AM EDTWinter Weather AdvisoryCLE23 hr
Apr 5, 4:01 PM EDTWind AdvisoryCLE34 hr
Apr 8, 3:25 AM EDTWinter Weather AdvisoryCLE31 hr
May 15, 3:33 AM EDTFrost AdvisoryCLE29 hr
May 29, 9:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCLE38 min
Jun 5, 2:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr
Jun 5, 3:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLE63 min
Jun 5, 4:04 PM EDTTornado WarningCLE41 min
Jun 6, 10:14 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE6 hr
Jun 7, 3:45 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE42 hr
Jun 9, 9:59 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE9 hr
Jun 11, 10:37 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE8 hr
Jun 12, 4:26 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE18 hr
Jun 21, 12:45 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLE45 min
Jun 28, 4:54 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE11 hr
Jul 1, 2:08 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE8 hr
Jul 8, 4:51 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCLE54 min
Jul 8, 9:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC53 min
Jul 8, 10:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLE58 min
Jul 8, 11:49 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCLE3 hr
Jul 9, 4:19 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE18 hr
Jul 13, 11:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLE77 min
Jul 14, 4:55 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE16 hr
Jul 15, 4:13 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE17 hr
Jul 18, 3:47 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE6 hr
Jul 22, 3:44 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE11 hr
Jul 30, 9:53 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCLE3 hr
Jul 31, 1:46 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCLE3 hr
Aug 10, 1:03 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningCLE6 hr
Aug 10, 3:36 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCLE5 hr
Aug 11, 6:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLE23 min
Aug 12, 3:10 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchCLE48 hr
Aug 13, 3:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLE47 min
Aug 13, 4:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLE42 min
Aug 16, 4:10 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE24 hr
Aug 16, 2:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 20, 4:03 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE36 hr
Aug 21, 8:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCLE3 hr
Aug 25, 5:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC93 min
Aug 31, 10:09 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCLE2 hr
Aug 31, 3:37 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCLE113 min
Aug 31, 5:34 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE34 hr
Sep 2, 4:19 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE6 hr
Sep 2, 9:59 AM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE9 hr
Sep 7, 9:34 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE24 hr
Sep 8, 4:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLE59 min
Sep 9, 3:58 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLE48 hr
Sep 10, 1:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Sep 10, 3:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Sep 10, 4:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Sep 10, 6:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCLE38 min
Sep 10, 6:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLE67 min
Sep 10, 7:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLE51 min
Sep 10, 8:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLE24 min
Sep 17, 4:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Sep 17, 5:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLE25 min
Oct 3, 10:01 PM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryCLE9 hr
Oct 10, 3:11 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryCLE17 hr
Oct 13, 2:38 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryCLE18 hr
Oct 20, 11:56 AM EDTFlash Flood WatchCLE9 hr
Nov 18, 2:56 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchCLE21 hr
Nov 19, 2:59 AM ESTWind AdvisoryCLE36 hr
Nov 19, 12:18 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningCLE39 hr
Dec 6, 2:36 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchCLE48 hr
Dec 7, 2:56 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningCLE3 days
Dec 8, 3:26 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE109 min
Dec 8, 5:34 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE86 min
Dec 9, 5:26 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE64 min
Dec 9, 11:28 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE2 hr
Dec 10, 3:27 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryCLE47 hr
Dec 10, 6:21 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE114 min
Dec 10, 1:10 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE110 min
Dec 10, 5:05 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE115 min
Dec 13, 3:17 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchCLE35 hr
Dec 14, 4:17 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningCLE48 hr
Dec 14, 4:17 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryCLE24 hr
Dec 14, 10:34 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE86 min
Dec 15, 6:29 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCLE2 hr
Dec 16, 3:51 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryCLE5 hr
Dec 16, 3:51 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryCLE53 hr
Dec 28, 2:08 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchCLE21 hr
Dec 29, 4:05 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningCLE38 hr
Dec 29, 11:37 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryCLE31 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20152017

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.