Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2016

Lake Effect Snow Warning 3, NWS Cleveland, OH

January 10, 2016Erie County, Pennsylvania

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this lake effect snow warning at Jan 10, 2016, 4:23 AM EST for Erie County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Jan 10, 2016, 2:00 PM EST. It was in force for 23 hr. 9 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 10, 2016, 4:23 AM EST (09:23 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 10, 2016, 2:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 11, 2016, 12:58 PM EST
In force
23 hr
Issued by
NWS Cleveland, OH

County Erie County, PA

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 10, 6:00 PM ESTSNOW 22 Nw Edinboro, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Jan 10, 6:30 PM ESTSNOW 3Northeast 6sw, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Jan 11, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 31 Wnw North East, PA24 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Jan 11, 9:14 AM ESTSNOW 2.6Millcreek Twp, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Jan 11, 9:16 AM ESTSNOW 2.8Fairview, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Jan 11, 9:24 AM ESTSNOW 5Cranesville, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Jan 11, 9:27 AM ESTSNOW 2Northeast 6sw, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Jan 11, 9:30 AM ESTSNOW 52 Nw Edinboro, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Jan 11, 9:32 AM ESTSNOW 2.2Erie Airport, PA12 HOUR SNOWFALL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2016-01-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2016-01-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 184 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
722 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
184 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
203 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

138 
WWUS41 KCLE 100923
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
423 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016


PAZ001-002-101730-
/O.NEW.KCLE.LE.W.0003.160110T1900Z-160111T2000Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ERIE...EDINBORO
423 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
3 PM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 3 PM EST MONDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW.

* TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW THIS AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE
  INTO MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COMBINED WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY
  REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES MAKING
  TRAVEL DIFFICULT.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 20S THIS
  AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO DRY WEATHER JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ012>014-089-PAZ003-101730-
/O.NEW.KCLE.LE.Y.0003.160110T1900Z-160111T1700Z/
LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON...
ASHTABULA...MEADVILLE
423 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO NOON EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO NOON EST MONDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW.

* TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  INTO MONDAY. 

* IMPACTS...SNOW COMBINED WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY
  REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES MAKING
  TRAVEL DIFFICULT.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 20S THIS
  AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO DRY WEATHER JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
467 
WWUS41 KCLE 101604
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1104 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY...

.RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT
THIS AFTERNOON AS LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEAST. A QUICK BURST OF SNOW WILL OCCUR
THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS GUSTING TO 45 TO 50 MPH. LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT WITH WESTERLY FLOW SETTING UP ACROSS
LAKE ERIE. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING.

PAZ001-002-110015-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0003.160110T1900Z-160111T2000Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ERIE...EDINBORO
1104 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 3 PM EST MONDAY...

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW.

* TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. LAKE EFFECT
  SNOW BANDS WILL INTENSIFY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO
  MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COMBINED WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY 
  REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES MAKING 
  TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH THROUGH THIS
  EVENING...DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ON
  MONDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 20S THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO DRY WEATHER JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ012>014-089-PAZ003-110015-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.Y.0003.160110T1900Z-160111T1700Z/
LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON...
ASHTABULA...MEADVILLE
1104 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO NOON EST MONDAY...

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW.

* TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. LAKE EFFECT
  SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...SNOW COMBINED WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY 
  REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES MAKING 
  TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH...DECREASING
  TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ON MONDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 20S THIS
  AFTERNOON AND INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO DRY WEATHER JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
347 
WWUS41 KCLE 102057
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
357 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY...

.SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL EXIT TO THE
EAST EARLY THIS EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP
THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT AS WESTERLY FLOW SETS UP
ACROSS THE LAKE. LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL SHIFT UP THE
LAKESHORE TOWARDS ERIE COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA BY MORNING AND COULD BE
HEAVY AT TIMES. STRONG WINDS DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW.

PAZ001-002-110500-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160111T2000Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ERIE...EDINBORO
357 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST
MONDAY...

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
  POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND
  INTENSIFY LATE TONIGHT AS A STRONGER WEST TO EAST BAND SETS UP. SNOWFALL
  COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES ON MONDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN
  NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COMBINED WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY 
  REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES MAKING 
  TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH THROUGH THIS 
  EVENING...DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ON 
  MONDAY. 

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 20S THIS
  AFTERNOON AND INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL
  FALL TO NEAR ZERO OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO DRY WEATHER JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ012>014-089-PAZ003-110500-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160111T1700Z/
LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON...
ASHTABULA...MEADVILLE
357 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
MONDAY...

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR LAKE ERIE. LESSER AMOUNTS ARE
  EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN GEAUGA COUNTY.

* TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING THEN
  SET UP CLOSER TO THE LAKESHORE OVERNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COMBINED WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY 
  REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES MAKING 
  TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH THIS EVENING...DECREASING
  TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ON MONDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 20S THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL
  FALL TO NEAR ZERO OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO DRY WEATHER JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
493 
WWUS41 KCLE 110323
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1023 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY...

.LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND INTENSIFY
OVERNIGHT AS WESTERLY FLOW SETS UP ACROSS THE LAKE. LAKE EFFECT
SNOW BANDS WILL SHIFT UP THE LAKESHORE TOWARDS ERIE COUNTY
PENNSYLVANIA BY MORNING AND COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES. STRONG WINDS
DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF
SNOW.

PAZ001-002-111130-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160111T2000Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ERIE...EDINBORO
1023 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST
MONDAY...

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL INTENSIFY LATE TONIGHT AS
  A STRONGER WEST TO EAST BAND SETS UP. SNOWFALL COULD BE HEAVY AT
  TIMES ON MONDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COMBINED WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY 
  REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES MAKING 
  TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
  OVERNIGHT...DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ON
  MONDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT.
  WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO NEAR ZERO OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO DRY WEATHER JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ012>014-089-PAZ003-111130-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160111T1700Z/
LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON...
ASHTABULA...MEADVILLE
1023 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
MONDAY...

* ACCUMULATIONS...ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
  LESSER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN GEAUGA COUNTY.

* TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
  REGION THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE NIGHT AND THEN SHIFT
  CLOSER TO THE LAKESHORE LATE.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COMBINED WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY 
  REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES MAKING 
  TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
  OVERNIGHT...DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ON
  MONDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT.
  WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO NEAR ZERO OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO DRY WEATHER JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
683 
WWUS41 KCLE 110823
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
323 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016


PAZ001-002-111630-
/O.NEW.KCLE.LE.A.0002.160112T1700Z-160113T2100Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160111T2000Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ERIE...EDINBORO
323 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW THIS MORNING TAPERING OFF IN THE
  AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...POOR VISIBILITY. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT.
  WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO NEAR ZERO OVERNIGHT.

* LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL FOR LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT IS EXPECTED THAT COULD PRODUCE 6 OR MORE
  INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW LATE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY ALONG
  WITH BLOWING SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO DRY WEATHER JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ012>014-089-PAZ003-111630-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160111T1700Z/
LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON...
ASHTABULA...MEADVILLE
323 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTH HALF OF ASHTABULA COUNTY.
 
* TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE FOR A WHILE THIS
  MORNING THEN TAPER OFF BY LATE MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. 

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT. 
  WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO NEAR ZERO OVERNIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO DRY WEATHER JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
737 
WWUS41 KCLE 111430
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
930 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016


PAZ002-111630-
/O.CAN.KCLE.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160111T2000Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.A.0002.160112T1700Z-160113T2100Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...EDINBORO
930 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...NO ADDITIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.
  HOWEVER...SNOW WILL REDEVELOP OVERNIGHT. TOTAL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES
  ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW THIS MORNING TAPERING OFF IN THE 
  AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...POOR VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT. 
  WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO NEAR ZERO OVERNIGHT. 

* LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL FOR LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
  ANOTHER LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT IS EXPECTED THAT COULD PRODUCE 
  6 OR MORE INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW LATE TUESDAY THROUGH 
  WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

OHZ012>014-089-PAZ003-111530-
/O.CAN.KCLE.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160111T1700Z/
LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON...
ASHTABULA...MEADVILLE
930 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 

SNOW BANDS HAVE SHIFTED NORTH...OVER LAKE ERIE. AN ADDITIONAL INCH
OR LESS IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE LAKESHORE....BUT NO ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE TODAY.

$$

PAZ001-111630-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160111T2000Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.A.0002.160112T1700Z-160113T2100Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ERIE
930 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* ACCUMULATIONS...ONE TO LOCALLY 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THIS
  AFTERNOON BEFORE THE SNOW ENDS. HOWEVER SNOW WILL REDEVELOP
  OVERNIGHT. TOTAL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY
  HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW THIS MORNING TAPERING OFF IN THE 
  AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...POOR VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT. 
  WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO NEAR ZERO OVERNIGHT. 

* LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL FOR LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
  ANOTHER LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT IS EXPECTED THAT COULD PRODUCE 
  6 OR MORE INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW LATE TUESDAY THROUGH 
  WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO DRY WEATHER JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$
726 
WWUS41 KCLE 111758
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1258 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016


PAZ001-120200-
/O.CAN.KCLE.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160111T2000Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.A.0002.160112T1700Z-160113T2100Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ERIE
1258 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...THE SNOW HAS ENDED THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SNOW
  BANDS HAVE SHIFTED OVER LAKE ERIE. HOWEVER SNOW WILL REDEVELOP
  OVERNIGHT. TOTAL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY
  HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW THIS MORNING TAPERING OFF IN THE 
  AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...POOR VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT. 
  WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO NEAR ZERO OVERNIGHT. 

* LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL FOR LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY... 
  ANOTHER LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT IS EXPECTED THAT COULD PRODUCE 
  6 OR MORE INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW LATE TUESDAY THROUGH 
  WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

PAZ002-120200-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.A.0002.160112T1700Z-160113T2100Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...EDINBORO
1258 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* ACCUMULATIONS...NO ADDITIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. 
  HOWEVER...SNOW WILL REDEVELOP OVERNIGHT. TOTAL OF 5 TO 8 
  INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW THIS MORNING TAPERING OFF IN THE 
  AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...POOR VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT. 
  WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO NEAR ZERO OVERNIGHT. 

* LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL FOR LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY... 
  ANOTHER LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT IS EXPECTED THAT COULD PRODUCE 
  6 OR MORE INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW LATE TUESDAY THROUGH 
  WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH BLOWING SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Jan 10, 4:03 AM EST, 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 10, 4:03 AM EST, 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
403 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO THIS
MORNING DRAGGING ARCTIC FRONT ACROSS FORECAST AREA.  LAKE EFFECT
SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT IN THE SNOWBELT. RIDGE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR DAYTON FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS NORTHERN
OHIO THIS MORNING.  CURRENT 3 HOUR HEIGHT FALLS CENTERED OVER
EASTERN LAKE ERIE WOULD LEND SUPPORT FOR THAT FORECAST.  RAIN SNOW
LINE APPROXIMATELY SURFACE 34F OR -2C AT 850MB.  CURRENTLY NEAR A
KALAMAZOO TO INDIANAPOLIS LINE.  MODEL TRACKS SIMILAR WITH LOW NEAR
CLE BY 12Z AND SOUTH OF JAMES BAY BY 00Z.   WITH THAT TIMING EXPECT
RAIN TO START CHANGING OVER TO SNOW NW OH TOWARD 12Z OR SO.  HIGHS
TODAY WILL BE IN THE MORNING WITH FALLING TEMPS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.  RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW EVERYWHERE BY 18Z.  EXPECT
A WIDESPREAD 1-3 INCHES ACROSS FORECAST AREA TODAY.

HAVE A WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA TODAY
WITH THE COMBINATION OF THE RAPID HEIGHT RISES BEHIND THE FRONT AND
THE STRONG CAA BEHIND THE ARCTIC FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FOR PRIMARY SNOWBELT WITH A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING FOR ERIE COUNTY PA.  COULD GET 2-4 INCHES TODAY
WITH THE FRONT ACROSS SNOWBELT...THEN EXPECT A LULL THIS EVENING.
OVERNIGHT EXPECT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP AS THE 850MB
TEMPS PLUNGE TO -18C.  BUFKIT SHOWS MODERATE INSTABILITY DEVELOPING
OVER THE LAKE WITH CLOUD TOPS AROUND 8K FT.   WITH A WEST FLOW SEE
NO REASON COULD NOT GET ANOTHER 3-4 INCHES OVERNIGHT...DEPENDS ON
HOW LONG IT TAKES FOR LAKE EFFECT TO KICK IN.  RIDGE MOVES QUICKLY
ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES MONDAY.  WINDS SHIFT TO THE SW FORCING THE
BANDS OVER LAKE ERIE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

A COLD PROGRESSIVE PATTERN SETTING UP FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT
TERM.   COLDEST TEMPS OF THE YEAR EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING WITH WIND
CHILLS HOVERING NEAR ZERO TO MINUS 5F.   FIRST CLIPPER SYSTEM SPEEDS
THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING WITH A QUICK COUPLE
OF INCHES OF SNOW.  THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY MORE ARCTIC AIR AS THE
850 TEMPS AGAIN PLUNGE TO -18C TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE MODELS HAVE BEEN PRETTY CONSISTENT WITH SOME SNOW/SNOW SHOWERS
OCCURRING IN THE TIGHT BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
ON THURSDAY AS A SHORT WAVE DROPS ACROSS THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCE
WOULD SEEM TO BE ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

STILL SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.
HEIGHTS ARE PROGGED TO RISE BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS THE TROUGH
ALOFT PULLS OUT. THE MODELS ARE A BIT WARMER COMPARED TO YESTERDAY.
DID NOT BITE OFF ON THE ENTIRE POTENTIAL FOR WARMER TEMPS SINCE SOME
OF THE MODELS WERE DEVELOPING A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY WHICH COULD CUT OFF THE WARMER AIR. ALSO...THE COLDER AIR
WILL REMAIN JUST TO THE NORTH AND WEST...A LITTLE TOO CLOSE FOR
COMFORT. FOR NOW WILL KEEP TEMPS NEAR NORMAL LATE IN THE WEEK. NOT
VERY CONFIDENT ON THE POTENTIAL FOR PRECIP AND KEPT LOW POPS IN THE
FORECAST AND JUST CALLED IN SNOW FOR THE TIME BEING ALTHOUGH SOME
RAIN OR PERHAPS FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE GIVEN A WARMER SCENARIO.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
CURRENT 06Z OBS ARE THE BEST THEY WILL GET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK OVERHEAD EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. EXPECT RAIN
SHIELD TO EXPAND NORTHWARD FAIRLY QUICKLY THROUGH 09Z OVER MOST IF
NOT ALL OF THE AREA. TOL/FDY ARE STARTING OUT ON THE EDGE OF THE
IFR. WITH TIME AND LIKELY QUICKLY WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE
STEADIER RAIN...EXPECT ALL SITES TO DETERIORATE TO IFR AND LIFR.
RAIN WILL BE THE PRECIP TYPE UNTIL NEAR 12Z TOL...14Z CLE...AND
19Z ERI WHEN PRECIP CHANGES OVER TO ACCUMULATING SNOW. VSBY WILL
BE DRAMATICALLY REDUCED AS WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTING TO
30 TO 38 KNOTS...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS FOR TOL/FDY AND ALONG THE
LAKESHORE FOR CLE AND ERI. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL FROM THIS POINT
FORWARD AND THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. BY LATE IN THE DAY SNOW STOPS
OR TAPERS FOR MOST AND AREA SHOULD LIFT OUT OF IFR INTO MVFR.
EXCEPTION WOULD BE FOR THE SNOWBELT INCLUDING KERI.

OUTLOOK...NON VFR TO LINGER ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND
ACROSS NE OH/NW PA MONDAY. NON VFR RETURNING MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY...LINGERING INTO WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NE OH/NW PA.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL INCREASE DRAMATICALLY ON LAKE ERIE TODAY AS THE COLD
FRONT SWEEPS WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE LAKE THIS MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF PRESSURE RISES...COLD ADVECTION AND
SUBSIDENCE OVER THE WARM WATER SHOULD MAKE FOR MAXIMUM MIXING AND
GALE FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS WILL DEVELOP.

THE BEST PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SHIFT EAST TONIGHT BUT GIVEN THE
WIND FIELD ALOFT OF 35 KNOTS AND THE WESTERLY WIND DIRECTION...GALES
COULD LINGER OVER EASTERN LAKE ERIE TONIGHT.

WINDS WILL BACK TO SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY AND WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE
A BIT BUT THE DECREASE WILL BE SHORT LIVED. A CLIPPER LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN ON TUESDAY AS IT CROSSES THE GREAT
LAKES AND SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL APPROACH GALE FORCE ON TUESDAY AND
VEER WEST TO NORTHWEST WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. FOR
NOW...WILL KEEP THE WINDS AT 30 KNOTS IN THE FORECAST BUT
IT WILL BE CLOSE TO GALES.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WEDNESDAY AND WIND
SPEEDS WILL BE A LITTLE LIGHTER. THE FLOW WILL BE SOUTHWEST BUT MAY
STILL REQUIRE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON EST
     MONDAY FOR OHZ012>014-089.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST THIS
     EVENING FOR OHZ012>014-022-023-033-089.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
     FOR OHZ003-006>011-017>021-027>032-036>038-047.
PA...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON EST
     MONDAY FOR PAZ003.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST THIS
     EVENING FOR PAZ001>003.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 PM EST
     MONDAY FOR PAZ001-002.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ061-149-
     169.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LEZ142>145-
     162>165.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ146>148-166>168.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DJB
NEAR TERM...DJB
SHORT TERM...DJB
LONG TERM...KOSARIK
AVIATION...KOSARIK
MARINE...KOSARIK
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 9, 4:27 PM EST, 11 hours 56 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
427 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

OHZ003-006>011-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-102130-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-HANCOCK-SENECA-
HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-
ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
427 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY AS AN
ARCTIC SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL INCREASE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT AND GUSTS OF
40-45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON ARE EXPECTED BY MONDAY
MORNING...WHEN WIND CHILLS WILL APPROACH ZERO TO MINUS 5 BELOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-102130-
LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
427 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR SUNDAY AS AN ARCTIC SYSTEM
MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE
HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED IN ERIE COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA.
STAY TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS FOR UPDATES. GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST
WINDS OF 40-50 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

WIND CHILLS WILL HOVER NEAR ZERO MONDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-102130-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
427 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

MONDAY...THE COMBINATION OF WINDS OVER 15 KNOTS AND TEMPERATURES
BELOW 25 DEGREES MAY RESULT IN MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
FOR SHIPS ON LAKE ERIE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 10, 4:23 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryCLECrawford29 hr
Jan 10, 4:27 AM ESTWind AdvisoryCLECrawford, Erie14 hr

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2016Every lake effect snow warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.