Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 474

September 10, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 10, 2016, 3:30 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 10, 2016, 3:30 PM EDT (19:30 UTC)
Expired
Sep 10, 2016, 9:59 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 67 counties

Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Athens County, OH, Belmont County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Monroe County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Noble County, OH, Perry County, OH, Portage County, OH, Richland County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Washington County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Elk County, PA, Erie County, PA, Forest County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA, Washington County, PA, Brooke County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Ohio County, WV

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 10, 3:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLECrawford, Huron, Seneca48 min
Sep 10, 4:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLECuyahoga, Lorain, Medina48 min
Sep 10, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEAshland, Knox, Medina, Morrow, Richland, Wayne61 min
Sep 10, 4:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLECuyahoga, Geauga, Lake65 min
Sep 10, 5:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEAshtabula, Geauga, Lake, Portage, Summit, Trumbull65 min
Sep 10, 6:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZCoshocton14 min
Sep 10, 6:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFErie, Niagara52 min
Sep 10, 6:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEAshtabula67 min
Sep 10, 6:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFErie, Niagara64 min
Sep 10, 6:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFChautauqua64 min
Sep 10, 7:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZCoshocton, Guernsey, Muskingum, Tuscarawas27 min
Sep 10, 7:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFNiagara, Orleans51 min
Sep 10, 7:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLECrawford, Erie51 min
Sep 10, 7:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFErie, Genesee, Livingston, Monroe, Niagara, Orleans and 1 more49 min
Sep 10, 7:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZMercer44 min
Sep 10, 7:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie43 min
Sep 10, 7:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZClarion, Mercer, Venango39 min
Sep 10, 7:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZBelmont, Harrison, Jefferson29 min
Sep 10, 7:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie61 min
Sep 10, 8:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFGenesee, Monroe, Orleans41 min
Sep 10, 8:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLECrawford, Erie24 min
Sep 10, 8:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPWarren53 min
Sep 10, 8:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZForest, Venango38 min
Sep 10, 9:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus56 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2016-09-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 258 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2016-09-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 181 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
258 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
854 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
181 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
179 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 10, 1:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChautauqua2 hr
Sep 10, 2:35 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Herkimer, Jefferson, Lewis, Oneida, Oswego and 2 more2 hr
Sep 10, 4:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Niagara, Wyoming2 hr
Sep 9, 11:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Auglaize, Darke, Hancock, Hardin, Henry and 8 more96 min
Sep 10, 2:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Butler, Champaign, Clark, Clermont and 22 more5 hr
Sep 10, 4:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Clermont, Clinton, Fayette, Franklin and 6 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.