Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 473

September 10, 201611 counties in Indiana; 64 counties in Kentucky; 28 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 10, 2016, 2:24 PM EDT for 11 counties in Indiana; 64 counties in Kentucky; 28 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 10, 2016, 2:24 PM EDT (18:24 UTC)
Expired
Sep 10, 2016, 7:49 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 103 counties

Clark County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Scott County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Union County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bath County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grant County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Mason County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Madison County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Preble County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Union County, OH, Warren County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 10, 2:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Harrison, Perry33 min
Sep 10, 3:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFloyd, Harrison, Perry30 min
Sep 10, 3:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Jefferson, Scott, Washington32 min
Sep 10, 3:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFloyd, Harrison24 min
Sep 10, 3:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDearborn, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland27 min
Sep 10, 3:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBreckinridge, Hardin, Meade26 min
Sep 10, 3:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNOhio, Switzerland36 min
Sep 10, 3:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKJefferson17 min
Sep 10, 3:44 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNDearborn, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland3 hr
Sep 10, 3:51 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNButler114 min
Sep 10, 3:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Jefferson, Oldham, Shelby, Spencer37 min
Sep 10, 3:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDearborn, Ohio36 min
Sep 10, 3:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison33 min
Sep 10, 4:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLogan24 min
Sep 10, 4:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDelaware, Franklin, Madison, Union27 min
Sep 10, 4:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNClark, Madison37 min
Sep 10, 4:45 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNCarroll, Gallatin2 hr
Sep 10, 4:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFranklin, Scott26 min
Sep 10, 4:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDelaware, Franklin, Madison37 min
Sep 10, 5:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNCampbell, Pendleton44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2016-09-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2016-09-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 106 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-258 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1264 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 9, 9:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Brown, Carroll and 40 more60 min
Sep 9, 11:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Delaware, Fayette, Grant and 10 more96 min
Sep 10, 1:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Dearborn, Floyd, Franklin, Harrison and 10 more2 hr
Sep 10, 2:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalloway, Graves, Hickman, Marshall, Trigg2 hr
Sep 10, 4:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bourbon, Boyle and 39 more2 hr
Sep 10, 3:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshland, Ashtabula, Athens, Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana and 31 more6 hr
Sep 10, 4:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Ashtabula, Carroll, Columbiana, Cuyahoga, Geauga and 12 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.