Alert archive / North Dakota / Williams County
Weather alerts in Williams County, North Dakota, 2015
112 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Williams County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 112
- Warnings
- 28
- Watches
- 17
- Advisories
- 46
- Busiest month
- July24 alerts
- Busiest day
- July 4, 20156 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Williams County in 2015 had a tornado report inside them; 0 of 2 tornado reports fell inside a warning.
Williams County, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 2 | 0% | |
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 9 | 8 | 11% | 7 | 71% | 24 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 2 | 1 | 50% | 1 | 100% | 25 min |
Each office's whole area, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Bismarck, ND: tornado warnings | 15 | 1 | 93% | 7 | 14% | 4 min |
| NWS Bismarck, ND: severe thunderstorm warnings | 183 | 122 | 33% | 264 | 77% | 26 min |
| NWS Bismarck, ND: flash flood warnings | 4 | 2 | 50% | 2 | 100% | 26 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 3:55 AM CST | Winter Storm Watch | BIS | 11 hr |
| Jan 1, 3:10 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | BIS | 39 hr |
| Jan 3, 6:30 AM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | BIS | 54 hr |
| Jan 5, 3:42 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | BIS | 32 hr |
| Jan 6, 3:24 AM CST | Wind Chill Warning | BIS | 33 hr |
| Jan 7, 3:55 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | BIS | 26 hr |
| Jan 8, 2:41 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | BIS | 21 hr |
| Jan 9, 2:56 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | BIS | 19 hr |
| Jan 11, 3:09 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | BIS | 19 hr |
| Feb 3, 9:37 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | BIS | 12 hr |
| Feb 5, 3:26 PM CST | Freezing Rain Advisory | BIS | 12 hr |
| Feb 7, 3:12 PM CST | Freezing Rain Advisory | BIS | 23 hr |
| Feb 8, 2:53 PM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | BIS | 31 hr |
| Feb 9, 3:38 AM CST | Freezing Rain Advisory | BIS | 29 hr |
| Feb 9, 10:48 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Feb 13, 3:53 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | BIS | 24 hr |
| Feb 14, 3:49 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | BIS | 30 hr |
| Feb 16, 3:24 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | BIS | 45 hr |
| Feb 20, 5:50 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | BIS | 60 hr |
| Feb 25, 3:34 AM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | BIS | 32 hr |
| Feb 26, 2:59 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | BIS | 19 hr |
| Mar 2, 2:25 PM CST | Wind Advisory | BIS | 28 hr |
| Mar 3, 2:56 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | BIS | 21 hr |
| Mar 4, 2:43 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | BIS | 18 hr |
| Mar 24, 2:39 AM CDT | Winter Weather Advisory | BIS | 24 hr |
| Mar 28, 3:59 AM CDT | Wind Advisory | BIS | 33 hr |
| Mar 31, 3:56 AM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | BIS | 11 hr |
| Mar 31, 3:25 PM CDT | Red Flag Warning | BIS | 30 hr |
| Mar 31, 3:46 PM CDT | Wind Advisory | BIS | 28 hr |
| Apr 2, 6:35 AM CDT | Wind Advisory | BIS | 12 hr |
| Apr 11, 4:13 AM CDT | Red Flag Warning | BIS | 15 hr |
| Apr 11, 3:47 PM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | BIS | 12 hr |
| Apr 13, 3:59 AM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | BIS | 17 hr |
| Apr 13, 8:58 PM CDT | Red Flag Warning | BIS | 25 hr |
| Apr 19, 2:33 PM CDT | Red Flag Warning | BIS | 31 hr |
| Apr 30, 3:28 PM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | BIS | 12 hr |
| May 1, 3:21 AM CDT | Red Flag Warning | BIS | 16 hr |
| May 1, 2:51 PM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | BIS | 12 hr |
| May 2, 3:10 AM CDT | Red Flag Warning | BIS | 17 hr |
| May 3, 6:56 PM CDT | Frost Advisory | BIS | 14 hr |
| May 7, 2:58 PM CDT | Frost Advisory | BIS | 17 hr |
| May 8, 3:40 PM CDT | Frost Advisory | BIS | 17 hr |
| May 17, 2:54 PM CDT | Freeze Warning | BIS | 19 hr |
| May 18, 4:00 AM CDT | Freeze Warning | BIS | 29 hr |
| May 19, 3:01 PM CDT | Frost Advisory | BIS | 18 hr |
| Jun 1, 3:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 3, 11:05 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | BIS | 10 days |
| Jun 6, 12:15 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | BIS | 6 hr |
| Jun 6, 6:50 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | 25 min |
| Jun 9, 12:21 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | BIS | 12 days |
| Jun 19, 1:53 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 19, 3:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Jun 19, 4:15 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | 60 min |
| Jun 19, 5:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | 64 min |
| Jun 19, 5:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 57 min |
| Jun 20, 4:30 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | BIS | 5 hr |
| Jun 21, 2:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 21, 2:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | 54 min |
| Jun 21, 3:23 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jun 21, 5:24 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 66 min |
| Jun 23, 2:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| Jun 25, 9:17 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | BIS | 3 hr |
| Jun 30, 5:29 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 30, 6:49 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | 26 min |
| Jul 1, 3:07 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | BIS | 7 hr |
| Jul 4, 1:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 4, 2:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 4, 3:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | 66 min |
| Jul 4, 3:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | 51 min |
| Jul 4, 4:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | 45 min |
| Jul 4, 5:36 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | GGW | 54 min |
| Jul 14, 9:04 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | 41 min |
| Jul 14, 9:24 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | 51 min |
| Jul 14, 10:06 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | 39 min |
| Jul 15, 6:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | 65 min |
| Jul 15, 7:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 22, 6:36 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | 24 min |
| Jul 26, 3:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | 33 min |
| Jul 26, 3:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | 62 min |
| Jul 27, 3:40 AM CDT | High Wind Watch | BIS | 23 hr |
| Jul 27, 4:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jul 27, 6:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 27, 7:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 27, 8:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | 67 min |
| Jul 27, 9:19 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 27, 9:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | 66 min |
| Jul 27, 11:46 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | BIS | 59 min |
| Jul 28, 2:33 AM CDT | High Wind Warning | BIS | 22 hr |
| Aug 14, 4:10 AM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | BIS | 12 hr |
| Aug 14, 3:50 PM CDT | Red Flag Warning | BIS | 29 hr |
| Aug 21, 1:42 PM CDT | Wind Advisory | BIS | 53 hr |
| Aug 28, 2:55 PM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | BIS | 13 hr |
| Sep 10, 1:59 PM CDT | Frost Advisory | BIS | 19 hr |
| Sep 17, 3:14 PM CDT | Frost Advisory | BIS | 18 hr |
| Sep 28, 1:25 PM CDT | Frost Advisory | BIS | 19 hr |
| Oct 10, 11:10 AM CDT | High Wind Watch | BIS | 17 hr |
| Oct 11, 3:48 AM CDT | High Wind Warning | BIS | 35 hr |
| Oct 15, 3:33 AM CDT | Freeze Warning | BIS | 30 hr |
| Oct 26, 4:17 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | BIS | 8 hr |
| Oct 28, 3:44 AM CDT | Wind Advisory | BIS | 15 hr |
| Oct 31, 3:46 AM CDT | Wind Advisory | BIS | 15 hr |
| Nov 10, 12:45 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | BIS | 11 hr |
| Nov 10, 2:47 PM CST | High Wind Watch | BIS | 24 hr |
| Nov 11, 2:48 PM CST | Wind Advisory | BIS | 27 hr |
| Nov 16, 7:32 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | BIS | 4 hr |
| Nov 16, 2:49 PM CST | High Wind Watch | BIS | 30 hr |
| Nov 17, 4:44 AM CST | High Wind Warning | BIS | 55 hr |
| Nov 19, 3:33 AM CST | Wind Advisory | BIS | 14 hr |
| Dec 12, 3:36 PM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | BIS | 23 hr |
| Dec 20, 9:10 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | BIS | 9 hr |
| Dec 20, 8:05 PM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | BIS | 16 hr |
| Dec 25, 8:45 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | BIS | 13 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 9 |
| Tornado Warning | 1 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 3 |
| Tornado Watch | 2 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 12 |
| Special Weather Statement | 9 |
| Flooding | |
| Flash Flood Warning | 2 |
| River Flood Warning | 2 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Storm Watch | 1 |
| Freezing Rain Advisory | 3 |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 4 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 3 |
| Wind Chill Warning | 1 |
| Frost Advisory | 7 |
| Wind Chill Advisory | 14 |
| Wind and dust | |
| High Wind Warning | 3 |
| High Wind Watch | 4 |
| Wind Advisory | 9 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 7 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 7 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 9 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.