Alert archive / North Dakota / Red Flag Warnings in 2015

Red Flag Warning 9, NWS Bismarck, ND

April 13, 201536 counties in North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this red flag warning at Apr 13, 2015, 7:58 PM MDT for 36 counties in North Dakota. It took effect at Apr 14, 2015, 11:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 13, 2015, 7:58 PM MDT (01:58 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 14, 2015, 11:00 AM MDT
Expired
Apr 14, 2015, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Bismarck, ND
All 36 counties

Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burke County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Ward County, ND, Wells County, ND, Williams County, ND

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2015-04-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2015-04-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 49 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3434 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

010 
WWUS83 KBIS 140158
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
858 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
TUESDAY...

.A WARM...WINDY AND VERY DRY DAY IS FORECAST ACROSS ALL OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE MID 70S TO THE LOWER 80S WITH AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO BECOME SUSTAINED AT 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35
MPH TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL
SUPPORT RAPID FIRE GROWTH FROM ANY START.

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-141000-
/O.UPG.KBIS.FW.A.0008.150414T1800Z-150415T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KBIS.FW.W.0009.150414T1700Z-150415T0300Z/
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
858 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015 /758 PM MDT MON APR 13 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 10 PM
CDT /9 PM MDT/ TUESDAY FOR WARM TEMPERATURES...STRONG WINDS AND
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WARM TEMPERATURES...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 10 PM
CDT /9 PM MDT/ TUESDAY. THIS REPLACES THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH THAT
WAS IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 DIVIDE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 002 BURKE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 RENVILLE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 004 BOTTINEAU...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 005 ROLETTE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 009 WILLIAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 010 MOUNTRAIL...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 011 WARD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 012 MCHENRY...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 PIERCE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 
  MCKENZIE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 018 DUNN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 
  MERCER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 
  MCLEAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 025 FOSTER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  031 GOLDEN VALLEY... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 032 BILLINGS...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 033 STARK... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 034 MORTON...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 035 BURLEIGH... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 KIDDER...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 037 STUTSMAN... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 040 
  SLOPE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 HETTINGER... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 043 BOWMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  044 ADAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 045 SIOUX...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  046 EMMONS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  048 LA MOURE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TIMING...TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

AYD
5 follow-up statements
274 
WWUS83 KBIS 140842
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
342 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
TODAY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA ON
WEDNESDAY...

.A WARM...WINDY AND VERY DRY DAY IS FORECAST TODAY ACROSS ALL OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST
TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 70S TO THE LOWER 80S WITH AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 10 TO 20 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THESE CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT RAPID FIRE GROWTH
FROM ANY START.

ON WEDNESDAY...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. STRONG SOUTH WINDS OF 25
TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THIS AREA...WITH
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 30 PERCENT. THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
BOTTINEAU AND MCHENRY COUNTIES...SOUTHWARD TO SHERIDAN...BURLEIGH...AND
EMMONS COUNTIES.

NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-141645-
/O.NEW.KBIS.FW.A.0009.150415T1700Z-150416T0100Z/
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0009.150414T1700Z-150415T0300Z/
BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MCHENRY-PIERCE-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-BURLEIGH-
KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
342 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM
CDT THIS EVENING FOR WARM CONDITIONS...STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
EASTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH
IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 BOTTINEAU...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 005 ROLETTE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 012 MCHENRY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 013 PIERCE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 025 FOSTER...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 035 BURLEIGH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 
  KIDDER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 037 STUTSMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  046 EMMONS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  048 LA MOURE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TIMING...TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING.
           WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 20 PERCENT TODAY. 
                      30 PERCENT WEDNESDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S TODAY.
                 IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NDZ001>003-009>011-017>021-031>034-040>045-141645-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0009.150414T1700Z-150415T0300Z/
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCKENZIE-DUNN-
MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-SLOPE-
HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-
342 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015 /242 AM MDT TUE APR 14 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/
TODAY TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR WARM
CONDITIONS...STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 DIVIDE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 002 BURKE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 RENVILLE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 009 WILLIAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 010 MOUNTRAIL...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 011 WARD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 MCKENZIE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 018 DUNN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 MERCER...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 MCLEAN...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 031 GOLDEN VALLEY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 032 
  BILLINGS... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 033 STARK...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  034 MORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 040 SLOPE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  041 HETTINGER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 043 BOWMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 044 ADAMS AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 045 SIOUX.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 20 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

JV
986 
WWUS83 KBIS 141522
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1022 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
TODAY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA WEDNESDAY...

.A WARM...WINDY AND DRY DAY IS FORECAST TODAY ACROSS ALL OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S...WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS LOW AS 10
PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL SUPPORT RAPID
FIRE GROWTH SHOULD ANY FIRE IGNITE.

ON WEDNESDAY...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 30 PERCENT. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FROM BOTTINEAU COUNTY...
SOUTH THROUGH EMMONS COUNTY...AND EAST TO THE MINNESOTA BORDER.

NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-142330-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0009.150414T1700Z-150415T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.A.0009.150415T1700Z-150416T0100Z/
BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MCHENRY-PIERCE-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-BURLEIGH-
KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
1022 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR MUCH OF
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 BOTTINEAU...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 005 ROLETTE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 012 MCHENRY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 013 PIERCE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 025 FOSTER...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 035 BURLEIGH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 
  KIDDER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 037 STUTSMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  046 EMMONS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  048 LA MOURE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RED FLAG WARNING TIMING...UNTIL 10 PM CDT TODAY

* FIRE WEATHER WATCH TIMING...WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT TODAY...AND AS LOW AS
                      30 PERCENT WEDNESDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...70 TO 80 TODAY...AND MID 60S WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NDZ001>003-009>011-017>021-031>034-040>045-142330-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0009.150414T1700Z-150415T0300Z/
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCKENZIE-DUNN-
MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-SLOPE-
HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-
1022 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2015 /922 AM MDT TUE APR 14 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 DIVIDE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 002 BURKE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 RENVILLE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 009 WILLIAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 010 MOUNTRAIL...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 011 WARD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 MCKENZIE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 018 DUNN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 MERCER...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 MCLEAN...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 031 GOLDEN VALLEY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 032 
  BILLINGS... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 033 STARK...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  034 MORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 040 SLOPE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  041 HETTINGER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 043 BOWMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 044 ADAMS AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 045 SIOUX.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TIMING...UNTIL 10 PM CDT TODAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 80.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

CK/KS
621 
WWUS83 KBIS 142020
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
320 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
UNTIL 10 PM CDT TUESDAY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA WEDNESDAY...

.WARM...WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALL OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.
TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S...RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS LOW AS
10 PERCENT...AND SOUTHEAST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH...WILL
SUPPORT RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD ANY FIRE IGNITE.

ON WEDNESDAY...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 25 PERCENT. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FROM BOTTINEAU COUNTY...
SOUTH THROUGH EMMONS COUNTY...AND EAST TO THE MINNESOTA BORDER.

NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-150300-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150415T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.A.0009.150415T1700Z-150416T0100Z/
BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MCHENRY-PIERCE-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-BURLEIGH-
KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
320 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR WARM TEMPERATURES...STRONG WINDS...AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 BOTTINEAU...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 005 ROLETTE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 012 MCHENRY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 013 PIERCE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 025 FOSTER...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 035 BURLEIGH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 
  KIDDER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 037 STUTSMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  046 EMMONS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  048 LA MOURE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RED FLAG WARNING TIMING...UNTIL 10 PM CDT TUESDAY.

* FIRE WEATHER WATCH TIMING...WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND
  AS LOW AS 25 PERCENT WEDNESDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...70 TO 80 TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND MID 60S WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NDZ001>003-009>011-017>021-031>034-040>045-150300-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150415T0300Z/
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCKENZIE-DUNN-
MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-SLOPE-
HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-
320 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2015 /220 PM MDT TUE APR 14 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...STRONG WINDS...AND LOW 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 DIVIDE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 002 BURKE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 RENVILLE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 009 WILLIAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 010 MOUNTRAIL...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 011 WARD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 MCKENZIE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 018 DUNN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 MERCER...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 MCLEAN...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 031 GOLDEN VALLEY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 032 
  BILLINGS... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 033 STARK...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  034 MORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 040 SLOPE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  041 HETTINGER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 043 BOWMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 044 ADAMS AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 045 SIOUX.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TIMING...UNTIL 10 PM CDT TODAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 70S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

CK/KS
268 
WWUS83 KBIS 150055
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
755 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
UNTIL 10 PM CDT TUESDAY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
WEDNESDAY...

.CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING
ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. TEMPERATURES IN
THE 70S...RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS OF 10 TO 20 PERCENT AND
SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 10 PM
CDT...9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

ON WEDNESDAY...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 25 PERCENT. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FROM BOTTINEAU COUNTY...
SOUTH THROUGH EMMONS COUNTY...AND EAST TO THE MINNESOTA BORDER.

NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-150900-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150415T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.A.0009.150415T1700Z-150416T0100Z/
BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MCHENRY-PIERCE-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-BURLEIGH-
KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
755 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR WARM TEMPERATURES...STRONG WINDS...AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 BOTTINEAU...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 005 ROLETTE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 012 MCHENRY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 013 PIERCE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 025 FOSTER...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 035 BURLEIGH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 
  KIDDER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 037 STUTSMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  046 EMMONS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  048 LA MOURE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 THIS EVENING...SOUTH 30 TO 40 MPH
  WEDNESDAY.

* RED FLAG WARNING TIMING...UNTIL 10 PM CDT TUESDAY.

* FIRE WEATHER WATCH TIMING...WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 14 PERCENT THIS EVENING...25
  PERCENT WEDNESDAY. 

* TEMPERATURES...70S THIS EVENING...60S WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NDZ001>003-009>011-017>021-031>034-040>045-150300-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150415T0300Z/
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCKENZIE-DUNN-
MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-SLOPE-
HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-
755 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2015 /655 PM MDT TUE APR 14 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...STRONG WINDS...AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 DIVIDE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 002 BURKE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 RENVILLE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 009 WILLIAMS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 010 MOUNTRAIL...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 011 WARD...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 017 MCKENZIE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 018 DUNN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 019 MERCER...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 020 OLIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 021 MCLEAN...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 031 GOLDEN VALLEY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 032 
  BILLINGS... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 033 STARK...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  034 MORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 040 SLOPE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  041 HETTINGER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 GRANT...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 043 BOWMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 044 ADAMS AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 045 SIOUX.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH.

* TIMING...UNTIL 10 PM CDT TODAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 12 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE 70S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

AYD
689 
WWUS83 KBIS 150254
RFWBIS

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
954 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2015


...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
WEDNESDAY...

.ON WEDNESDAY...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR
MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 25 PERCENT. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FROM BOTTINEAU COUNTY...
SOUTH THROUGH EMMONS COUNTY...AND POINTS EAST.

NDZ004-005-012-013-022-023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-151100-
/O.EXP.KBIS.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150415T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.A.0009.150415T1700Z-150416T0100Z/
BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MCHENRY-PIERCE-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-BURLEIGH-
KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
954 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2015

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
WARM TEMPERATURES...STRONG WINDS...AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 BOTTINEAU...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 005 ROLETTE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 012 MCHENRY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 013 PIERCE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 022 SHERIDAN...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 023 WELLS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 025 FOSTER...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 035 BURLEIGH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 036 
  KIDDER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 037 STUTSMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  046 EMMONS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 047 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  048 LA MOURE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 050 MCINTOSH AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 051 DICKEY.

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 27 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.

* IMPACTS...RAPID FIRE GROWTH SHOULD A FIRE IGNITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NDZ001>003-009>011-017>021-031>034-040>045-150400-
/O.EXP.KBIS.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150415T0300Z/
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCKENZIE-DUNN-
MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-SLOPE-
HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-
954 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2015 /854 PM MDT TUE APR 14 2015/

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING FOR VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...STRONG WINDS...AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RECOVER THROUGH
THE NIGHT WITH BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$

AYD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 13, 6:56 PM MDT, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 13, 6:56 PM MDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
756 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 756 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015

ANOTHER QUICK UPDATE TO EXPIRE THE RED FLAG WARNING ON TIME AT 01
UTC. WILL LIKELY UPGRADE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH ON TUESDAY TO A
RED FLAG WARNING IN THE NEXT ONE TO TWO HOURS.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 655 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015

QUICK UPDATE TO CANCEL THE WIND ADVISORY NORTH CENTRAL PER OBSERVED
TRENDS THROUGH 2330 UTC. GIVEN VERY LITTLE UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TOMORROW...EXPECTING TO UPGRADE
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING LATER THIS EVENING
AFTER THE CURRENT WARNING EXPIRES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 258 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015

FIRE WEATHER ISSUES ARE FRONT AND CENTER THIS FORECAST PERIOD. RED
FLAG WARNING CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING CENTRAL
AND EAST. WEST AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA HAS BEEN IMPACTED BY
SEVERAL DAYS OF ELEVATED TEMPERATURES...WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES.
LITTLE RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH NO DEW EXPECTED WITH MAX
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 70 PERCENT OR LESS. ALSO DEALING WITH A
WIND ADVISORY ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS
GUSTING AROUND 50 MPH. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY THIS
EVENING.

CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
THEN ON TUESDAY...LEE SIDE SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL
SET UP A SIGNIFICANT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS. INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE
WITH VERY DRY SURFACE CONDITIONS AND HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S
TO THE LOWER 80S TO CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS STATE
WIDE.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 258 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015

MAIN HIGHLIGHT IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD IS FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
POSSIBLY CARRYING OVER INTO WEDNESDAY FOR MAINLY EAST CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...FROM THE TURTLE MOUNTAINS SOUTH INTO THE JAMES RIVER
VALLEY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON LIMITING MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO AROUND 35 PERCENT.
SOUTHERLY WINDS PER NAM/GFS BUFKIT PROFILES REMAIN ROBUST RANGING
BETWEEN 25 MPH AND 35 MPH. A BORDERLINE MARGINAL CASE FOR FIRE
WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS BASED ON WINDS/RELATIVE HUMIDITY. GIVEN THE
OVERALL DRYNESS...STRONG WINDS MAY TRUMP THE INFLUX OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WITH POSSIBLE HIGHLIGHTS IN FUTURE SHIFTS. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A SPLIT FLOW DEVELOPS
TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A SOUTHERN STREAM CLOSED UPPER LOW FORMING IN
EASTERN IDAHO AND SLOWLY MEANDERING INTO THE FOUR CORNERS THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY. A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL ENTER WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA
AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY...THEN SLOWLY CRAWL ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA AND INTO THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY ABOUT 24HRS LATER...OR
09Z-12Z THURSDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE POST FRONTAL AS THE
THE MID/UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE SHIFTS THROUGH. EXPECT A SLIGHT CHANCE
TO CHANCE OF SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA.

THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THE ABOVE MENTIONED SHORTWAVE MOVES
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING WITH THE NORTHERN STREAM TAKING
CONTROL ACROSS NORTH DAKOTA. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY. A WEAK SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT
GRAZE WESTERN/CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING
WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST. FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON...MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES RANGE BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT OVER WESTERN AND
MOST OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA WITH WINDS IN THE 10 TO 20 MPH RANGE
WHICH WILL LIKELY BE THE LIMITING FACTOR FOR NOT ISSUING ANY
HIGHLIGHTS. THE WINDS FRIDAY ARE SLIGHTLY STRONGER RANGING BETWEEN
15 AND 25 MPH WITH MINIMUM HUMIDITIES AGAIN BETWEEN 20 AND 25
PERCENT. UPPER RIDGING SLIDES FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES FRIDAY INTO
NORTH DAKOTA SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH WARMER CONDITIONS. SATURDAY MAY
ACTUALLY SUPPORT A HIGHER PROBABILITY FOR FIRE WEATHER HEADLINES AS
WITH NEARLY THE SAME MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AS THU/FRI BUT WINDS
WILL BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER. WILL MONITOR THIS IN THE COMING DAYS.

A DEEPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH/STRONGER SURFACE FRONT MOVE ACROSS
SASKATCHEWAN AND MONTANA SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THEN GRADUALLY SLIDES
THROUGH NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COOLER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 756 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THIS EVENING...AND TURN FROM WEST
TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
DAY ON TUESDAY WITH SOUTHEASTERLY GUSTS OF 30-35 KTS AHEAD OF
STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA. VFR CONDITIONS
FORECAST FOR THE 00 UTC TAF CYCLE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 258 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015

RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA ON
TUESDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING ALONG
AND EAST OF A LINE FROM BURKE AND MOUNTRAIL COUNTIES SOUTH TO
GRANT AND SIOUX COUNTIES.

TUESDAY...VERY WARM WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
AGAIN AT 15 TO 20 PERCENT. THE STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...THEREFORE THE WATCH WILL BE
IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT OR 9 PM MDT.

WEDNESDAY...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MAINLY FOR EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...BUT MAY BE MARGINAL FOR AREAS FROM THE TURTLE MOUNTAINS TO
THE JAMES VALLEY. SOUTH WINDS SHOULD BE STRONGEST IN EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL HUMIDITY WITH THE APPROACH OF A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE WEST MAY BRING SOME RELIEF TO WESTERN
AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR
NDZ002>005-010>013-019>023-025-034>037-042-045>048-050-051.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FOR NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-
051.

&&

UPDATE...AYD
SHORT TERM...WA
LONG TERM...KS
AVIATION...AYD
FIRE WEATHER...WA
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 13, 6:54 PM MDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
754 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-150100-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
754 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015 /654 PM MDT MON APR 13 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA ON
TUESDAY.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY
ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
AROUND 35 PERCENT. FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS MAY BE WARRANTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

MORE WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
AT WEATHER.GOV/BIS.

AYD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 2:42 AM MDTFire Weather WatchBISBottineau, Burleigh, Dickey, Emmons, Foster, Kidder and 9 more24 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in North Dakota, 2015Every red flag warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.