Alert archive / North Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 324
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 21, 2015, 2:23 PM MDT for 12 counties in Montana; 39 counties in North Dakota; 4 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 21, 2015, 2:23 PM MDT (20:23 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 21, 2015, 10:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 55 counties
Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Daniels County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, McCone County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Adams County, ND, Benson County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burke County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Towner County, ND, Ward County, ND, Wells County, ND, Williams County, ND, Campbell County, SD, Corson County, SD, Dewey County, SD, McPherson County, SD
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Burke, Mountrail, Ward | 51 min |
| Jun 21, 2:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Custer | 62 min |
| Jun 21, 3:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Prairie | 57 min |
| Jun 21, 3:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Prairie | 57 min |
| Jun 21, 3:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Custer, Fallon | 58 min |
| Jun 21, 3:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Mountrail, Renville, Ward | 30 min |
| Jun 21, 3:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Wibaux | 37 min |
| Jun 21, 4:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Fallon | 59 min |
| Jun 21, 4:35 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Bowman | 55 min |
| Jun 21, 5:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Bowman | 62 min |
| Jun 21, 5:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Adams, Bowman, Hettinger, Slope | 64 min |
| Jun 21, 6:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Benson, Ramsey, Towner | 55 min |
| Jun 21, 6:36 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | FGF | Benson, Towner | 26 min |
| Jun 21, 6:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McHenry, Pierce | 31 min |
| Jun 21, 6:55 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | Morton | 35 min |
| Jun 21, 6:58 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | Adams, Grant, Hettinger | 32 min |
| Jun 21, 7:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Burleigh, Morton | 61 min |
| Jun 21, 7:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Adams, Grant, Hettinger, Sioux | 58 min |
| Jun 21, 7:34 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BIS | Burleigh, Morton | 6 hr |
| Jun 21, 7:36 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Custer, Rosebud | 54 min |
| Jun 21, 8:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Corson | 39 min |
| Jun 21, 8:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Emmons, Morton, Sioux | 64 min |
| Jun 21, 8:22 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter, Custer, Fallon | 53 min |
| Jun 21, 9:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Foster, Stutsman | 42 min |
| Jun 21, 9:07 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Emmons, Logan, McIntosh | 53 min |
| Jun 21, 9:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter, Fallon | 62 min |
| Jun 21, 9:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Bowman | 64 min |
| Jun 21, 9:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Dewey | 48 min |
| Jun 21, 9:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Brown, McPherson | 52 min |
| Jun 21, 9:49 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Dickey, McIntosh | 56 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 226 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2128 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -12 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 92 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
966
WWUS20 KWNS 212021
SEL4
SPC WW 212021
MTZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-220400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 324
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM MDT SUN JUN 21 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN MONTANA
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
NORTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SUPERCELL STORMS ERUPTING ACROSS EASTERN MT AT PRESENT
WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS LARGE SCALE
ASCENT SPREADS EAST FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND AIDS LEE-SIDE
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY CONGEAL INTO A MORE
EXTENSIVE BOW ECHO ACROSS THE DAKOTAS THROUGH LATE EVENING WHERE
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL LIKELY CONTINUE AFTER DARK.
TORNADO POTENTIAL EXISTS IN THE INITIAL AND TRANSITORY STAGES
...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE INSTABILITY AXIS OVER WESTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...GIVEN STRENGTHENING LOW AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IN THE
PRESENCE OF HIGHER BOUNDARY LAYER RH.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 165 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTHWEST OF MINOT
NORTH DAKOTA TO 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF LEMMON SOUTH DAKOTA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 322...WW 323...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.
...CARBINSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 1:28 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Custer, Daniels, Dawson, Fallon, Garfield, McCone and 10 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 21, 4:24 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Dawson, Fallon, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan and 1 more | 66 min |
| Jun 20, 7:47 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bennett, Oglala Lakota | 58 min |
| Jun 21, 12:05 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bennett, Custer, Fall River, Jackson, Lawrence, Mellette and 3 more | 85 min |
| Jun 21, 4:57 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Butte, Harding, Lawrence, Meade, Perkins, Ziebach | 5 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2015Tornado Watches in Montana, 2015Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.