Alert archive / North Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 324

June 21, 201512 counties in Montana; 39 counties in North Dakota; 4 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 21, 2015, 2:23 PM MDT for 12 counties in Montana; 39 counties in North Dakota; 4 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 21, 2015, 2:23 PM MDT (20:23 UTC)
Expired
Jun 21, 2015, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 55 counties

Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Daniels County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, McCone County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Adams County, ND, Benson County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burke County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Towner County, ND, Ward County, ND, Wells County, ND, Williams County, ND, Campbell County, SD, Corson County, SD, Dewey County, SD, McPherson County, SD

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 21, 2:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurke, Mountrail, Ward51 min
Jun 21, 2:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCuster62 min
Jun 21, 3:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWPrairie57 min
Jun 21, 3:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Prairie57 min
Jun 21, 3:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCuster, Fallon58 min
Jun 21, 3:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMountrail, Renville, Ward30 min
Jun 21, 3:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWWibaux37 min
Jun 21, 4:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZFallon59 min
Jun 21, 4:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBowman55 min
Jun 21, 5:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBowman62 min
Jun 21, 5:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Bowman, Hettinger, Slope64 min
Jun 21, 6:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson, Ramsey, Towner55 min
Jun 21, 6:36 PM MDTTornado WarningFGFBenson, Towner26 min
Jun 21, 6:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcHenry, Pierce31 min
Jun 21, 6:55 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMorton35 min
Jun 21, 6:58 PM MDTTornado WarningBISAdams, Grant, Hettinger32 min
Jun 21, 7:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Morton61 min
Jun 21, 7:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Grant, Hettinger, Sioux58 min
Jun 21, 7:34 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBISBurleigh, Morton6 hr
Jun 21, 7:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCuster, Rosebud54 min
Jun 21, 8:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCorson39 min
Jun 21, 8:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISEmmons, Morton, Sioux64 min
Jun 21, 8:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCarter, Custer, Fallon53 min
Jun 21, 9:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISFoster, Stutsman42 min
Jun 21, 9:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISEmmons, Logan, McIntosh53 min
Jun 21, 9:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCarter, Fallon62 min
Jun 21, 9:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBowman64 min
Jun 21, 9:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDewey48 min
Jun 21, 9:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, McPherson52 min
Jun 21, 9:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDickey, McIntosh56 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 226 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2015-06-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2015-06-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -12 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2128 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
92 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

966 
WWUS20 KWNS 212021
SEL4  
SPC WW 212021
MTZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-220400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 324
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM MDT SUN JUN 21 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EASTERN MONTANA
  WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
  NORTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SUPERCELL STORMS ERUPTING ACROSS EASTERN MT AT PRESENT
WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS LARGE SCALE
ASCENT SPREADS EAST FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND AIDS LEE-SIDE
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY CONGEAL INTO A MORE
EXTENSIVE BOW ECHO ACROSS THE DAKOTAS THROUGH LATE EVENING WHERE
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL LIKELY CONTINUE AFTER DARK.
TORNADO POTENTIAL EXISTS IN THE INITIAL AND TRANSITORY STAGES
...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE INSTABILITY AXIS OVER WESTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...GIVEN STRENGTHENING LOW AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IN THE
PRESENCE OF HIGHER BOUNDARY LAYER RH.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 165 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTHWEST OF MINOT
NORTH DAKOTA TO 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF LEMMON SOUTH DAKOTA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 322...WW 323...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.


...CARBIN

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 21, 1:28 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Daniels, Dawson, Fallon, Garfield, McCone and 10 more2 hr
Jun 21, 4:24 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Dawson, Fallon, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan and 1 more66 min
Jun 20, 7:47 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Oglala Lakota58 min
Jun 21, 12:05 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Custer, Fall River, Jackson, Lawrence, Mellette and 3 more85 min
Jun 21, 4:57 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCButte, Harding, Lawrence, Meade, Perkins, Ziebach5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2015Tornado Watches in Montana, 2015Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.