Alert archive / Montana / Flash Flood Warnings

Flash Flood Warnings in Montana, 2018

23 flash flood warnings in 2018. An alert counts here when it covered any part of the state, so the counties below add up to more than the state. The archive of flash flood warnings reaches back to 1986.

Flash Flood Warnings by county

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2018. Tap one for its archive.

Flash Flood Warnings
23
Busiest month
June10 flash flood warnings
Busiest day
May 27, 20184 flash flood warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

12 of 23 flash flood warnings covering Montana in 2018 had a flash flood report inside them; 13 of 22 flash flood reports fell inside a warning, on average 70 minutes after it went out.

Montana, 2018

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Flash flood warnings231248%2259%70 min

Each office's whole area, 2018

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Great Falls, MT: flash flood warnings9189%617%129 min
NWS Billings, MT: flash flood warnings8625%786%44 min
NWS Missoula, MT: flash flood warnings10100%0
NWS Glasgow, MT: flash flood warnings6517%967%87 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 17, 2:39 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXBlaine4 hr
May 17, 3:04 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWPhillips3 hr
May 21, 12:37 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXBlaine, Chouteau, Hill5 hr
May 22, 10:31 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCarbon6 hr
May 26, 7:54 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZGolden Valley, Wheatland3 hr
May 26, 9:20 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZGolden Valley, Stillwater, Wheatland115 min
May 26, 9:49 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWGarfield, McCone4 hr
May 26, 10:21 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Richland4 hr
Jun 7, 12:10 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXBlaine, Chouteau, Hill3 hr
Jun 7, 7:30 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCuster3 hr
Jun 7, 7:50 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Prairie3 hr
Jun 7, 8:37 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Richland, Roosevelt3 hr
Jun 9, 11:34 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXBlaine6 hr
Jun 16, 2:07 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXCascade, Lewis and Clark3 hr
Jun 23, 3:45 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXToole2 hr
Jun 23, 3:50 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXCascade, Chouteau3 hr
Jun 25, 7:28 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXCascade2 hr
Jun 28, 7:41 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCuster3 hr
Jul 17, 12:35 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningTFXCascade, Judith Basin115 min
Jul 17, 3:12 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCarter4 hr
Jul 17, 4:05 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZCarter4 hr
Jul 27, 4:37 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningBYZYellowstone82 min
Aug 23, 6:47 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWPrairie3 hr

By county

Every county with at least one alert. A county page lists each alert that covered it.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordThe radar archive20172019

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.