Alert archive / Montana / Flash Flood Warnings
Flash Flood Warnings in Montana, 2018
23 flash flood warnings in 2018. An alert counts here when it covered any part of the state, so the counties below add up to more than the state. The archive of flash flood warnings reaches back to 1986.
Flash Flood Warnings by county
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2018. Tap one for its archive.
- Flash Flood Warnings
- 23
- Busiest month
- June10 flash flood warnings
- Busiest day
- May 27, 20184 flash flood warnings
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
12 of 23 flash flood warnings covering Montana in 2018 had a flash flood report inside them; 13 of 22 flash flood reports fell inside a warning, on average 70 minutes after it went out.
Montana, 2018
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash flood warnings | 23 | 12 | 48% | 22 | 59% | 70 min |
Each office's whole area, 2018
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Great Falls, MT: flash flood warnings | 9 | 1 | 89% | 6 | 17% | 129 min |
| NWS Billings, MT: flash flood warnings | 8 | 6 | 25% | 7 | 86% | 44 min |
| NWS Missoula, MT: flash flood warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| NWS Glasgow, MT: flash flood warnings | 6 | 5 | 17% | 9 | 67% | 87 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2:39 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | TFX | Blaine | 4 hr |
| May 17, 3:04 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GGW | Phillips | 3 hr |
| May 21, 12:37 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | TFX | Blaine, Chouteau, Hill | 5 hr |
| May 22, 10:31 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BYZ | Carbon | 6 hr |
| May 26, 7:54 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BYZ | Golden Valley, Wheatland | 3 hr |
| May 26, 9:20 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BYZ | Golden Valley, Stillwater, Wheatland | 115 min |
| May 26, 9:49 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GGW | Garfield, McCone | 4 hr |
| May 26, 10:21 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GGW | Dawson, McCone, Richland | 4 hr |
| Jun 7, 12:10 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | TFX | Blaine, Chouteau, Hill | 3 hr |
| Jun 7, 7:30 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BYZ | Custer | 3 hr |
| Jun 7, 7:50 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GGW | Dawson, McCone, Prairie | 3 hr |
| Jun 7, 8:37 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GGW | Dawson, McCone, Richland, Roosevelt | 3 hr |
| Jun 9, 11:34 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | TFX | Blaine | 6 hr |
| Jun 16, 2:07 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | TFX | Cascade, Lewis and Clark | 3 hr |
| Jun 23, 3:45 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | TFX | Toole | 2 hr |
| Jun 23, 3:50 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | TFX | Cascade, Chouteau | 3 hr |
| Jun 25, 7:28 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | TFX | Cascade | 2 hr |
| Jun 28, 7:41 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BYZ | Custer | 3 hr |
| Jul 17, 12:35 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | TFX | Cascade, Judith Basin | 115 min |
| Jul 17, 3:12 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BYZ | Carter | 4 hr |
| Jul 17, 4:05 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BYZ | Carter | 4 hr |
| Jul 27, 4:37 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BYZ | Yellowstone | 82 min |
| Aug 23, 6:47 AM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GGW | Prairie | 3 hr |
By county
Every county with at least one alert. A county page lists each alert that covered it.
- Blaine County4
- McCone County4
- Cascade County4
- Chouteau County3
- Dawson County3
- Hill County2
- Golden Valley County2
- Wheatland County2
- Richland County2
- Custer County2
- Prairie County2
- Carter County2
- Phillips County1
- Carbon County1
- Stillwater County1
- Garfield County1
- Roosevelt County1
- Lewis and Clark County1
- Toole County1
- Judith Basin County1
- Yellowstone County1
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordThe radar archive20172019
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.