Alert archive / Montana / Fergus County
Weather alerts in Fergus County, Montana, 2014
52 weather alerts in 2014, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Fergus County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2014. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 52
- Warnings
- 13
- Watches
- 5
- Advisories
- 2
- Busiest month
- May16 alerts
- Busiest day
- June 3, 20148 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Fergus County, 2014
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 10 | 5 | 50% | 4 | 75% | 12 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 0 | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2014
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Great Falls, MT: tornado warnings | 0 | 2 | 0% | |||
| NWS Great Falls, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings | 42 | 23 | 45% | 67 | 63% | 22 min |
| NWS Great Falls, MT: flash flood warnings | 0 | 1 | 0% |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 4:37 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 38 min |
| Mar 7, 8:29 AM MST | Areal Flood Advisory | TFX | 4 days |
| Mar 12, 9:43 AM MDT | River Flood Warning | TFX | 32 hr |
| Apr 18, 3:40 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 50 min |
| May 4, 3:41 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 18, 12:37 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| May 18, 2:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 18, 4:57 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| May 23, 3:52 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 38 min |
| May 23, 4:53 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 52 min |
| May 26, 2:23 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 67 min |
| May 26, 3:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 52 min |
| May 27, 6:12 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 48 min |
| May 27, 10:34 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 41 min |
| May 28, 2:12 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 28, 4:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 28, 6:15 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 60 min |
| May 28, 6:28 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| May 28, 6:48 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 57 min |
| May 31, 5:12 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Jun 3, 1:33 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 42 min |
| Jun 3, 1:40 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 3, 2:07 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 38 min |
| Jun 3, 2:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 46 min |
| Jun 3, 3:01 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 29 min |
| Jun 3, 3:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 40 min |
| Jun 3, 3:06 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 39 min |
| Jun 3, 3:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 47 min |
| Jun 10, 4:57 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 48 min |
| Jun 13, 2:17 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Jun 26, 6:32 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 43 min |
| Jul 3, 5:16 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 59 min |
| Jul 3, 5:38 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 67 min |
| Jul 22, 12:34 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 39 hr |
| Jul 22, 2:49 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 86 min |
| Jul 22, 8:33 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 42 min |
| Jul 23, 7:52 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Jul 23, 8:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jul 23, 10:13 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 47 min |
| Jul 23, 10:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 48 min |
| Jul 23, 11:03 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 42 min |
| Jul 24, 3:53 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 20 hr |
| Jul 24, 1:50 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| Jul 25, 3:22 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 21 hr |
| Aug 3, 7:39 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 51 min |
| Aug 15, 12:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Aug 15, 3:13 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 47 min |
| Aug 15, 4:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 41 min |
| Aug 15, 5:34 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Aug 23, 2:37 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TFX | 48 hr |
| Oct 15, 5:01 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 89 min |
| Oct 21, 3:41 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 49 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 10 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 4 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 14 |
| Special Weather Statement | 18 |
| Flooding | |
| River Flood Warning | 1 |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 2 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 2 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 1 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20132015
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.