Alert archive / Montana / Fergus County
Weather alerts in Fergus County, Montana, 2013
97 weather alerts in 2013, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Fergus County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2013. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 97
- Warnings
- 32
- Watches
- 12
- Advisories
- 5
- Busiest month
- July31 alerts
- Busiest day
- July 8, 201310 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Fergus County in 2013 had a tornado report inside them.
Fergus County, 2013
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 20 | 10 | 50% | 13 | 62% | 29 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 0 | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2013
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Great Falls, MT: tornado warnings | 2 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| NWS Great Falls, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings | 138 | 69 | 50% | 206 | 51% | 22 min |
| NWS Great Falls, MT: flash flood warnings | 8 | 0 | 100% | 6 | 0% |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 1:07 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 13, 6:18 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| May 13, 9:35 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| May 26, 2:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 41 min |
| May 26, 2:44 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| May 26, 3:12 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 48 min |
| May 26, 3:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 48 min |
| May 26, 3:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| May 26, 6:08 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 30, 5:02 PM MDT | Areal Flood Warning | TFX | 24 hr |
| May 31, 10:14 AM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TFX | 36 hr |
| May 31, 11:02 AM MDT | Areal Flood Warning | TFX | 36 hr |
| May 31, 3:55 PM MDT | Areal Flood Warning | TFX | 31 hr |
| Jun 1, 9:19 PM MDT | Areal Flood Warning | TFX | 4 days |
| Jun 3, 11:48 AM MDT | River Flood Warning | TFX | 38 hr |
| Jun 5, 8:51 PM MDT | Areal Flood Warning | TFX | 5 days |
| Jun 11, 12:05 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Jun 12, 2:04 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 56 min |
| Jun 12, 2:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 13, 8:06 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 54 min |
| Jun 19, 3:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 19, 4:57 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Jun 19, 7:34 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 56 min |
| Jun 19, 8:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 48 min |
| Jun 19, 8:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 44 min |
| Jun 19, 11:34 PM MDT | Areal Flood Warning | TFX | 12 hr |
| Jun 24, 5:00 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 45 min |
| Jun 24, 7:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 24, 8:36 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 54 min |
| Jun 24, 9:47 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 58 min |
| Jul 4, 10:07 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 53 min |
| Jul 4, 11:29 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 76 min |
| Jul 4, 12:28 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 77 min |
| Jul 4, 1:40 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 65 min |
| Jul 5, 11:58 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TFX | 6 hr |
| Jul 7, 4:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 7, 5:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 41 min |
| Jul 7, 6:23 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 37 min |
| Jul 7, 6:31 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Jul 8, 12:05 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Jul 8, 1:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jul 8, 2:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 42 min |
| Jul 8, 2:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 34 min |
| Jul 8, 2:40 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | TFX | 35 min |
| Jul 8, 3:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 49 min |
| Jul 8, 3:35 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 25 min |
| Jul 8, 4:58 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 8, 7:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 54 min |
| Jul 8, 7:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 65 min |
| Jul 8, 8:10 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 65 min |
| Jul 12, 2:32 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Jul 12, 3:22 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 38 min |
| Jul 17, 7:40 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 65 min |
| Jul 17, 8:51 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 39 min |
| Jul 22, 12:36 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 8 hr |
| Jul 24, 5:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 24, 7:48 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Jul 24, 11:31 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 29 min |
| Jul 28, 3:56 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jul 28, 7:03 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 42 min |
| Jul 28, 7:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 24 min |
| Aug 1, 1:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 10 hr |
| Aug 2, 2:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 48 min |
| Aug 2, 3:13 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 47 min |
| Aug 2, 3:41 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 49 min |
| Aug 2, 4:02 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 58 min |
| Aug 3, 1:17 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Aug 3, 1:36 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 39 min |
| Aug 3, 1:50 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Aug 3, 2:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 56 min |
| Aug 3, 3:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 72 min |
| Aug 12, 2:10 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 12, 6:18 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 42 min |
| Aug 17, 2:20 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 18, 4:41 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 49 min |
| Aug 18, 3:57 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 5 hr |
| Aug 19, 3:36 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 17 hr |
| Aug 23, 7:03 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 42 min |
| Aug 24, 3:46 AM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 24 hr |
| Aug 25, 3:21 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 17 hr |
| Aug 28, 2:54 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Aug 30, 3:15 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 30 min |
| Aug 30, 3:47 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Sep 5, 11:35 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 55 min |
| Sep 6, 2:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Sep 6, 4:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 63 min |
| Sep 6, 5:04 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 86 min |
| Sep 8, 12:53 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Sep 8, 1:13 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TFX | 12 hr |
| Sep 8, 1:36 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TFX | 11 hr |
| Sep 8, 1:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Sep 8, 2:00 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TFX | 11 hr |
| Sep 8, 3:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 42 min |
| Sep 8, 3:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 51 min |
| Sep 8, 4:34 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 41 min |
| Sep 8, 4:49 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Sep 8, 5:34 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 26 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 20 |
| Tornado Warning | 1 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 11 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 28 |
| Special Weather Statement | 20 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 6 |
| River Flood Warning | 1 |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 5 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 4 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 1 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20122014
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.