Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 461
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 15, 2014, 12:26 PM MDT for 15 counties in Montana. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 15, 2014, 12:26 PM MDT (18:26 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 15, 2014, 8:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Blaine County, MT, Broadwater County, MT, Cascade County, MT, Chouteau County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Glacier County, MT, Hill County, MT, Jefferson County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, Lewis and Clark County, MT, Liberty County, MT, Meagher County, MT, Pondera County, MT, Teton County, MT, Toole County, MT
The radar
The Great Falls radar (KTFX), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 12:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Lewis and Clark | 28 min |
| Aug 15, 12:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Lewis and Clark | 48 min |
| Aug 15, 1:36 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Broadwater, Jefferson, Lewis and Clark | 39 min |
| Aug 15, 2:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Cascade, Meagher | 39 min |
| Aug 15, 3:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Cascade, Chouteau, Judith Basin | 46 min |
| Aug 15, 4:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Chouteau, Fergus, Judith Basin | 41 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 235 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -96 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 867 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 42 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 137 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.9
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 12:11 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Broadwater, Cascade, Chouteau, Gallatin, Jefferson, Judith Basin and 11 more | 64 min |
| Aug 15, 2:49 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Broadwater, Cascade, Chouteau, Hill, Jefferson, Judith Basin and 6 more | 56 min |
| Aug 15, 5:34 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Chouteau, Fergus, Hill, Liberty, Toole | 116 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.