Alert archive / Montana / Cascade County / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Cascade County, Montana, 2016

29 severe thunderstorm warnings in 2016. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Cascade County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2016. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
29
Busiest month
June14 severe thunderstorm warnings
Busiest day
June 9, 20167 severe thunderstorm warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

13 of 29 severe thunderstorm warnings covering Cascade County in 2016 had a qualifying storm report inside them; 24 of 38 hail, wind and damage reports fell inside a warning, on average 8 minutes after it went out.

Cascade County, 2016

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Severe thunderstorm warnings291355%3863%8 min

Each office's whole area, 2016

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Great Falls, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings1064855%17760%20 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 8, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX47 min
Jun 9, 1:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX47 min
Jun 9, 2:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX66 min
Jun 9, 2:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX39 min
Jun 9, 2:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX56 min
Jun 9, 3:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX57 min
Jun 9, 3:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX54 min
Jun 10, 3:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX25 min
Jun 10, 3:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX45 min
Jun 10, 4:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX38 min
Jun 10, 6:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX35 min
Jun 11, 4:50 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX25 min
Jun 11, 4:50 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX25 min
Jun 11, 5:13 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX47 min
Jul 18, 6:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX41 min
Jul 18, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX47 min
Aug 7, 4:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX60 min
Aug 9, 4:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX30 min
Aug 9, 5:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX23 min
Aug 9, 5:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX38 min
Aug 9, 5:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX49 min
Aug 9, 6:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX29 min
Aug 9, 6:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX38 min
Aug 9, 6:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX51 min
Aug 9, 11:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX30 min
Aug 10, 12:08 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX37 min
Aug 18, 12:33 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX57 min
Aug 18, 1:33 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX42 min
Aug 18, 1:47 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX24 min

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20152017

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.