Alert archive / Illinois / Coles County / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Coles County, Illinois, 2014

11 severe thunderstorm warnings in 2014. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Coles County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2014. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
11
Busiest month
May4 severe thunderstorm warnings
Busiest day
February 20, 20142 severe thunderstorm warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

8 of 11 severe thunderstorm warnings covering Coles County in 2014 had a qualifying storm report inside them; 0 of 7 hail, wind and damage reports fell inside a warning.

Coles County, 2014

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Severe thunderstorm warnings11827%70%

Each office's whole area, 2014

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Lincoln, IL: severe thunderstorm warnings1095153%22755%22 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Feb 20, 4:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX59 min
Feb 20, 5:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX54 min
Apr 28, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX43 min
May 11, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX66 min
May 11, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX65 min
May 21, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX47 min
May 21, 4:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX64 min
Jul 14, 1:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX46 min
Jul 26, 5:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX40 min
Aug 26, 5:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX19 min
Oct 13, 5:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX14 min

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20132015

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.