Severe Thunderstorm Warning 93, NWS Lincoln, IL

702 
WWUS53 KILX 262222
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
522 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014

ILC029-041-045-262232-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0093.000000T0000Z-140826T2245Z/
COLES IL-DOUGLAS IL-EDGAR IL-
522 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL EDGAR...EAST
CENTRAL DOUGLAS AND NORTHEASTERN COLES COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
 HOWEVER...SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3959 8774 3956 8802 3977 8802 3978 8779
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 355DEG 8KT 3964 8789

$$

BAK

Area Forecast Discussion
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
317 PM CDT Tue Aug 26 2014

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
ISSUED AT 316 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014

An outflow boundary is drapped over the area this afternoon and this
could be the focus for more showers and thunderstorm development
this evening and into tonight. So will be keeping a chance pops in
the forecast for tonight, but mainly along and northeast of I-74. By
tomorrow, all models indicate a good chance of thunderstorms across
most of the area through tomorrow afternoon. Things will then shift
back to the west after that.

Temps and dewpoints are remaining high so will keep the heat
advisory and warning going through this evening. Temps will remain
warm through tomorrow, but with clouds and pcpn, advisory/warning
criteria for heat indices will not be met. Model guidance numbers
look to be too warm.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
ISSUED AT 316 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014

Upper level ridging will be broken down, which will allow another
cold front to move into the area late in the week. Unfortunately
this means that the chance of showers and thunderstorms will
continue into the weekend. Most of the pcpn chances will remain to
the northwest or northern part of the cwa through Friday. Then when
the front drops into the area Friday afternoon, the chance of
thunderstorms will spread across the whole cwa for most of the
weekend. There could be a break in the pcpn over some of the area
Sunday night, but another frontal system will move into the region
for the beginning of next week...so chance pops continue.

Temps will cool through the period, but then warm back up during the
beginning of next week. Model guidance still looks to be too warm.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014
Not much of a shift in the forecast for this round of TAFs.
Main concern remains the front...which is still to the northwest.
Slight wind shift over the region right now due to outflow from
this mornings thunderstorms across the north. Front moving through
the region later tonight/this evening to stall and slow through
the early morning hours resulting in an extended period of
potential thunder, esp with wave moving out of the west. Models
with many solutions and potential of thunder. Concern for vis drop
just behind the boundary if clearing is ahead of the drier air. So
far, leaving that out of the forecast, but may need to be worked
into the next issuance.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR ILZ042-
047>054-056-061>063-066>068-071>073.

HEAT ADVISORY until 7 PM CDT this evening FOR ILZ043>046-055-057.

&&

SHORT TERM...HJS
LONG TERM...AUTEN
AVIATION...HJS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
338 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014

ILZ027>031-036>038-040-041-271100-
FULTON-KNOX-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-PEORIA-SCHUYLER-STARK-TAZEWELL-
WOODFORD-
338 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...HAIL...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY, AS THE
HEAT GRADUALLY DIMINISHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

ILZ043>046-055-057-271100-
CHAMPAIGN-DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-PIATT-VERMILION-
338 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT DROPS
SOUTH INTO THE AREA. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY
WINDS...HAIL...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY, AS
THE HEAT GRADUALLY DIMINISHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

ILZ042-047>054-056-061>063-066>068-071>073-271100-
CASS-CHRISTIAN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-
JASPER-LAWRENCE-LOGAN-MACON-MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-RICHLAND-
SANGAMON-SCOTT-SHELBY-
338 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
DROPS SOUTH INTO THE AREA. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY
WINDS...HAIL...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY, AS THE HEAT
GRADUALLY DIMINISHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

HJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
503 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     HAIL             2 E BROCTON             39.72N 87.90W
08/26/2014  E1.00 INCH       EDGAR              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL

&&

ALW