Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 76

February 14, 202622 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 14, 2026, 2:48 PM CST for 22 counties in Texas. It was in force for 117 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 14, 2026, 2:48 PM CST (20:48 UTC)
Expired
Feb 14, 2026, 4:45 PM CST
In force
117 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch
20%
All 22 counties

Atascosa County, TX, Bee County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Comal County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Frio County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Karnes County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Live Oak County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Nueces County, TX, San Patricio County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 243 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2026-02-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 311 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2026-02-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 96 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
311 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-194 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
638 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
54 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 13, 6:28 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBailey, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran, Crosby and 15 more3 hr
Feb 13, 10:11 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Crane and 22 more3 hr
Feb 14, 3:57 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Eastland and 10 more2 hr
Feb 14, 10:49 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet and 37 more116 min
Feb 14, 2:05 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Austin, Brazoria, Brazos, Chambers and 32 more2 hr
Feb 14, 3:49 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAngelina, Austin, Brazoria, Chambers, Cherokee, Colorado and 33 more5 hr
Feb 14, 5:15 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Bee, Calhoun, Goliad, Refugio, San Patricio and 1 more90 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2026Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.