Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 73

February 14, 202616 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 14, 2026, 3:57 AM CST for 16 counties in Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Feb 14, 2026, 3:57 AM CST (09:57 UTC)
Expired: Feb 14, 2026, 6:00 AM CST
In force: 2 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning: Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch: 20%

Counties Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Irion County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Tom Green County, TX

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 531 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -95 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1683 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 79 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 158 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 212 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 13, 6:28 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bailey, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran, Crosby and 15 more	3 hr
Feb 13, 10:11 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Andrews, Borden, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Crane and 22 more	3 hr
Feb 14, 10:49 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bandera, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet and 37 more	116 min
Feb 14, 2:05 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Anderson, Angelina, Austin, Brazoria, Brazos, Chambers and 32 more	2 hr
Feb 14, 2:48 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Atascosa, Bee, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, DeWitt and 16 more	117 min
Feb 14, 3:49 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	Angelina, Austin, Brazoria, Chambers, Cherokee, Colorado and 33 more	5 hr
Feb 14, 5:15 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Aransas, Bee, Calhoun, Goliad, Refugio, San Patricio and 1 more	90 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2026 Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.