Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 75

February 14, 2026De Soto Parish, Sabine Parish, Louisiana; 38 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 14, 2026, 2:05 PM CST for De Soto Parish, Sabine Parish, Louisiana; 38 counties in Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 14, 2026, 2:05 PM CST (20:05 UTC)
Expired
Feb 14, 2026, 4:30 PM CST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
60%
All 40 counties

De Soto Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Anderson County, TX, Angelina County, TX, Austin County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Leon County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Madison County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 179 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 292 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2026-02-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 109 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2026-02-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 247 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
109 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-56 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
561 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
76 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
247 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
69 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 14, 3:49 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Natchitoches and 3 more5 hr
Feb 13, 6:28 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBailey, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran, Crosby and 15 more3 hr
Feb 13, 10:11 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Crane and 22 more3 hr
Feb 14, 3:57 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Eastland and 10 more2 hr
Feb 14, 10:49 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet and 37 more116 min
Feb 14, 2:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bee, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, DeWitt and 16 more117 min
Feb 14, 5:15 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Bee, Calhoun, Goliad, Refugio, San Patricio and 1 more90 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2026Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.