Severe Thunderstorm Warning 110, NWS Twin Cities, MN

384 
WWUS53 KMPX 192253
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
553 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

MNC025-192303-
/O.CAN.KMPX.SV.W.0110.000000T0000Z-260619T2315Z/
Chisago MN-
553 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR EAST CENTRAL CHISAGO
COUNTY...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for a
portion of east central Minnesota.

&&

LAT...LON 4546 9267 4552 9261 4564 9250 4558 9215
      4543 9216 4523 9216 4541 9265 4546 9265
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 291DEG 27KT 4564 9263 4563 9249 4546 9256 4545
9276 4552 9279 4560 9270

$$


WIC095-192315-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0110.000000T0000Z-260619T2315Z/
Polk WI-
553 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR
EASTERN POLK COUNTY...

At 553 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over St. Croix
Falls, or 31 miles east of Cambridge, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
  St. Croix Falls, Centuria, Milltown, Balsam Lake, Luck, Straight
  Lake Wilderness State Park, Range, Amery, Joel, Clayton and
  Mckinley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter inside a well-built structure and stay away from
windows. This storm is capable of producing damaging winds and large
hail.

&&

LAT...LON 4546 9267 4552 9261 4564 9250 4558 9215
      4543 9216 4523 9216 4541 9265 4546 9265
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 267DEG 27KT 4541 9285

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

TDH

709 
WWUS53 KMPX 192323
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
623 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

WIC095-192333-
/O.EXP.KMPX.SV.W.0110.000000T0000Z-260619T2315Z/
Polk WI-
623 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR EASTERN POLK COUNTY...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for a
portion of northwest Wisconsin.

&&

LAT...LON 4546 9267 4552 9261 4564 9250 4558 9215
      4543 9216 4523 9216 4541 9265 4546 9265
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 268DEG 27KT 4542 9261

$$

TDH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
139 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered thunderstorms this afternoon & evening. The
  strongest storms could contain large hail & gusty winds,
  especially along & north of Interstate 94.

- Seasonable cool & dry this weekend.

- Below normal temperatures continue next week. Rain chances
  return mid-week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 116 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Light rain showers are exiting the area across western Minnesota
while another band of light rain is moving across the I-90
corridor across far-southern Minnesota. However, our area of
interest this afternoon will be with the building cumulus field
across northwest & west-central Minnesota. Instability isn't
going to be great after the rain & clouds this morning, but
very steep mid-level lapse rates mean than surface-based CAPE
of 500-1000 J/kg should develop this afternoon & allow for these
budding showers to build into scattered thunderstorms by mid-
afternoon. Impressive wind shear for mid-June will be in place
over the area as a jetstreak over the Upper Midwest provides
around 60 kts of 0-6km shear across MN & WI. However the weaker
instability means that any thunderstorms probably wont be able
to realize all of this deep shear, so effective shear values
look to be on the order of 30-40 kts across central MN & western
WI where we expect the most widespread storm coverage. This
still plenty of shear for storms to become organized, so we are
expecting a few strong to severe thunderstorms later this
afternoon with large hail the primary threat followed by
sporadic damaging wind gusts. The main window for these severe
thunderstorms looks to be between 3 PM to 7 PM, with the Storm
Prediction Center highlighting an area along the I-94 Corridor
of eastern MN & western WI with a Level 2/5 (Slight Risk) threat
of severe storms. The storms will begin to weaken as we get
closer to sunset, with the thunderstorms threat mostly over with
across western Wisconsin by 8-9 PM.

Weak high pressure moves into the region behind today's system,
setting up a seasonably cool & dry weekend with highs generally
in the low to mid 70s expected. Can't rule out a coupe, isolated
rain showers across western Wisconsin from the cumulus field
Saturday afternoon, but better chances for light rain look to
come Sunday morning across far-southern Minnesota. However, the
main threat for rain looks to set up to our south over Iowa.

Looking into next week: zonal flow aloft should extend the quiet
weekend weather into Monday, but building troughing over the
Great Lakes brings an increased chance for rain Tuesday into
Wednesday. This mainly looks to be another system with
widespread rain showers & a few isolated thunderstorms, & the
threat for any severe weather or heavy rain is low. Northwest
flow persists through the week in response to the troughing
over the Great Lakes & building ridging over the west, which
will keep temperatures seasonably cool through the week. Models
hint at various transient disturbances embedded within the
northwest flow that could lead to low chances for precipitation
later in the week, but mostly quiet weather looks to be the
forecast until next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

VFR conditions through most of the period. However, another
round of scattered showers and storms expected late this
afternoon and evening where reductions in flight categories will
be possible if TSRA impact terminals. TEMPO groups remain in
the TAF for MSP, AXN, STC, RNH, and EAU for TSRA. Main impacts
will be gusty winds, reductions to VIS due to moderate to heavy
rainfall, lowing CIGs, and lightning.

Winds will increase through the afternoon out of the W/NW at
10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots, terminals across western MN
could see gusts to 25 knots during the afternoon and early
evening.

Shower/storms activity will quickly decrease after 01z this
evening will skies becoming SKC by 02z to 03z with winds
becoming light at 3-7 knots, out of the NW.

KMSP...Scattered showers and storms possible late this afternoon
and evening. TEMPO group remains in the TAF for -TSRA. If TSRA
impacts terminals, reductions in flight categories will be
likely. Shower and storm activity will diminish after 01Z.
Winds this afternoon will be out of the W at 9-13 knots with
gusts to 20 knots possible, becoming NW late this evening at
5-10 knots. Skies will become SKC to FEW around sunset.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
SUN... VFR. Wind ENE at 5-10 kts.
MON... VFR. Wind NE at 5-10 kts.
TUE... VFR. Chc of MVFR/TSRA. Wind SSW at 5-10 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...ETA
AVIATION...LPR

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
300 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
200800-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
300 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms will develop this afternoon, most numerous
across central and eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin. There
is a level 1 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms capable of
marginally severe hail and gusty winds into the early evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation may be needed.

Borghoff

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
517 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0513 PM     Hail             1 SE Fridley            45.07N 93.24W
06/19/2026  E0.50 Inch       Anoka              MN   Trained Spotter

            Report of a lot of hail as large as half
            inch in diameter. Spotter reported it has
            been hailing for at least 8 minutes.

&&

BED

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
518 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     Hail             Fridley                 45.08N 93.26W
06/19/2026  M1.00 Inch       Anoka              MN   Trained Spotter

            Pea to quarter sized hail. Minor tree damage
            from several minutes of hail falling.

&&

BED

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
519 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     Hail             1 SE Brooklyn Park      45.10N 93.33W
06/19/2026  M1.00 Inch       Hennepin           MN   Trained Spotter

&&

BED

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
527 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0523 PM     Hail             Roseville               45.02N 93.15W
06/19/2026  M1.00 Inch       Ramsey             MN   Trained Spotter

&&

BED

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
529 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0528 PM     Hail             1 SSE Roseville         45.00N 93.15W
06/19/2026  M1.25 Inch       Ramsey             MN   Trained Spotter

            A lot of hail falling in Roseville up to
            half dollar sized. The ground is fully
            covered with hail.

&&

BED

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
530 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0523 PM     Hail             2 SE Columbia Heights   45.03N 93.21W
06/19/2026  M1.00 Inch       Hennepin           MN   Trained Spotter

&&

BED