Severe Thunderstorm Warning 109, NWS Twin Cities, MN

140 
WWUS53 KMPX 192232
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
532 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

MNC123-163-WIC093-109-192315-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0109.000000T0000Z-260619T2315Z/
Ramsey MN-Washington MN-Pierce WI-St. Croix WI-
532 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR
RAMSEY, SOUTHERN WASHINGTON, NORTHWESTERN PIERCE AND SOUTHWESTERN ST.
CROIX COUNTIES...

At 532 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Maplewood, or
near St. Paul, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Trained spotters reported ping pong to golf ball sized hail
         in Roseville.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect damage
         to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles.

Locations impacted include...
  New Brighton, Roseville, Arden Hills, Shoreview, Maplewood, Vadnais
  Heights, St. Paul, White Bear Lake, Mahtomedi, Oakdale, Lake Elmo,
  Stillwater, Woodbury, Afton, Cottage Grove, Bayport, North Hudson
  and Hudson.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Anyone outdoors should move to shelter inside a well-built structure
and stay away from windows. This storm has produced dangerous hail.

&&

LAT...LON 4495 9320 4508 9320 4502 9261 4477 9274
      4488 9301 4489 9302 4490 9304 4491 9304
      4492 9305 4492 9312
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 289DEG 23KT 4500 9309

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

TDH

435 
WWUS53 KMPX 192251
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
551 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

MNC123-192301-
/O.CAN.KMPX.SV.W.0109.000000T0000Z-260619T2315Z/
Ramsey MN-
551 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR RAMSEY COUNTY...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for a
portion of east central Minnesota.

&&

LAT...LON 4501 9298 4504 9297 4502 9261 4477 9274
      4487 9298 4489 9299 4489 9298
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 289DEG 23KT 4499 9305

$$


MNC163-WIC093-109-192315-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0109.000000T0000Z-260619T2315Z/
Washington MN-Pierce WI-St. Croix WI-
551 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON, NORTHWESTERN PIERCE AND SOUTHWESTERN ST. CROIX
COUNTIES...

At 551 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Lake Elmo, or
10 miles east of St. Paul, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect damage
         to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles.

Locations impacted include...
  Oakdale, Pine Springs, Landfall, Lake Elmo, Woodbury, Oak Park
  Heights, Lake Elmo Airport, Afton, Cottage Grove, Bayport,
  Lakeland, North Hudson, Lakeland Shores, Lake St Croix Beach, St
  Marys Point, Hudson and Afton State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Anyone outdoors should move to shelter inside a well-built structure
and stay away from windows. This storm is capable of producing
dangerous hail.

&&

LAT...LON 4501 9298 4504 9297 4502 9261 4477 9274
      4487 9298 4489 9299 4489 9298
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 289DEG 23KT 4499 9305

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

TDH

731 
WWUS53 KMPX 192303
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
603 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

MNC163-WIC093-109-192315-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0109.000000T0000Z-260619T2315Z/
Washington MN-Pierce WI-St. Croix WI-
603 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON, NORTHWESTERN PIERCE AND SOUTHWESTERN ST.
CROIX COUNTIES...

At 603 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Afton, or 9
miles northwest of River Falls, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

Locations impacted include...
  Afton, Lakeland, North Hudson, Lakeland Shores, Lake St Croix
  Beach, St Marys Point, Hudson, Afton State Park and Kinnickinnic
  State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter inside a well-built structure and stay away from
windows. This storm is capable of producing large hail.

&&

LAT...LON 4487 9288 4500 9280 4502 9261 4479 9273
      4482 9278
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 289DEG 23KT 4495 9289

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

TDH

887 
WWUS53 KMPX 192311
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
611 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

MNC163-WIC093-109-192321-
/O.EXP.KMPX.SV.W.0109.000000T0000Z-260619T2315Z/
Washington MN-Pierce WI-St. Croix WI-
611 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 615 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON, NORTHWESTERN PIERCE AND SOUTHWESTERN ST.
CROIX COUNTIES...

The Severe Thunderstorm Warning that was previously in effect has
been reissued for St. Croix and Pierce Counties and is in effect
until 700 PM CDT. Please refer to that bulletin for the latest severe
weather information.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for
portions of east central Minnesota and west central Wisconsin.

&&

LAT...LON 4487 9288 4500 9280 4502 9261 4479 9273
      4482 9278
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 289DEG 23KT 4492 9278

$$

TDH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
139 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered thunderstorms this afternoon & evening. The
  strongest storms could contain large hail & gusty winds,
  especially along & north of Interstate 94.

- Seasonable cool & dry this weekend.

- Below normal temperatures continue next week. Rain chances
  return mid-week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 116 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Light rain showers are exiting the area across western Minnesota
while another band of light rain is moving across the I-90
corridor across far-southern Minnesota. However, our area of
interest this afternoon will be with the building cumulus field
across northwest & west-central Minnesota. Instability isn't
going to be great after the rain & clouds this morning, but
very steep mid-level lapse rates mean than surface-based CAPE
of 500-1000 J/kg should develop this afternoon & allow for these
budding showers to build into scattered thunderstorms by mid-
afternoon. Impressive wind shear for mid-June will be in place
over the area as a jetstreak over the Upper Midwest provides
around 60 kts of 0-6km shear across MN & WI. However the weaker
instability means that any thunderstorms probably wont be able
to realize all of this deep shear, so effective shear values
look to be on the order of 30-40 kts across central MN & western
WI where we expect the most widespread storm coverage. This
still plenty of shear for storms to become organized, so we are
expecting a few strong to severe thunderstorms later this
afternoon with large hail the primary threat followed by
sporadic damaging wind gusts. The main window for these severe
thunderstorms looks to be between 3 PM to 7 PM, with the Storm
Prediction Center highlighting an area along the I-94 Corridor
of eastern MN & western WI with a Level 2/5 (Slight Risk) threat
of severe storms. The storms will begin to weaken as we get
closer to sunset, with the thunderstorms threat mostly over with
across western Wisconsin by 8-9 PM.

Weak high pressure moves into the region behind today's system,
setting up a seasonably cool & dry weekend with highs generally
in the low to mid 70s expected. Can't rule out a coupe, isolated
rain showers across western Wisconsin from the cumulus field
Saturday afternoon, but better chances for light rain look to
come Sunday morning across far-southern Minnesota. However, the
main threat for rain looks to set up to our south over Iowa.

Looking into next week: zonal flow aloft should extend the quiet
weekend weather into Monday, but building troughing over the
Great Lakes brings an increased chance for rain Tuesday into
Wednesday. This mainly looks to be another system with
widespread rain showers & a few isolated thunderstorms, & the
threat for any severe weather or heavy rain is low. Northwest
flow persists through the week in response to the troughing
over the Great Lakes & building ridging over the west, which
will keep temperatures seasonably cool through the week. Models
hint at various transient disturbances embedded within the
northwest flow that could lead to low chances for precipitation
later in the week, but mostly quiet weather looks to be the
forecast until next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

VFR conditions through most of the period. However, another
round of scattered showers and storms expected late this
afternoon and evening where reductions in flight categories will
be possible if TSRA impact terminals. TEMPO groups remain in
the TAF for MSP, AXN, STC, RNH, and EAU for TSRA. Main impacts
will be gusty winds, reductions to VIS due to moderate to heavy
rainfall, lowing CIGs, and lightning.

Winds will increase through the afternoon out of the W/NW at
10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots, terminals across western MN
could see gusts to 25 knots during the afternoon and early
evening.

Shower/storms activity will quickly decrease after 01z this
evening will skies becoming SKC by 02z to 03z with winds
becoming light at 3-7 knots, out of the NW.

KMSP...Scattered showers and storms possible late this afternoon
and evening. TEMPO group remains in the TAF for -TSRA. If TSRA
impacts terminals, reductions in flight categories will be
likely. Shower and storm activity will diminish after 01Z.
Winds this afternoon will be out of the W at 9-13 knots with
gusts to 20 knots possible, becoming NW late this evening at
5-10 knots. Skies will become SKC to FEW around sunset.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
SUN... VFR. Wind ENE at 5-10 kts.
MON... VFR. Wind NE at 5-10 kts.
TUE... VFR. Chc of MVFR/TSRA. Wind SSW at 5-10 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...ETA
AVIATION...LPR

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
300 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
200800-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
300 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms will develop this afternoon, most numerous
across central and eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin. There
is a level 1 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms capable of
marginally severe hail and gusty winds into the early evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation may be needed.

Borghoff

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
510 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0506 PM     Hail             3 SE Rush City          45.65N 92.92W
06/19/2026  M1.00 Inch       Chisago            MN   Trained Spotter

&&

BED

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
513 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     Hail             Hillman                 46.01N 93.89W
06/19/2026  M1.00 Inch       Morrison           MN   Trained Spotter

            Relayed via Broadcast Media.

&&

BED

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
517 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0513 PM     Hail             1 SE Fridley            45.07N 93.24W
06/19/2026  E0.50 Inch       Anoka              MN   Trained Spotter

            Report of a lot of hail as large as half
            inch in diameter. Spotter reported it has
            been hailing for at least 8 minutes.

&&

BED

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
518 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     Hail             Fridley                 45.08N 93.26W
06/19/2026  M1.00 Inch       Anoka              MN   Trained Spotter

            Pea to quarter sized hail. Minor tree damage
            from several minutes of hail falling.

&&

BED

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
519 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     Hail             1 SE Brooklyn Park      45.10N 93.33W
06/19/2026  M1.00 Inch       Hennepin           MN   Trained Spotter

&&

BED

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
527 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0523 PM     Hail             Roseville               45.02N 93.15W
06/19/2026  M1.00 Inch       Ramsey             MN   Trained Spotter

&&

BED