Severe Thunderstorm Warning 114, NWS Twin Cities, MN

283 
WWUS53 KMPX 192357
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
657 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

WIC033-109-200007-
/O.CAN.KMPX.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-260620T0015Z/
Dunn WI-St. Croix WI-
657 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR NORTHERN DUNN AND
NORTHERN ST. CROIX COUNTIES...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled. However, gusty winds are
still possible with this thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 4520 9269 4521 9265 4521 9167 4512 9167
      4512 9165 4500 9165 4499 9260
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 325DEG 23KT 4519 9239

$$

TDH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
139 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered thunderstorms this afternoon & evening. The
  strongest storms could contain large hail & gusty winds,
  especially along & north of Interstate 94.

- Seasonable cool & dry this weekend.

- Below normal temperatures continue next week. Rain chances
  return mid-week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 116 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

Light rain showers are exiting the area across western Minnesota
while another band of light rain is moving across the I-90
corridor across far-southern Minnesota. However, our area of
interest this afternoon will be with the building cumulus field
across northwest & west-central Minnesota. Instability isn't
going to be great after the rain & clouds this morning, but
very steep mid-level lapse rates mean than surface-based CAPE
of 500-1000 J/kg should develop this afternoon & allow for these
budding showers to build into scattered thunderstorms by mid-
afternoon. Impressive wind shear for mid-June will be in place
over the area as a jetstreak over the Upper Midwest provides
around 60 kts of 0-6km shear across MN & WI. However the weaker
instability means that any thunderstorms probably wont be able
to realize all of this deep shear, so effective shear values
look to be on the order of 30-40 kts across central MN & western
WI where we expect the most widespread storm coverage. This
still plenty of shear for storms to become organized, so we are
expecting a few strong to severe thunderstorms later this
afternoon with large hail the primary threat followed by
sporadic damaging wind gusts. The main window for these severe
thunderstorms looks to be between 3 PM to 7 PM, with the Storm
Prediction Center highlighting an area along the I-94 Corridor
of eastern MN & western WI with a Level 2/5 (Slight Risk) threat
of severe storms. The storms will begin to weaken as we get
closer to sunset, with the thunderstorms threat mostly over with
across western Wisconsin by 8-9 PM.

Weak high pressure moves into the region behind today's system,
setting up a seasonably cool & dry weekend with highs generally
in the low to mid 70s expected. Can't rule out a coupe, isolated
rain showers across western Wisconsin from the cumulus field
Saturday afternoon, but better chances for light rain look to
come Sunday morning across far-southern Minnesota. However, the
main threat for rain looks to set up to our south over Iowa.

Looking into next week: zonal flow aloft should extend the quiet
weekend weather into Monday, but building troughing over the
Great Lakes brings an increased chance for rain Tuesday into
Wednesday. This mainly looks to be another system with
widespread rain showers & a few isolated thunderstorms, & the
threat for any severe weather or heavy rain is low. Northwest
flow persists through the week in response to the troughing
over the Great Lakes & building ridging over the west, which
will keep temperatures seasonably cool through the week. Models
hint at various transient disturbances embedded within the
northwest flow that could lead to low chances for precipitation
later in the week, but mostly quiet weather looks to be the
forecast until next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

VFR conditions through most of the period. However, another
round of scattered showers and storms expected late this
afternoon and evening where reductions in flight categories will
be possible if TSRA impact terminals. TEMPO groups remain in
the TAF for MSP, AXN, STC, RNH, and EAU for TSRA. Main impacts
will be gusty winds, reductions to VIS due to moderate to heavy
rainfall, lowing CIGs, and lightning.

Winds will increase through the afternoon out of the W/NW at
10-15 knots with gusts to 20 knots, terminals across western MN
could see gusts to 25 knots during the afternoon and early
evening.

Shower/storms activity will quickly decrease after 01z this
evening will skies becoming SKC by 02z to 03z with winds
becoming light at 3-7 knots, out of the NW.

KMSP...Scattered showers and storms possible late this afternoon
and evening. TEMPO group remains in the TAF for -TSRA. If TSRA
impacts terminals, reductions in flight categories will be
likely. Shower and storm activity will diminish after 01Z.
Winds this afternoon will be out of the W at 9-13 knots with
gusts to 20 knots possible, becoming NW late this evening at
5-10 knots. Skies will become SKC to FEW around sunset.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
SUN... VFR. Wind ENE at 5-10 kts.
MON... VFR. Wind NE at 5-10 kts.
TUE... VFR. Chc of MVFR/TSRA. Wind SSW at 5-10 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...ETA
AVIATION...LPR

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
300 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
200800-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
300 AM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms will develop this afternoon, most numerous
across central and eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin. There
is a level 1 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms capable of
marginally severe hail and gusty winds into the early evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation may be needed.

Borghoff

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
556 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0547 PM     Hail             Oakdale                 44.99N 92.96W
06/19/2026  M1.00 Inch       Washington         MN   Public

&&

BED

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
606 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     Hail             2 NNE St. Paul          44.97N 93.07W
06/19/2026  M2.25 Inch       Ramsey             MN   Public

            Photo report of hail slightly larger than 2
            inches in St Paul.

&&

BED

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
606 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

WIZ024>026-200000-
Dunn WI-Pepin WI-Pierce WI-
606 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL PEPIN...
SOUTHWESTERN DUNN AND SOUTHERN PIERCE COUNTIES UNTIL 7 PM CDT...

At 606 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Ellsworth, or 10 miles north of Red Wing, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Ellsworth, Eau Galle, Plum City, Esdaile, Porcupine, Arkansaw and
  Ella.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 4467 9267 4478 9261 4472 9194 4460 9198
      4460 9200 4459 9201 4459 9203 4457 9203
      4456 9204 4455 9204 4453 9205 4452 9204
      4451 9204 4451 9205
TIME...MOT...LOC 2306Z 282DEG 26KT 4470 9257

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

TDH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
608 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0554 PM     Hail             Eau Claire              44.76N 91.46W
06/19/2026  M0.75 Inch       Eau Claire         WI   Broadcast Media

&&

BED

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
609 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

MNZ059>063-066>070-075>077-WIZ023-024-200015-
Sibley MN-Scott MN-Carver MN-Anoka MN-Hennepin MN-McLeod MN-St.
Croix WI-Rice MN-Dakota MN-Pierce WI-Le Sueur MN-Wright MN-
Washington MN-Ramsey MN-Nicollet MN-
609 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

...A LINE OF SHOWERS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN ANOKA...WASHINGTON...
SOUTH CENTRAL WRIGHT...SOUTHWESTERN ST. CROIX...HENNEPIN...
NORTHWESTERN RICE...NORTHEASTERN NICOLLET...CENTRAL MCLEOD...
RAMSEY...CARVER...DAKOTA...EASTERN SIBLEY...NORTHERN LE SUEUR...SCOTT
AND NORTHWESTERN PIERCE COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

At 609 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of showers extending
from over Hugo to 6 miles northeast of Brownton, or extending from 19
miles north of St. Paul to 8 miles southeast of Hutchinson, moving
southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated. An outflow boundary is evident moving
         north-northwest to south-southeast that will produce a line
         of gusty winds.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
  Minneapolis, St. Paul, River Falls, Bloomington, Brooklyn Park,
  Plymouth, Eagan, Woodbury, Maple Grove, Coon Rapids, Eden Prairie,
  Burnsville, Blaine, Lakeville, Minnetonka, Apple Valley, Edina, St.
  Louis Park and Maplewood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 4485 9443 4514 9342 4530 9298 4530 9289
      4480 9251 4462 9303 4423 9413
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 336DEG 26KT 4520 9296 4505 9337 4480 9427

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

TDH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
616 PM CDT Fri Jun 19 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0604 PM     Hail             4 SSE Hudson            44.92N 92.74W
06/19/2026  M1.00 Inch       St. Croix          WI   Trained Spotter

            Lots of hail reported south of Hudson, up to
            quarter sized. The spotter noted that the
            ground was completely covered.

&&

BED