Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2026
River Flood Warning 39, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at Jul 16, 2026, 7:33 AM CDT for Blanco County, Texas. It took effect at Jul 16, 2026, 1:50 PM CDT. It was in force for 20 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 16, 2026, 7:33 AM CDT (12:33 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jul 16, 2026, 1:50 PM CDT
- Expired
- Jul 17, 2026, 9:54 AM CDT
- In force
- 20 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Moderate
County Blanco County, TX
The radar
The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Pedernales River at Johnson City (JOCT2). The gauge peaked at 24.67 ft at Jul 16, 2026, 4:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 13 ft
- Minor stage
- 14 ft
- Moderate stage
- 17 ft
- Major stage
- 19 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08153500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
484
WGUS44 KEWX 161233
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
733 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio TX has issued
a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Texas...
Pedernales River At Johnson City affecting Blanco County.
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and
increased in duration for the following rivers in Texas...
Pedernales River At Fredericksburg affecting Blanco and Gillespie
Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
To escape rising water, take the shortest path to higher ground.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued late tonight by 145 AM CDT.
&&
TXC031-170645-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0039.260716T1937Z-260717T2251Z/
/JOCT2.2.ER.260716T1937Z.260717T0000Z.260717T1050Z.NO/
733 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO TOMORROW
AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pedernales River at Johnson City.
* WHEN...From this afternoon to tomorrow afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding reaches secondary
roads, crossings and low bridges. Low areas of LBJ National Park
upstream are flooded. Swimmers and recreationists should leave the
river downstream in Pedernales Falls State Park.
At 17.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads,
bridges and low crossings very dangerous. Swimmers and
recreationists should move from the flood plain downstream in
Pedernales Falls State Park. Near the USGS 1:2 year flood.
At 19.0 feet, Major flooding makes secondary and primary roads
below Stonewall to Lake Travis very dangerous. Low park areas
downstream in Pedernales Falls State Park flood.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 11.7 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 13.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
this afternoon to a crest of 18.9 feet this evening. It will
then fall below flood stage late tonight.
- Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
19.3 feet on 05/24/2015.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Pedernales River
Johnson City 14.0 11.7 Thu 7 am CDT 12.8 10.9 10.7
&&
LAT...LON 3026 9841 3034 9841 3037 9818 3046 9809
3041 9802 3031 9812
$$
TXC031-171-170645-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0038.260716T1354Z-260717T1018Z/
/FRBT2.2.ER.260716T1354Z.260716T1700Z.260716T2218Z.NO/
733 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pedernales River at Fredericksburg.
* WHEN...Until late tonight.
* IMPACTS...At 22.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding floods secondary
roads and bridges from the headwaters downstream to below LBJ
National Park. The Park Road 49 bridge in LBJ National Park
floods. Fencing and signs are damaged in LBJ National Park.
At 25.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding covers many secondary
roads and bridges from the headwaters to Stonewall making them
very dangerous to motorists. Low areas of LBJ National Park and
the Park Road 49 bridge are flooded.
At 27.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding is near the USGS 1:5 year
level. Secondary roads and bridges from the headwaters above
Harper to below Stonewall are flooded and dangerous. Significant
damage to fences, signs, and roads occurs downstream in LBJ
National Park near Stonewall.
At 29.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding inundates secondary roads
and bridges from the headwaters above Harper to below Stonewall.
Fences and signs are destroyed in LBJ National Park at Stonewall
as flow is well into the flood plain and many feet over the Park
Road 49 bridge.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 16.3 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
this morning to a crest of 29.3 feet this afternoon. It will
then fall below flood stage late this afternoon.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
27.4 feet on 07/05/2002.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Pedernales River
Fredericksburg 22.0 16.3 Thu 7 am CDT 10.1 8.0 7.7
&&
LAT...LON 3017 9895 3025 9896 3034 9841 3026 9841
$$
CM5 follow-up statements
913
WGUS44 KEWX 161328
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
828 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio TX has issued
a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano affecting Llano County.
...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity and
increased in duration for the following rivers in Texas...
Pedernales River At Fredericksburg affecting Blanco and Gillespie
Counties.
Pedernales River At Johnson City affecting Blanco County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
To escape rising water, take the shortest path to higher ground.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National
Weather Service when you can do so safely.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued late tonight by 230 AM CDT.
&&
TXC299-170730-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0041.260716T2317Z-260718T0200Z/
/LLAT2.2.ER.260716T2317Z.260717T0200Z.260717T1400Z.NO/
828 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE TOMORROW
EVENING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Llano River at Llano.
* WHEN...From this evening to late tomorrow evening.
* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary
roads and low bridges in the flood plain dangerous to motorists
including the low water crossing of Ranch Road 3404/Slab Road near
Kingsland. Equipment should be moved from low docks and boat ties
loosened downstream in Kingsland.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 6.6 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
this evening to a crest of 12.3 feet late this evening. It
will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow morning.
- Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
12.1 feet on 05/29/2015.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Llano River
Llano 10.0 6.6 Thu 8 am CDT 10.2 6.9 4.7
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3079 9852 3058 9824
3049 9829 3066 9855
$$
TXC031-171-170730-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0038.260716T1328Z-260717T1107Z/
/FRBT2.3.ER.260716T1228Z.260716T1700Z.260716T2307Z.NO/
828 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING TO TOMORROW
MORNING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Pedernales River at Fredericksburg.
* WHEN...From this morning to tomorrow morning.
* IMPACTS...At 32.0 feet, Widespread major flooding of secondary and
primary roads, low bridges and crossings in the headwaters above
Fredericksburg make them very dangerous. Destructive flooding at
LBJ National Park downstream will be ten feet over the Park Road
49 bridge at LBJ National Park. Many park signs and fences are
destroyed and park roads damaged. This flow exceeds the USGS 1:10
year flood level.
At 36.0 feet, Major flooding is near the USGS 1:25 year level.
Lowest buildings near Highway 87 are threatened as well as the
Highway 87 bridge approaches. Major damage occurs downsteam at
LBJ National Park to signs, fences, roads and the Junction
School. Widepread scouring of roads and bridges occurs from the
headwaters to below Stonewall.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 28.2 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:00 AM CDT Thursday was 28.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 33.7
feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage this
evening.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
34.4 feet on 06/01/1979.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Pedernales River
Fredericksburg 22.0 28.2 Thu 8 am CDT 10.8 8.2 7.8
&&
LAT...LON 3017 9895 3025 9896 3034 9841 3026 9841
$$
TXC031-170730-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0039.260716T1909Z-260717T2230Z/
/JOCT2.3.ER.260716T1909Z.260717T0100Z.260717T1030Z.NO/
828 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO TOMORROW
AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Major flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pedernales River at Johnson City.
* WHEN...From this afternoon to tomorrow afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding reaches secondary
roads, crossings and low bridges. Low areas of LBJ National Park
upstream are flooded. Swimmers and recreationists should leave the
river downstream in Pedernales Falls State Park.
At 17.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads,
bridges and low crossings very dangerous. Swimmers and
recreationists should move from the flood plain downstream in
Pedernales Falls State Park. Near the USGS 1:2 year flood.
At 19.0 feet, Major flooding makes secondary and primary roads
below Stonewall to Lake Travis very dangerous. Low park areas
downstream in Pedernales Falls State Park flood.
At 22.0 feet, Secondary roads, bridges and crossings are
dangerously flooded near the Pedernales River. Low areas of
Pedernales Falls State Park are flooded and dangerous. Fencing and
roads are damaged or destroyed in the flood plain.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 11.6 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 13.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
this afternoon to a crest of 21.1 feet this evening. It will
then fall below flood stage late tonight.
- Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
21.4 feet on 05/30/1995.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Pedernales River
Johnson City 14.0 11.6 Thu 8 am CDT 12.6 10.9 10.7
&&
LAT...LON 3026 9841 3034 9841 3037 9818 3046 9809
3041 9802 3031 9812
$$
CM235
WGUS84 KEWX 161433
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
933 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Pedernales River At Fredericksburg affecting Blanco and Gillespie
Counties.
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Pedernales River At Johnson City affecting Blanco County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
To escape rising water, take the shortest path to higher ground.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued late tonight by 345 AM CDT.
&&
TXC031-171-170845-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-260717T1100Z/
/FRBT2.3.ER.260716T1228Z.260716T1500Z.260716T2300Z.NO/
933 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Pedernales River at Fredericksburg.
* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.
* IMPACTS...At 27.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding is near the USGS
1:5 year level. Secondary roads and bridges from the headwaters
above Harper to below Stonewall are flooded and dangerous.
Significant damage to fences, signs, and roads occurs downstream
in LBJ National Park near Stonewall.
At 29.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding inundates secondary roads
and bridges from the headwaters above Harper to below Stonewall.
Fences and signs are destroyed in LBJ National Park at Stonewall
as flow is well into the flood plain and many feet over the Park
Road 49 bridge.
At 32.0 feet, Widespread major flooding of secondary and primary
roads, low bridges and crossings in the headwaters above
Fredericksburg make them very dangerous. Destructive flooding at
LBJ National Park downstream will be ten feet over the Park Road
49 bridge at LBJ National Park. Many park signs and fences are
destroyed and park roads damaged. This flow exceeds the USGS 1:10
year flood level.
At 36.0 feet, Major flooding is near the USGS 1:25 year level.
Lowest buildings near Highway 87 are threatened as well as the
Highway 87 bridge approaches. Major damage occurs downsteam at
LBJ National Park to signs, fences, roads and the Junction
School. Widepread scouring of roads and bridges occurs from the
headwaters to below Stonewall.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 25.5 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 9:15 AM CDT Thursday was 25.6 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 35.7
feet late this morning. It will then fall below flood stage
this evening.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
34.4 feet on 06/01/1979.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (10 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Pedernales River
Fredericksburg 22.0 25.5 Thu 9 am CDT 10.5 8.2 7.8
&&
LAT...LON 3017 9895 3025 9896 3034 9841 3026 9841
$$
TXC031-170845-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0039.260716T1850Z-260717T2324Z/
/JOCT2.3.ER.260716T1850Z.260717T0000Z.260717T1124Z.NO/
933 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO TOMORROW
EVENING...
* WHAT...Major flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pedernales River at Johnson City.
* WHEN...From this afternoon to tomorrow evening.
* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding reaches secondary
roads, crossings and low bridges. Low areas of LBJ National Park
upstream are flooded. Swimmers and recreationists should leave the
river downstream in Pedernales Falls State Park.
At 17.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads,
bridges and low crossings very dangerous. Swimmers and
recreationists should move from the flood plain downstream in
Pedernales Falls State Park. Near the USGS 1:2 year flood.
At 19.0 feet, Major flooding makes secondary and primary roads
below Stonewall to Lake Travis very dangerous. Low park areas
downstream in Pedernales Falls State Park flood.
At 22.0 feet, Secondary roads, bridges and crossings are
dangerously flooded near the Pedernales River. Low areas of
Pedernales Falls State Park are flooded and dangerous. Fencing and
roads are damaged or destroyed in the flood plain.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 11.5 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 13.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
this afternoon to a crest of 21.8 feet this evening. It will
then fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
- Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
21.9 feet on 12/21/1991.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (10 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Pedernales River
Johnson City 14.0 11.5 Thu 9 am CDT 12.4 11.0 10.7
&&
LAT...LON 3026 9841 3034 9841 3037 9818 3046 9809
3041 9802 3031 9812
$$
CM680
WGUS84 KEWX 161955
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
255 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano affecting Llano County.
Pedernales River At Johnson City affecting Blanco County.
Sabinal At Sabinal affecting Uvalde County.
Nueces River Near Asherton affecting Dimmit County.
Frio River Below Dry Frio affecting Uvalde County.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Pedernales River At Fredericksburg affecting Blanco and Gillespie
Counties.
West Nueces River At Brackettville affecting Kinney and Uvalde
Counties.
Nueces River Below Uvalde affecting Uvalde County.
Frio River At Concan affecting Uvalde County.
Frio River Near Derby affecting Frio County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Even 6 inches of fast-moving flood water can knock you off your feet
and a depth of 2 feet will float your car. Never try to walk, swim,
or drive through such swift water. If you come upon flood waters,
stop, turn around and go another way.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
To escape rising water, take the shortest path to higher ground.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued late tonight by 530 AM CDT.
&&
TXC299-171400-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-260718T2000Z/
/LLAT2.2.ER.260716T1954Z.260717T0200Z.260718T0800Z.NO/
255 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Llano River at Llano.
* WHEN...Until Saturday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding can swamp boats in
the lower Llano River in Kingsland.
At 12.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads and
low bridges in the flood plain dangerous to motorists including
the low water crossing of Ranch Road 3404/Slab Road near
Kingsland. Equipment should be moved from low docks and boat ties
loosened downstream in Kingsland.
At 16.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding threatens docks and boats
in the flood plain downstream in Kingsland. Secondary roads and
bridges will be flooded and dangerous to motorists. Flow exceeds
the USGS 1:2 year flood level.
At 20.0 feet, Flow will be damaging to docks and boats downstream
in Kingsland. The lowest secondary roads and bridges will be
severely flooded and dangerous. Near the USGS 1:5 year flood level.
At 23.0 feet, Major lowland flooding makes primary and secondary
roads and low bridges near the river and tributaries dangerous.
Boats and docks are severely inundated downstream near and in
Kingsland. Lowest resorts near the Llano River mouth in Kingsland
flood.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 5.9 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river will rise to 22.5 feet late this evening
before gradually falling below flood stage early Saturday
morning.
- Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
22.1 feet on 11/17/2004.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (3 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Llano River
Llano 10.0 5.9 Thu 2 pm CDT 16.1 8.1 5.8
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3079 9852 3058 9824
3049 9829 3066 9855
$$
TXC031-171400-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-260718T0000Z/
/JOCT2.3.ER.260716T1925Z.260716T2200Z.260717T1200Z.NO/
255 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING...
* WHAT...Major flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pedernales River at Johnson City.
* WHEN...Until tomorrow evening.
* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding reaches secondary
roads, crossings and low bridges. Low areas of LBJ National Park
upstream are flooded. Swimmers and recreationists should leave the
river downstream in Pedernales Falls State Park.
At 17.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads,
bridges and low crossings very dangerous. Swimmers and
recreationists should move from the flood plain downstream in
Pedernales Falls State Park. Near the USGS 1:2 year flood.
At 19.0 feet, Major flooding makes secondary and primary roads
below Stonewall to Lake Travis very dangerous. Low park areas
downstream in Pedernales Falls State Park flood.
At 22.0 feet, Secondary roads, bridges and crossings are
dangerously flooded near the Pedernales River. Low areas of
Pedernales Falls State Park are flooded and dangerous. Fencing and
roads are damaged or destroyed in the flood plain.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 11.3 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 13.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 22.9
feet late this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
tomorrow morning.
- Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
22.9 feet on 05/28/1929.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (3 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Pedernales River
Johnson City 14.0 11.3 Thu 2 pm CDT 12.1 11.1 10.7
&&
LAT...LON 3026 9841 3034 9841 3037 9818 3046 9809
3041 9802 3031 9812
$$
TXC031-171-171030-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-260717T1020Z/
/FRBT2.2.ER.260716T1228Z.260716T1425Z.260716T2220Z.NO/
255 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Pedernales River at Fredericksburg.
* WHEN...Until late tonight.
* IMPACTS...At 25.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding covers many
secondary roads and bridges from the headwaters to Stonewall
making them very dangerous to motorists. Low areas of LBJ National
Park and the Park Road 49 bridge are flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 25.8 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river will continue a gradual drop below flood
stage late this afternoon.
- Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
25.7 feet on 05/03/1990.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (3 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Pedernales River
Fredericksburg 22.0 17.2 Thu 2 pm CDT 10.6 8.3 7.8
&&
LAT...LON 3017 9895 3025 9896 3034 9841 3026 9841
$$
TXC271-463-171145-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-260717T1137Z/
/BTVT2.3.ER.260715T1052Z.260716T2000Z.260716T2337Z.NO/
255 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...
* WHAT...Major flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...West Nueces River at Brackettville.
* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, Major lowland flooding four hundred yards
wide cuts off livestock and equipment in the flood plain. Flow is
to the entrance platform of the gauge house. Many secondary and
primary roads downstream are impassable.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- There is no current observed data.
- Bankfull stage is 9.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage this evening
to 10.4 feet just after midnight tonight. It will then rise
to 13.0 feet tomorrow morning. It will fall to 2.8 feet early
Monday afternoon. It will then rise to 4.1 feet early Tuesday
morning. It will fall again and remain below flood stage.
- Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
20.0 feet on 08/25/1998.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (3 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
West Nueces River
Brackettville 15.0 MSG unknown 9.6 6.6 5.2
&&
LAT...LON 2946 10027 2952 10022 2944 10003 2926 9998
2931 10013 2942 10012
$$
TXC463-171400-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-260717T1555Z/
/CNCT2.3.ER.260715T1413Z.260716T2100Z.260717T0355Z.NO/
255 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TOMORROW MORNING...
* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Frio River at Concan.
* WHEN...Until late tomorrow morning.
* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Life threatening flooding through
campgrounds below Rio Frio to Concan washes recreational vehicles,
autos, gear, and campers downstream. Lowest homes are flooded
below Leakey to below Rio Frio. Much of Garner State Park is
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 19.5 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 2:30 PM CDT Thursday was 19.5 feet.
- Forecast...The river will rise to 21.0 feet late this
afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late this
evening to 5.5 feet early Saturday morning. It will rise to
5.8 feet Saturday evening. It will then fall again and remain
below flood stage.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
21.6 feet on 10/28/1996.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (3 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Frio River
Concan 11.0 19.5 Thu 2 pm CDT 5.6 5.8 5.5
&&
LAT...LON 2951 9975 2951 9967 2943 9962 2929 9962
2923 9971 2942 9970
$$
TXC463-171400-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-260717T1728Z/
/SABT2.3.ER.260714T1617Z.260717T0000Z.260717T0528Z.NO/
255 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Sabinal at Sabinal.
* WHEN...Until early tomorrow afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding damages crops and floods
pastureland cutting off and potentially drowning livestock in low
areas of the flood plain. Secondary roads and low bridges flood
severely as the flood wave passes downstream.
At 24.0 feet, Major lowland flooding from the headwaters to the
Frio River confluence. Very dangerous to campers upstream near
Utopia. Many secondary and primary roads and low bridges are
flooded and dangerous.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 16.2 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 1:30 PM CDT Thursday was 16.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river will oscillate above flood stage with a
maximum value of 24.2 feet this evening. It will fall below
flood stage just after midnight tonight.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Flood History...No available flood history.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (3 pm CDT)
Locati Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Sabinal
Sabina 12.0 16.2 Thu 1 pm CDT 7.7 8.4 7.4
&&
LAT...LON 2962 9956 2962 9948 2914 9941 2901 9921
2894 9925 2910 9949
$$
TXC463-171400-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-260718T0106Z/
/UDET2.3.ER.260714T1540Z.260717T0300Z.260717T1306Z.NO/
255 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING...
* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Frio River below Dry Frio.
* WHEN...Until tomorrow evening.
* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, Major flooding of crop and pastureland,
traps livestock and can drown them. Secondary and primary roads
and low bridges are flooded and dangerous.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 17.4 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 1:30 PM CDT Thursday was 19.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.3
feet late this evening. It will then fall below flood stage
tomorrow morning.
- Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
20.3 feet on 12/31/1984.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (3 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Frio River
Dry Frio 12.0 17.4 Thu 1 pm CDT 8.3 6.7 5.7
&&
LAT...LON 2923 9971 2929 9962 2898 9917 2876 9912
2873 9920 2893 9924
$$
TXC463-171400-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-260720T2200Z/
/UVLT2.3.ER.260715T1735Z.260717T0600Z.260720T1000Z.UU/
255 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Nueces River below Uvalde.
* WHEN...Until Monday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 25.0 feet, Residents of many low lying homes in
Crystal City flood in less than a day from a crest in Uvalde.
Roads and bridges are damaged above Barksdale to below Carrizo
Springs. Flow ranges from one half mile to four miles wide in the
flood plain, trapping livestock and destroying equipment in the
flood plain.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 25.2 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 2:30 PM CDT Thursday was 25.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river will fall to 24.8 feet late this
afternoon. It will then rise to 27.3 feet this evening. It
will fall to 25.3 feet late this evening. It will then rise
to 27.6 feet just after midnight tonight. It will fall below
flood stage early Monday morning.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- Flood History...No available flood history.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (3 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Nueces River
Uvalde 11.0 25.2 Thu 2 pm CDT 17.0 12.4 11.4
&&
LAT...LON 2913 9994 2914 9985 2885 9974 2853 9967
2848 9975 2880 9985
$$
TXC127-171400-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0033.260717T0742Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASRT2.2.ER.260717T0742Z.260718T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
255 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Nueces River near Asherton.
* WHEN...From late tonight until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 22.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding reaches into low
lying areas of the flood plain. Livestock and equipment should be
moved from vulnerable areas.
At 24.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding reaches into low lying
areas of the flood plain. Livestock should be moved from
vulnerable areas.
At 26.0 feet, Widespread moderate lowland flooding threatens
livestock and equipment in low areas of the flood plain. Secondary
roads and bridges flood and Farm to Market 190 is threatened.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 2.7 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 18.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
just after midnight tonight and continue rising to a crest of
25.8 feet Saturday morning.
- Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
25.7 feet on 09/18/1991.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Nueces River
Asherton 20.0 2.7 Thu 2 pm CDT 25.6 25.7 25.4
&&
LAT...LON 2848 9975 2853 9967 2847 9939 2839 9939
$$
TXC163-171400-
/O.CON.KEWX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DBYT2.2.ER.260716T1454Z.260719T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
255 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Frio River near Derby.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, Lowland flooding below Concan to Choke
Canyon Reservoir floods oil well pump jacks, irrigation pumps and
any equipment in the lower flood plain near and above Derby.
At 14.0 feet, Significant crop and pastureland flooding below
Uvalde to Choke Canyon Reservoir floods oil well pump jacks,
irrigation pumps and any equipment in the flood plain. Numerous
secondary roads and low bridges are flooded. Livestock are cut off
and potentially drowned in low areas of the flood plain.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 1:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 6.8 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 1:30 PM CDT Thursday was 6.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river will rise to 13.0 feet Sunday morning.
It will then fall early Sunday afternoon. It will rise to
13.0 feet Monday morning. It will then fall again but remain
above flood stage.
- Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
13.7 feet on 05/26/2015.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Frio River
Derby 6.0 6.8 Thu 1 pm CDT 11.8 12.5 12.9
&&
LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910
$$
CM450
WGUS84 KEWX 170137
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
837 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...Observed flooding changed to Major severity and increased in
duration for the following rivers in Texas...
Pedernales River At Johnson City affecting Blanco County.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Llano River at Llano affecting Llano County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
To escape rising water, take the shortest path to higher ground.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Friday afternoon by 245 PM CDT.
&&
TXC031-171945-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-260717T2036Z/
/JOCT2.3.ER.260716T1925Z.260716T2125Z.260717T0836Z.NO/
837 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Pedernales River at Johnson City.
* WHEN...Until tomorrow afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, Major flooding makes secondary and primary
roads below Stonewall to Lake Travis very dangerous. Low park
areas downstream in Pedernales Falls State Park flood.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 20.1 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 13.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:00 PM CDT Thursday was 24.6 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
late tonight and continue falling to 10.6 feet Tuesday
evening.
- Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (9 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Pedernales River
Johnson City 14.0 20.1 Thu 8 pm CDT 12.0 11.0 10.7
&&
LAT...LON 3026 9841 3034 9841 3037 9818 3046 9809
3041 9802 3031 9812
$$
TXC299-171945-
/O.CON.KEWX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-260718T2000Z/
/LLAT2.2.ER.260716T1954Z.260716T2330Z.260718T0800Z.NO/
837 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
forecast.
* WHERE...Llano River at Llano.
* WHEN...Until Saturday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, Flow will be damaging to docks and boats
downstream in Kingsland. The lowest secondary roads and bridges
will be severely flooded and dangerous. Near the USGS 1:5 year
flood level.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 18.9 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:00 PM CDT Thursday was 20.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise back to a crest of
19.8 feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood
stage early Saturday morning.
- Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (9 pm CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun
Llano River
Llano 10.0 18.9 Thu 8 pm CDT 12.4 7.8 5.5
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9896 3075 9896 3079 9852 3058 9824
3049 9829 3066 9855
$$
MO077
WGUS84 KEWX 171454
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
954 AM CDT Fri Jul 17 2026
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Texas...
Pedernales River At Johnson City affecting Blanco County.
TXC031-171600-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-260717T1454Z/
/JOCT2.3.ER.260716T1925Z.260716T2125Z.260717T0804Z.NO/
954 AM CDT Fri Jul 17 2026
...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Pedernales River At Johnson City.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 12.1 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 13.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 10.6 feet
Wednesday morning.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (10 am CDT)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon
Pedernales River
Johnson City 14.0 12.1 Fri 9 am CDT 11.0 10.7 10.7
&&
LAT...LON 3026 9841 3034 9841 3037 9818 3046 9809
3041 9802 3031 9812
$$
CMWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 16, 6:49 AM CDT, 44 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 649 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
- The forecast remains relatively unchanged with intense rain rates and compounding effects from multiple rounds of storms resulting in a dangerous flash flooding threat continuing Today.
- Considerable to locally catastrophic impacts from flash flooding are likely for the southern Edwards Plateau, Rio Grande, western Hill Country, and U.S. 90 corridor west of San Antonio.
- Pockets of an additional 10 to 15 inches of rain are possible within the highest risk areas, with broader totals of 2 to 6 inches.
- Potential for significant to catastrophic river flooding in the Nueces, Frio, and Medina river basins and significant flooding in the Pecos, Rio Grande, and San Antonio river basins.
- Heed instructions from local officials and be prepared to seek higher ground if necessary.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 6:49 AM CDT, 44 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 649 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 649 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026 - The forecast remains relatively unchanged with intense rain rates and compounding effects from multiple rounds of storms resulting in a dangerous flash flooding threat continuing Today. - Considerable to locally catastrophic impacts from flash flooding are likely for the southern Edwards Plateau, Rio Grande, western Hill Country, and U.S. 90 corridor west of San Antonio. - Pockets of an additional 10 to 15 inches of rain are possible within the highest risk areas, with broader totals of 2 to 6 inches. - Potential for significant to catastrophic river flooding in the Nueces, Frio, and Medina river basins and significant flooding in the Pecos, Rio Grande, and San Antonio river basins. - Heed instructions from local officials and be prepared to seek higher ground if necessary. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday) Issued at 140 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026 Significant rainfall capable of life-threatening flooding is again expected overnight tonight through tomorrow morning. This includes likely impacts from considerable to locally catastrophic flash flooding along the U.S. 90 corridor west of San Antonio including the southern Edwards Plateau, Rio Grande, and western Hill Country, plus a renewed potential for significant mainstem river flooding into Moderate and/or Major flood stages in the Pecos, Rio Grande, Nueces, Frio, Medina, and San Antonio River basins. This is also in addition to significant to catastrophic river flooding already currently ongoing in the Nueces, Frio, and Medina basins as floodwater's from earlier rains continue to move downstream. The potential for renewed impacts from flash and river flooding include areas already hard hit by recent flooding. While these locations are at greatest risk and highest confidence for seeing significant impacts, a Flood Watch remains in effect through 7 PM today for a broader area across the I-35 corridor, the Hill Country, Rio Grande Plains, and southern Edwards Plateau. Dangerous flash flooding from torrential downpours will continue to be possible for all of these areas. In the highest risk areas (southern Edwards Plateau, Rio Grande Plains and western Hill Country) regional values of 2 to 6 inches continue to remain possible with the potential for pockets of an additional 10 to 15 inches of rain through today over this area. Otherwise 1 to 4 inch totals continue to be possible over the remaining portions of the Flood Watch area. Very high rainfall rates potentially reaching 2 to 4 inches per hour will again be possible overnight tonight and into this morning. Because of how saturated soils are, even rates of 0.5 to 1 inch per hour will be sufficient to trigger flash flooding that will again rapidly accumulate into creeks, rivers and arroyos across the area. It will not take much more rainfall to produce major concerns. Additionally, steep rises along the Frio, Medina, and Nueces rivers and their tributaries to Moderate and/or Major flood stage are already occurring and could eventually flow downstream with the potential for catastrophic impacts. Continued heavy runoff and rains in these or other river basins may produce further rises which could impact downstream areas. The flood event is not over! The well-defined mesoscale convective vortex responsible for the previous few nights of torrential rainfall across parts of the area will again be the main focus for renewed activity overnight into the morning hours. A robust low-level jet tonight looks even stronger than previous nights and will again support torrential downpours. It's still quite difficult to say with certainty where this MCV forms yet again as models are having a difficult time in deciphering this. However, once the MCV reforms the general consensus is that the vorticity will eventually track slowly north and west with time, guided by flow from a retrograding upper-level low. As stated previously, wherever this MCV re-initiates will be where the heaviest bullseye of rain will fall overnight tonight into this morning. Another 10 to 15 inches of rainfall will be possible in this heavier bullseye. Heavy rainfall may linger into this afternoon across the area as tropical moisture continues to flow across the Edwards Plateau and Hill Country, though as we have seen the past few days, there should eventually be a lull as rain coverage begins to ease up. The main forcing for these storms should eventually begin to move further away from the area towards the north. Regardless, tropical moisture will continue to stream northward behind the outgoing disturbance, setting up for another round of potentially heavy rainfall again tomorrow night(Thursday night) into Friday morning mainly over the southern Edwards Plateau, Rio Grande, and parts of the western Hill Country. Once again, these rains could impact areas already hard hit. One caveat is that slightly faster mid-level winds should allow storms to move somewhat faster, however multiple rounds of heavy rains may still occur again. There remains a Moderate Risk (Level 3 of 4) of excessive rain capable of causing flash flooding for Today through overnight/into Friday morning, with the most likely timeframe occurring during the overnight/morning hours. The risk area for heavier rains and flash flooding Tomorrow night through Friday morning is expected to shift slightly north and west but moisture will continue to remain plentiful across South Central Texas. Rivers, creeks, and arroyos can rise suddenly and rapidly! Locally dry conditions near creeks and rivers should not be treated as a guarantee of your safety! Normally dry areas can flood in these conditions. Heed warnings, instructions from local and county officials, and avoid unnecessary travel. Flash flooding can be impossible to spot at night. Avoid flooded roadways. Conditions can change drastically and suddenly. Have multiple reliable ways to receive warnings and information from local/state officials both in the daytime and at night. If you are in a low-lying location or near a stream, have a plan and have a route to reach higher ground if needed. WPC keeps parts of the western half of our area (Val Verde, Edwards, Kinney counties) in a level 2 of 4 (Slight) risk for excessive rainfall with a level 1 of 4 (Marginal) risk across the western Hill Country, southern Edwards Plateau, and Rio Grande Plains for Friday during the day. Depending on how this activity evolves will determine if we continue to see elevated flooding potential continuing into Friday afternoon and even perhaps into Friday evening && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 140 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026 By late week the upper pattern should start to readjust, however we will likely still be somewhat unstable and low rain chances will continue at least out in our western areas through Friday.By Saturday and into this weekend we look to dry out at this point. High temperatures should eventually moderate as we get to Saturday and into the weekend with the return of 90s and more seasonable temps expected into early next week. Additionally, we may see heat indices begin to approach 100 to 105 degree range as all the moisture and water begins to evaporate over the area and combined with temps ramping up into the upper 90s by mid week. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 649 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026 Showers and thunderstorms continue this morning, mainly along and north of HWY-90 as abundant moisture pools. Borderline MVFR/IFR ceilings will continue over the next few hours (12-15Z) for SAT/SSF/AUS before improving to VFR ceilings this afternoon. Vicinity showers are kept in the forecast through this afternoon, before focusing more westward over DRT tonight. Southeasterly winds around 10 knots will persist through the day. Terminals directly impacted by thunderstorms could experience stronger variable winds. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 87 75 90 75 / 60 20 10 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 87 75 90 75 / 60 20 10 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 87 74 90 75 / 50 20 10 0 Burnet Muni Airport 85 73 88 73 / 70 30 10 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 85 73 87 74 / 80 80 30 10 Georgetown Muni Airport 87 73 90 74 / 60 20 10 0 Hondo Muni Airport 85 73 88 74 / 60 40 10 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 87 74 90 75 / 50 20 10 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 89 76 91 76 / 30 10 10 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 86 76 89 76 / 60 30 10 0 Stinson Muni Airport 87 76 90 76 / 50 20 10 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch through this evening for TXZ171>173-183>192-202>207- 217>219-228. && SHORT TERM...CJM LONG TERM....CJM AVIATION...CJM
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 16, 6:42 AM CDT, 51 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
642 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0622 AM Flash Flood Center Point 29.95N 99.04W
07/16/2026 Kerr TX Newspaper
Guadalupe River rose over the 480 bridge
into Center Point with several feet of water
over the bridge.
&&
HTLocal storm report, Jul 16, 6:48 AM CDT, 45 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
648 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0453 AM Flash Flood 1 NW Kerrville 30.05N 99.15W
07/16/2026 Kerr TX Public
Town Creek in flood in Kerrville. Multiple
streets flooded with floodwaters reaching
homes.
&&
HTLocal storm report, Jul 16, 7:00 AM CDT, 33 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
700 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0657 AM Flash Flood 12 WSW Fredericksburg 30.24N 99.06W
07/16/2026 Gillespie TX Emergency Mngr
Pedernales River rising quickly. Water
flooding Morris Ranch Road and other
roadways in the area.
&&
HTSpecial weather statement, Jul 16, 7:13 AM CDT, 20 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
713 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
TXZ202-161300-
Kinney TX-
713 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Kinney
County through 800 AM CDT...
At 712 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Anacacho, or 7 miles east of Brackettville, moving southeast at 15
mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Brackettville, Alamo Village, Turkey Mountain, and Fort Clark
Springs.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 2925 10042 2958 10046 2959 10012 2918 10011
TIME...MOT...LOC 1212Z 299DEG 13KT 2929 10029
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
27Local storm report, Jul 16, 7:25 AM CDT, 8 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
725 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0721 AM Flash Flood Uvalde 29.22N 99.78W
07/16/2026 Uvalde TX Emergency Mngr
All roads in Uvalde closed due to flooding
across many streets. All highways
underwater.
&&
HTLocal storm report, Jul 16, 7:30 AM CDT, 3 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
730 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0705 AM Flash Flood 6 SW Fredericksburg 30.21N 98.94W
07/16/2026 Gillespie TX Public
Highway 16 flooded southwest of
Fredericksburg.
&&
HTThe office that day
Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 8:17 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Medina | 19 hr |
| Jul 15, 8:28 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Edwards, Real | 7 hr |
| Jul 15, 9:16 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Edwards | 4 hr |
| Jul 15, 9:56 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bexar, Comal, Guadalupe, Wilson | 5 hr |
| Jul 15, 10:04 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Bexar | 26 min |
| Jul 15, 11:06 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Bexar | 10 hr |
| Jul 16, 12:30 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Uvalde, Zavala | 29 min |
| Jul 16, 12:54 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kerr | 5 hr |
| Jul 16, 1:05 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Kerr | 27 hr |
| Jul 16, 1:37 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Gillespie, Kerr | 9 hr |
| Jul 16, 1:52 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Kinney, Maverick, Uvalde, Zavala | 80 min |
| Jul 16, 1:56 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 34 min |
| Jul 16, 2:21 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kerr, Real | 14 hr |
| Jul 16, 2:27 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 33 min |
| Jul 16, 2:28 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 47 min |
| Jul 16, 3:00 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Kerr | 12 hr |
| Jul 16, 3:01 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 44 min |
| Jul 16, 3:09 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 14 min |
| Jul 16, 3:12 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Kinney, Maverick, Uvalde, Zavala | 15 hr |
| Jul 16, 3:15 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Kendall | 28 hr |
| Jul 16, 3:40 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 50 min |
| Jul 16, 3:46 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 44 min |
| Jul 16, 4:06 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 6 hr |
| Jul 16, 4:10 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Kinney | 50 min |
| Jul 16, 4:20 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Kinney, Maverick, Val Verde | 12 hr |
| Jul 16, 4:35 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 40 min |
| Jul 16, 5:04 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Real, Uvalde | 15 min |
| Jul 16, 5:30 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Kendall, Kerr | 14 hr |
| Jul 16, 5:35 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Blanco, Gillespie | 15 hr |
| Jul 16, 5:38 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Edwards, Real, Uvalde | 52 min |
| Jul 16, 5:50 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Bandera, Real, Uvalde | 28 min |
| Jul 16, 6:06 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Kinney | 39 min |
| Jul 16, 6:23 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Kinney | 52 min |
| Jul 16, 6:28 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Real, Uvalde | 32 min |
| Jul 16, 6:37 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Kinney | 38 min |
| Jul 16, 7:13 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Kinney | 47 min |
| Jul 16, 8:09 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Comal | 40 hr |
| Jul 16, 8:23 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 19 hr |
| Jul 16, 8:28 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Llano | 59 hr |
| Jul 16, 8:40 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Blanco, Gillespie | 13 hr |
| Jul 16, 8:45 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Edwards, Kerr, Real | 8 hr |
| Jul 16, 9:25 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Maverick | 60 hr |
| Jul 16, 10:19 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Comal, Kendall | 12 hr |
| Jul 16, 11:00 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Gillespie | 5 hr |
| Jul 16, 3:04 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Comal | 41 min |
| Jul 16, 3:12 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Kerr | 19 hr |
| Jul 16, 3:42 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Gillespie | 2 hr |
| Jul 16, 3:47 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Guadalupe | 43 min |
| Jul 16, 4:00 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bandera, Kerr, Real | 18 hr |
| Jul 16, 4:18 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Williamson | 27 min |
| Jul 16, 4:19 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Gillespie | 4 hr |
| Jul 16, 4:32 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Kinney, Maverick, Val Verde | 7 hr |
| Jul 16, 5:56 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Edwards, Kinney, Real | 2 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2026Every river flood warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.