Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2026

Flash Flood Warning 91, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

July 16, 2026Comal County, Kendall County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this flash flood warning at Jul 16, 2026, 10:19 AM CDT for Comal County, Kendall County, Texas. It was in force for 12 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2026, 10:19 AM CDT (15:19 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2026, 10:15 PM CDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

Counties Comal County, TX, Kendall County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 48 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 16, 7:30 PM CDTFLASH FLOOD4 Nw Guadalupe River St, TXWater levels from the Guadalupe River up to near the bridge level (60 feet) at FM 3351 to the north of Bergheim and significant tree damage along the river banks. Time estimated based on the upstream and downstream river gauges.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 341 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 345 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2026-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1095 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2026-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -26 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1095 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
609 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
3 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-26 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

532 
WGUS54 KEWX 161519
FFWEWX
TXC091-259-170315-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FF.W.0091.260716T1519Z-260717T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1019 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Central Comal County in south central Texas...
  East Central Kendall County in south central Texas...

* Until 1015 PM CDT Thursday.

* At 1019 AM CDT, emergency management reported a dangerous flood 
  wave moving down the Guadalupe River. Additional rainfall amounts 
  up to 1 inch are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is 
  ongoing or expected to begin shortly. People along the river 
  should move to higher ground.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Flood waters are
           moving down the Guadalupe River and will continue
           through the evening.

  SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Canyon Lake, Guadalupe River State Park, Spring Branch and Honey 
  Creek State Natural Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are 
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded 
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 2993 9858 2990 9858 2992 9855 2991 9852
      2989 9851 2989 9849 2990 9845 2989 9841
      2990 9837 2992 9835 2993 9833 2992 9830
      2989 9829 2983 9838 2984 9841 2985 9844
      2987 9854 2986 9858 2988 9868 2994 9861

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

05

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 16, 6:49 AM CDT, 3 hours 30 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Updated at 649 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
  • The forecast remains relatively unchanged with intense rain rates and compounding effects from multiple rounds of storms resulting in a dangerous flash flooding threat continuing Today.
  • Considerable to locally catastrophic impacts from flash flooding are likely for the southern Edwards Plateau, Rio Grande, western Hill Country, and U.S. 90 corridor west of San Antonio.
  • Pockets of an additional 10 to 15 inches of rain are possible within the highest risk areas, with broader totals of 2 to 6 inches.
  • Potential for significant to catastrophic river flooding in the Nueces, Frio, and Medina river basins and significant flooding in the Pecos, Rio Grande, and San Antonio river basins.
  • Heed instructions from local officials and be prepared to seek higher ground if necessary.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 6:49 AM CDT, 3 hours 30 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
649 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 649 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

- The forecast remains relatively unchanged with intense rain rates
and compounding effects from multiple rounds of storms resulting in
a dangerous flash flooding threat continuing Today.

- Considerable to locally catastrophic impacts from flash flooding
are likely for the southern Edwards Plateau, Rio Grande, western
Hill Country, and U.S. 90 corridor west of San Antonio.

- Pockets of an additional 10 to 15 inches of rain are possible
within the highest risk areas, with broader totals of 2 to 6 inches.

- Potential for significant to catastrophic river flooding in the
Nueces, Frio, and Medina river basins and significant flooding in
the Pecos, Rio Grande, and San Antonio river basins.

- Heed instructions from local officials and be prepared to seek
  higher ground if necessary.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 140 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

Significant rainfall capable of life-threatening flooding is again
expected overnight tonight through tomorrow morning. This includes
likely impacts from considerable to locally catastrophic flash
flooding along the U.S. 90 corridor west of San Antonio including
the southern Edwards Plateau, Rio Grande, and western Hill Country,
plus a renewed potential for significant mainstem river flooding
into Moderate and/or Major flood stages in the Pecos, Rio Grande,
Nueces, Frio, Medina, and San Antonio River basins. This is also in
addition to significant to catastrophic river flooding already
currently ongoing in the Nueces, Frio, and Medina basins as
floodwater's from earlier rains continue to move downstream. The
potential for renewed impacts from flash and river flooding include
areas already hard hit by recent flooding. While these locations are
at greatest risk and highest confidence for seeing significant
impacts, a Flood Watch remains in effect through 7 PM today for a
broader area across the I-35 corridor, the Hill Country, Rio Grande
Plains, and southern Edwards Plateau. Dangerous flash flooding from
torrential downpours will continue to be possible for all of these
areas.

In the highest risk areas (southern Edwards Plateau, Rio Grande
Plains and western Hill Country) regional values of 2 to 6 inches
continue to remain possible with the potential for pockets of an
additional 10 to 15 inches of rain through today over this area.
Otherwise 1 to 4 inch totals continue to be possible over the
remaining portions of the Flood Watch area. Very high rainfall rates
potentially reaching 2 to 4 inches per hour will again be possible
overnight tonight and into this morning. Because of how saturated
soils are, even rates of 0.5 to 1 inch per hour will be sufficient
to trigger flash flooding that will again rapidly accumulate into
creeks, rivers and arroyos across the area. It will not take much
more rainfall to produce major concerns. Additionally, steep rises
along the Frio, Medina, and Nueces rivers and their tributaries to
Moderate and/or Major flood stage are already occurring and could
eventually flow downstream with the potential for catastrophic
impacts. Continued heavy runoff and rains in these or other river
basins may produce further rises which could impact downstream areas.

The flood event is not over!

The well-defined mesoscale convective vortex responsible for the
previous few nights of torrential rainfall across parts of the area
will again be the main focus for renewed activity overnight into the
morning hours. A robust low-level jet tonight looks even stronger
than previous nights and will again support torrential downpours.
It's still quite difficult to say with certainty where this MCV
forms yet again as models are having a difficult time in deciphering
this. However, once the MCV reforms the general consensus is that
the vorticity will eventually track slowly north and west with time,
guided by flow from a retrograding upper-level low. As stated
previously, wherever this MCV re-initiates will be where the heaviest
bullseye of rain will fall overnight tonight into this morning.
Another 10 to 15 inches of rainfall will be possible in this heavier
bullseye.

Heavy rainfall may linger into this afternoon across the area as
tropical moisture continues to flow across the Edwards Plateau and
Hill Country, though as we have seen the past few days, there should
eventually be a lull as rain coverage begins to ease up. The main
forcing for these storms should eventually begin to move further away
from the area towards the north. Regardless, tropical moisture will
continue to stream northward behind the outgoing disturbance,
setting up for another round of potentially heavy rainfall again
tomorrow night(Thursday night) into Friday morning mainly over the
southern Edwards Plateau, Rio Grande, and parts of the western Hill
Country. Once again, these rains could impact areas already hard
hit. One caveat is that slightly faster mid-level winds should allow
storms to move somewhat faster, however multiple rounds of heavy
rains may still occur again.

There remains a Moderate Risk (Level 3 of 4) of excessive rain
capable of causing flash flooding for Today through overnight/into
Friday morning, with the most likely timeframe occurring during the
overnight/morning hours. The risk area for heavier rains and flash
flooding Tomorrow night through Friday morning is expected to shift
slightly north and west but moisture will continue to remain
plentiful across South Central Texas.

Rivers, creeks, and arroyos can rise suddenly and rapidly! Locally
dry conditions near creeks and rivers should not be treated as a
guarantee of your safety! Normally dry areas can flood in these
conditions. Heed warnings, instructions from local and county
officials, and avoid unnecessary travel. Flash flooding can be
impossible to spot at night. Avoid flooded roadways. Conditions can
change drastically and suddenly. Have multiple reliable ways to
receive warnings and information from local/state officials both in
the daytime and at night. If you are in a low-lying location or near
a stream, have a plan and have a route to reach higher ground if
needed.

WPC keeps parts of the western half of our area (Val Verde, Edwards,
Kinney counties) in a level 2 of 4 (Slight) risk for excessive
rainfall with a level 1 of 4 (Marginal) risk across the western Hill
Country, southern Edwards Plateau, and Rio Grande Plains for Friday
during the day. Depending on how this activity evolves will
determine if we continue to see elevated flooding potential
continuing into Friday afternoon and even perhaps into Friday
evening

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 140 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

By late week the upper pattern should start to readjust, however we
will likely still be somewhat unstable and low rain chances will
continue at least out in our western areas through Friday.By
Saturday and into this weekend we look to dry out at this point.
High temperatures should eventually moderate as we get to Saturday
and into the weekend with the return of 90s and more seasonable
temps expected into early next week. Additionally, we may see heat
indices begin to approach 100 to 105 degree range as all the
moisture and water begins to evaporate over the area and combined
with temps ramping up into the upper 90s by mid week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 649 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

Showers and thunderstorms continue this morning, mainly along and north of
HWY-90 as abundant moisture pools. Borderline MVFR/IFR ceilings will continue
over the next few hours (12-15Z) for SAT/SSF/AUS before improving to VFR
ceilings this afternoon. Vicinity showers are kept in the forecast
through this afternoon, before focusing more westward over DRT tonight.
Southeasterly winds around 10 knots will persist through the day. Terminals
directly impacted by thunderstorms could experience stronger
variable winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              87  75  90  75 /  60  20  10   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  87  75  90  75 /  60  20  10   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     87  74  90  75 /  50  20  10   0
Burnet Muni Airport            85  73  88  73 /  70  30  10   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           85  73  87  74 /  80  80  30  10
Georgetown Muni Airport        87  73  90  74 /  60  20  10   0
Hondo Muni Airport             85  73  88  74 /  60  40  10  10
San Marcos Muni Airport        87  74  90  75 /  50  20  10   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   89  76  91  76 /  30  10  10   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       86  76  89  76 /  60  30  10   0
Stinson Muni Airport           87  76  90  76 /  50  20  10   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through this evening for TXZ171>173-183>192-202>207-
217>219-228.

&&

SHORT TERM...CJM
LONG TERM....CJM
AVIATION...CJM

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 16, 8:17 AM CDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
817 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 AM     Flash Flood      1 E Leakey              29.72N 99.75W
07/16/2026                   Real               TX   Public

            Several low water crossings flooded in
            Leakey.

&&

HT
Local storm report, Jul 16, 8:26 AM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
826 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0816 AM     Flash Flood      2 NW Ingram             30.10N 99.26W
07/16/2026                   Kerr               TX   Newspaper

            Road washouts or inundation reported in
            several locations throughout the Hunt,
            Ingram, and Kerrville areas including on
            Highways 16, 27, 39, and 173.

&&

HT
Local storm report, Jul 16, 9:05 AM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
905 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0836 AM     Flash Flood      2 SW Comfort            29.95N 98.93W
07/16/2026                   Kerr               TX   Broadcast Media

            Aerial footage shows widespread flooding
            along the Guadalupe River near Comfort
            following rapid river rises. Extensive
            inundation of the floodplain. Floodwaters
            seen reaching an RV park.

&&

HT
Local storm report, Jul 16, 9:32 AM CDT, 47 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
932 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0919 AM     Flash Flood      5 SW Fredericksburg     30.22N 98.93W
07/16/2026                   Gillespie          TX   Public

            Water rescues ongoing in the Fredericksburg
            area, along Highway 16.

&&

HT
Local storm report, Jul 16, 10:06 AM CDT, 13 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1006 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 AM     Flash Flood      Brackettville           29.31N 100.42W
07/16/2026                   Kinney             TX   Local Official

            Numerous roads closed in the Brackettville
            area due to flooding, including Highway 90.
            Evacuations reported, including in Fort
            Clark.

&&

HT
Local storm report, Jul 16, 10:14 AM CDT, 5 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1014 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1013 AM     Flash Flood      16 ENE Spofford         29.24N 100.15W
07/16/2026                   Kinney             TX   Dept of Highways

            Highway 90 between Uvalde and Brackettville
            is closed due to flooding with water
            reported over the roadway.

&&

HT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 8:17 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXMedina19 hr
Jul 15, 8:28 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXEdwards, Real7 hr
Jul 15, 9:16 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXEdwards4 hr
Jul 15, 9:56 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBexar, Comal, Guadalupe, Wilson5 hr
Jul 15, 10:04 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXBexar26 min
Jul 15, 11:06 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar10 hr
Jul 16, 12:30 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXUvalde, Zavala29 min
Jul 16, 12:54 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXBandera, Kerr5 hr
Jul 16, 1:05 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKerr27 hr
Jul 16, 1:37 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXBandera, Gillespie, Kerr9 hr
Jul 16, 1:52 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXKinney, Maverick, Uvalde, Zavala80 min
Jul 16, 1:56 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXUvalde34 min
Jul 16, 2:21 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXBandera, Kerr, Real14 hr
Jul 16, 2:27 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXUvalde33 min
Jul 16, 2:28 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXUvalde47 min
Jul 16, 3:00 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatEWXKerr12 hr
Jul 16, 3:01 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXUvalde44 min
Jul 16, 3:09 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXUvalde14 min
Jul 16, 3:12 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXKinney, Maverick, Uvalde, Zavala15 hr
Jul 16, 3:15 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKendall28 hr
Jul 16, 3:40 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXUvalde50 min
Jul 16, 3:46 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXUvalde44 min
Jul 16, 4:06 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatEWXUvalde6 hr
Jul 16, 4:10 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXKinney50 min
Jul 16, 4:20 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXKinney, Maverick, Val Verde12 hr
Jul 16, 4:35 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXUvalde40 min
Jul 16, 5:04 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXReal, Uvalde15 min
Jul 16, 5:30 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatEWXKendall, Kerr14 hr
Jul 16, 5:35 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBlanco, Gillespie15 hr
Jul 16, 5:38 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXEdwards, Real, Uvalde52 min
Jul 16, 5:50 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXBandera, Real, Uvalde28 min
Jul 16, 6:06 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXKinney39 min
Jul 16, 6:23 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXKinney52 min
Jul 16, 6:28 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXReal, Uvalde32 min
Jul 16, 6:37 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXKinney38 min
Jul 16, 7:13 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXKinney47 min
Jul 16, 7:33 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBlanco26 hr
Jul 16, 8:09 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXComal40 hr
Jul 16, 8:23 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatEWXUvalde19 hr
Jul 16, 8:28 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXLlano59 hr
Jul 16, 8:40 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatEWXBlanco, Gillespie13 hr
Jul 16, 8:45 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXEdwards, Kerr, Real8 hr
Jul 16, 9:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXMaverick60 hr
Jul 16, 11:00 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXGillespie5 hr
Jul 16, 3:04 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXComal41 min
Jul 16, 3:12 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXKerr19 hr
Jul 16, 3:42 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXGillespie2 hr
Jul 16, 3:47 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXGuadalupe43 min
Jul 16, 4:00 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBandera, Kerr, Real18 hr
Jul 16, 4:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXWilliamson27 min
Jul 16, 4:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXGillespie4 hr
Jul 16, 4:32 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXKinney, Maverick, Val Verde7 hr
Jul 16, 5:56 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXEdwards, Kinney, Real2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2026Every flash flood warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.