Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Dodge City, KS

744 
WWUS53 KDDC 300025
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
725 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

KSC145-165-300045-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-260530T0045Z/
Pawnee KS-Rush KS-
725 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE AND SOUTHEASTERN RUSH COUNTIES...

At 725 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles north of
Rozel, moving north at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
  Rush Center and La Crosse.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3839 9910 3825 9932 3825 9943 3828 9950
      3829 9952 3835 9953 3855 9930
TIME...MOT...LOC 0025Z 200DEG 24KT 3832 9945 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

TATRO

781 
WWUS53 KDDC 300037 RRA
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
737 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

KSC145-165-300047-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-260530T0045Z/
Pawnee KS-Rush KS-
737 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE AND
SOUTHEASTERN RUSH COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 745 PM CDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However, gusty
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3839 9910 3825 9932 3825 9943 3828 9950
      3829 9952 3835 9953 3855 9930
TIME...MOT...LOC 0037Z 221DEG 19KT 3836 9941 

$$

TATRO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
514 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- T-storms are possible (20-30%) this afternoon and Saturday
  afternoon and then each day from Monday through Thursday.

- Hot weather will return Saturday with highs in the 90s.

- There are small chances (20-30%) for thunderstorms each day
  next week; and this could ultimately result in beneficial
  rain for many when considering the entire period.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 105 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

A jet streak was approaching southwest Kansas today ahead of an
upper level trough over the Rockies. With increasing low level
moisture, surface heating and the lack of a strong capping
inversion, severe storms are possible with large hail this
evening. One round of storms will affect locations closer to the
OKlahoma state line after 4 pm while other storms will likely
move into far western Kansas later this evening. It is unclear
if these storms will form into organized clusters so
thunderstorm coverage is uncertain.

A closed low over the western United States will open up and
progress eastward through Saturday before gradually moving
northward thereafter. Thus, no strong frontal passages are
forecast. With the increased mid level westerlies, a dry line
is expected to set up along a line from WaKeeney to Dodge City
Saturday afternoon. A farther west location of the dry line is
favored rather than model solutions that push it into central
Kansas. Given the relatively cool mid level temperatures and hot
surface temperatures along the dry line, a few thunderstorms
will form and move eastward, with the best chances (20-30%) in
places like Larned, Pratt and Greensburg. Damaging wind gusts
and large hail are possible with the storms. Given the formation
of a capping inversion above the increasing low level moisture,
dewpoints will likely reach into the lower 70s ahead of the dry
line, leading to strong instability. The limiting factor on
hail size is the lack of shear between 500mb and anvil level,
which will reduce precipitation evacuation from the updrafts.

After a break Sunday, there are additional chances for t-storms
Monday and Tuesday along the southern periphery of the
aforementioned trough. Also, embedded disturbances along the
southern edge of the westerlies could help with larger scale
forcing. The storms Monday could also be severe with large hail
and damaging winds. Whether any evening t-storms Monday can
grow upscale into a large cluster and bring widespread overnight
rain Monday night remains to be seen; but locally heavy rains
are a possibility given the weak mid level flow. By Tuesday the
upper level flow weakens further, with the potential for storm
severity decreasing.

Even though 500mb heights will be relatively high mid next week,
the various ensemble means continue to indicate a weakness in
the height field somewhere across the central or southern
plains. This could serve to temper high temperatures (instead
of getting very hot) and also help keep low level moisture in
place across southwest Kansas instead of mixing it out in the
vertical. Although the potential for high end severe is very
low, the potential for locally heavy rain is higher due to slow
storm movement. Rain chances are low to moderate at any given
point at specific times; but much higher when considering that
there will be isolated to scattered t-storms each day in
different spots. And the various model ensemble means show
weekly rain amounts (this evening through mid next week) of 1"
in central Kansas and .5 to .75" across far western Kansas.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 511 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms developing across eastern
Colorado are expected to drift into west central Kansas and possibly
portions of southwest Kansas this evening, potentially affecting the
vicinity of KGCK and KHYS generally after 01-03Z. Another area of
thunderstorms developing in northwest Oklahoma will move northeast
into south central Kansas this evening, staying mainly east of KDDC.
Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail in vicinity of all TAF sites
through late Saturday morning. Southerly winds around 10 to 20kt with
gusts up to 25kt are expected to persist through early Saturday as
lee side troughing remains anchored in eastern Colorado.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

DISCUSSION...Finch
AVIATION...JJohnson

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
621 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

KSZ090-292345-
Barber KS-
621 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EASTERN BARBER COUNTY THROUGH
645 PM CDT...

At 621 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Medicine Lodge, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Medicine Lodge around 625 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3707 9847 3719 9869 3747 9849 3747 9847
      3746 9846 3739 9846 3738 9835 3719 9835
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 214DEG 24KT 3720 9859

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

TATRO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
628 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

KSZ045-046-064-065-300000-
Hodgeman KS-Rush KS-Pawnee KS-Ness KS-
628 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN NESS...NORTHEASTERN
HODGEMAN...NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE AND SOUTHWESTERN RUSH COUNTIES THROUGH
700 PM CDT...

At 628 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Hanston, moving north at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern Ness,
northeastern Hodgeman, northwestern Pawnee and southwestern Rush
Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3813 9967 3817 9981 3842 9979 3835 9943
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 197DEG 24KT 3820 9973

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

TATRO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
644 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

KSZ065-079-300030-
Pawnee KS-Edwards KS-
644 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN PAWNEE AND CENTRAL
EDWARDS COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM CDT...

At 644 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Centerview, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Lewis around 655 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of this storm include Zook.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3801 9902 3799 9902 3773 9923 3773 9932
      3779 9947 3819 9926 3808 9895
TIME...MOT...LOC 2344Z 205DEG 24KT 3781 9930

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

TATRO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
649 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

KSZ045-046-064-065-300030-
Hodgeman KS-Rush KS-Pawnee KS-Ness KS-
649 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN NESS...NORTHEASTERN
HODGEMAN...NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE AND SOUTHWESTERN RUSH COUNTIES THROUGH
730 PM CDT...

At 649 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles southeast of Bazine, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Alexander around 700 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of this storm include McCracken and
Hargrave.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3823 9958 3827 9977 3862 9963 3852 9931
TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 205DEG 24KT 3834 9963

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

TATRO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
653 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     3 NW Centerview         37.85N 99.30W
05/29/2026  M59 MPH          Edwards            KS   Public

&&

AS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
704 PM CDT Fri May 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0658 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     3 NNE Centerview        37.86N 99.25W
05/29/2026  M64 MPH          Edwards            KS   Mesonet

&&

AS