Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2026
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 75, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 2, 2026, 2:17 AM EDT for Antrim County, Michigan. It was in force for 43 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 2, 2026, 2:17 AM EDT (06:17 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 2, 2026, 3:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 43 min
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 0.75 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
County Antrim County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2:31 AM EDT | TSTM WND GST 50 | 1 Sse Bellaire, MI |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 228 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1963 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -41 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1089 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 269 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 328 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.6
- Supercell composite
- 16.5
The text
As transmitted.
152
WUUS53 KAPX 020617
SVRAPX
MIC009-020700-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SV.W.0075.260702T0617Z-260702T0700Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
217 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026
The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Antrim County in northern Michigan...
* Until 300 AM EDT.
* At 217 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Clam River,
or near Bellaire, moving east at 45 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
Mancelona, Bellaire, and Central Lake around 220 AM EDT.
Antrim around 225 AM EDT.
Alba and Jordan Township around 230 AM EDT.
Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Lake
Bellaire.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
LAT...LON 4486 8545 4512 8537 4511 8486 4486 8485
4486 8529 4485 8532 4482 8532 4481 8533
4483 8535 4483 8538 4489 8538 4489 8542
TIME...MOT...LOC 0617Z 266DEG 41KT 4496 8528
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
$$
Dippman4 follow-up statements
404
WWUS53 KAPX 020630
SVSAPX
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
230 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026
MIC009-020700-
/O.CON.KAPX.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-260702T0700Z/
Antrim MI-
230 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT
FOR ANTRIM COUNTY...
At 230 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Bellaire,
moving east at 45 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
This severe storm will be near...
Mancelona, Bellaire, and Antrim around 235 AM EDT.
Alba around 240 AM EDT.
Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Lake
Bellaire.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
LAT...LON 4486 8545 4512 8537 4511 8486 4486 8485
4486 8529 4485 8532 4482 8532 4481 8533
4483 8535 4483 8538 4489 8538 4489 8542
TIME...MOT...LOC 0630Z 269DEG 39KT 4494 8522
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
$$
Dippman839
WWUS53 KAPX 020637
SVSAPX
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
237 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026
MIC009-020700-
/O.CON.KAPX.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-260702T0700Z/
Antrim MI-
237 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT
FOR ANTRIM COUNTY...
At 237 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Mancelona,
moving east at 50 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
This severe storm will be near...
Mancelona and Alba around 240 AM EDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
LAT...LON 4511 8486 4486 8485 4486 8524 4501 8523
4512 8531
TIME...MOT...LOC 0637Z 269DEG 45KT 4494 8506
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
$$
Dippman410
WWUS53 KAPX 020647
SVSAPX
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
247 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026
MIC009-020700-
/O.CON.KAPX.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-260702T0700Z/
Antrim MI-
247 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN ANTRIM COUNTY...
At 247 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Alba, or 8
miles northeast of Mancelona, moving east at 45 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southeastern Antrim County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
LAT...LON 4511 8486 4486 8485 4486 8508 4503 8506
4512 8514
TIME...MOT...LOC 0647Z 266DEG 41KT 4495 8490
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
$$
Dippman725
WWUS53 KAPX 020653
SVSAPX
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
253 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026
MIC009-020703-
/O.EXP.KAPX.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-260702T0700Z/
Antrim MI-
253 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN ANTRIM COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 300 AM EDT...
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Gaylord.
&&
LAT...LON 4511 8486 4486 8485 4486 8508 4503 8506
4512 8514
TIME...MOT...LOC 0653Z 266DEG 41KT 4495 8484
$$
DippmanWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 1, 11:28 PM EDT, 2 hours 49 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Heat and humidity continues with some improvement from previous days.
- Multiple rounds of showers and storms through Friday with severe storms possible with large hail, damaging wind and heavy rain.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 11:28 PM EDT, 2 hours 49 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1128 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Heat and humidity continues with some improvement from
previous days.
- Multiple rounds of showers and storms through Friday with severe
storms possible with large hail, damaging wind and heavy rain.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 231 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
Strong upper ridge across the Great Lakes will gradually
flatten through the end of the week as several shortwaves and
strengthening westerlies slowly suppress the highest heights. A
quasi-stationary boundary snaked across northern Michigan
currently will also sink southward with time, which may push the
shower/storm focus further south, as well as providing at least
a little relief from the 70F+ dewpoints. Convective evolution
from day to day will remain challenging with low predictability.
Additional showers/storms likely tonight with additional
shortwave energy riding along an elongated low level theta-e
gradient draped across parts of Wisconsin into northern
Michigan. Low confidence in the details, as convective evolution
will be driven largely by mesoscale processes and residual
outflows from earlier convection. Plenty of moisture and
instability and severe storms will remain possible with large
hail and damaging winds. The main focus of showers/storms may
shift slightly south on Thursday with the gradient of deepest
moisture/instability. Severe storms possible once again.
Stronger forcing with a more defined shortwave arrives for the end
of the week with potentially greater coverage of showers/storms for
later Friday into Friday night. Organized convection certainly a
possibility during this timeframe with plenty of instabilty and
shear. Locally heavy rain also possible. Unsettled weather
continues into the holiday weekend with more shower/storm
chances. Temperatures should be more comfortable with highs
generally in the 80s and dewpoints in the 60s.
We may fall short of heat advisory criteria in some areas on
Thursday with slightly lower dewpoints. But heat indices still
likely 90-100F in many areas (possibly 100-105 southeast
areas). So will let heat advisory continue.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1127 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
Another challenging taf period with very low confidence in
convective evolution. Overall, mainly VFR conditions are expected
with just some higher based cumulus and some passing convective
blowoff cirrus. Again, will simply need to monitor radar trends for
specific impacts and timing of any activity into our taf locations.
Future amendments more than anticipated. Light winds this morning do
become bit gusty out of the southwest and west later this morning
and afternoon.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for MIZ016>018-020>036-
041-042-097>099.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ323-344-
345.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ341-342.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ346.
&&
DISCUSSION...JK
AVIATION...MSBIn the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 1, 11:25 PM EDT, 2 hours 52 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1125 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1112 PM Rain 3 SSW Hartwick Pines St 44.72N 84.71W
07/01/2026 M1.16 Inch Crawford MI Mesonet
Mesonet station GYGM4 Grayling. 12 hour
total.
&&
JZSpecial weather statement, Jul 1, 11:38 PM EDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1138 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
MIZ034-020415-
Roscommon MI-
1138 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL ROSCOMMON COUNTY THROUGH
1215 AM EDT...
At 1138 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Prudenville, moving east at 55 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Houghton Lake, Prudenville, St. Helen, Roscommon County Airport,
Nester Township, Lake St. Helen, and Twin Lakes Area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4426 8483 4441 8477 4438 8437 4416 8437
4416 8442
TIME...MOT...LOC 0338Z 280DEG 49KT 4431 8467
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
DippmanSpecial weather statement, Jul 1, 11:39 PM EDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1139 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
MIZ029-030-035-036-020430-
Iosco MI-Alcona MI-Ogemaw MI-Oscoda MI-
1139 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN ALCONA...NORTHEASTERN
OGEMAW...SOUTHEASTERN OSCODA AND NORTHERN IOSCO COUNTIES THROUGH 1230
AM EDT...
At 1139 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Curtisville, or 11 miles southeast of Mio, moving east at 50 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Oscoda, Harrisville, Au Sable, Glennie, South Branch, McKinley,
Mikado, Lincoln, Harrisville State Park, Wurtsmith Airfield, Barton
City, Curtisville, Milen Township, and Sid Town.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4444 8409 4468 8407 4473 8325 4439 8329
TIME...MOT...LOC 0339Z 268DEG 45KT 4457 8395
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
DippmanLocal storm report, Jul 1, 11:52 PM EDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1152 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1148 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 1 ESE Roscommon County 44.35N 84.67W
07/01/2026 M53 MPH Roscommon MI ASOS
ASOS station KHTL Houghton Lake - Roscommon
County Airport.
&&
JZLocal storm report, Jul 2, 2:12 AM EDT, 5 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
212 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0203 AM Hail 4 NW Grawn 44.72N 85.72W
07/02/2026 M0.50 Inch Grand Traverse MI Public
Report from mPING: Half-inch (0.50 in.).
&&
JZLocal storm report, Jul 2, 2:14 AM EDT, 3 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
214 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0207 AM Tstm Wnd Gst 1 SE Traverse City 44.74N 85.58W
07/02/2026 M41 MPH Grand Traverse MI ASOS
Cherry Capitol Airport TVC.
&&
JZThe office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 8:32 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 58 min | |
| Jul 1, 9:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Grand Traverse | 23 min |
| Jul 1, 9:37 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Kalkaska | 38 min |
| Jul 1, 9:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Antrim, Otsego | 36 min |
| Jul 1, 9:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Antrim, Kalkaska | 34 min |
| Jul 1, 10:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Crawford | 44 min |
| Jul 1, 10:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Montmorency, Otsego | 41 min |
| Jul 1, 10:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Crawford, Kalkaska, Missaukee, Roscommon | 49 min |
| Jul 1, 11:38 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Roscommon | 37 min |
| Jul 1, 11:39 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Alcona | 51 min |
| Jul 1, 11:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Alcona, Iosco | 34 min |
| Jul 1, 11:56 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 55 min | |
| Jul 2, 12:40 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 99 min | |
| Jul 2, 1:15 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Benzie, Grand Traverse, Leelanau | 60 min |
| Jul 2, 1:50 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 45 min | |
| Jul 2, 1:52 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Grand Traverse | 38 min |
| Jul 2, 2:07 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | APX | Antrim, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Leelanau | 3 hr |
| Jul 2, 2:45 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Crawford, Kalkaska, Otsego | 30 min |
| Jul 2, 3:06 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | APX | Antrim | 2 hr |
| Jul 2, 3:10 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Montmorency, Oscoda | 50 min |
| Jul 2, 3:33 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Alcona, Alpena, Presque Isle | 42 min |
| Jul 2, 3:38 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 92 min | |
| Jul 2, 3:57 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Alpena | 22 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2026Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.