Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2026
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 68, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 1, 2026, 9:41 PM EDT for Antrim County, Kalkaska County, Michigan. It was in force for 34 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 1, 2026, 9:41 PM EDT (01:41 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 1, 2026, 10:15 PM EDT
- In force
- 34 min
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 0.75 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties Antrim County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 25 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 208 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1963 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -41 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1089 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 269 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 328 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.6
- Supercell composite
- 16.5
The text
As transmitted.
140 WUUS53 KAPX 020141 SVRAPX MIC009-079-020215- /O.NEW.KAPX.SV.W.0068.260702T0141Z-260702T0215Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Gaylord MI 941 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Antrim County in northern Michigan... Northern Kalkaska County in northern Michigan... * Until 1015 PM EDT. * At 941 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Kalkaska, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. * This severe thunderstorm will be near... Darragh around 945 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Blue Lake Township. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 4493 8485 4472 8485 4471 8524 4483 8530 TIME...MOT...LOC 0141Z 257DEG 34KT 4476 8517 HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH $$ Dippman
3 follow-up statements
105 WWUS53 KAPX 020150 RRA SVSAPX Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Gaylord MI 950 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 MIC009-079-020215- /O.CON.KAPX.SV.W.0068.000000T0000Z-260702T0215Z/ Antrim MI-Kalkaska MI- 950 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN ANTRIM AND NORTHEASTERN KALKASKA COUNTIES... At 950 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Darragh, or 7 miles northeast of Kalkaska, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern Antrim and northeastern Kalkaska Counties, including the following locations... Blue Lake Township. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 4493 8485 4472 8485 4473 8514 4485 8520 TIME...MOT...LOC 0150Z 257DEG 34KT 4478 8504 HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH $$ Dippman
857 WWUS53 KAPX 020205 SVSAPX Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1005 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 MIC009-020214- /O.CAN.KAPX.SV.W.0068.000000T0000Z-260702T0215Z/ Antrim MI- 1005 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ANTRIM COUNTY IS CANCELLED... The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled. && LAT...LON 4473 8499 4486 8508 4486 8485 4472 8485 TIME...MOT...LOC 0204Z 257DEG 34KT 4481 8485 $$ MIC079-020215- /O.CON.KAPX.SV.W.0068.000000T0000Z-260702T0215Z/ Kalkaska MI- 1005 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN KALKASKA COUNTY... At 1004 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Frederic, or 12 miles southeast of Mancelona, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. Locations impacted include... Blue Lake Township. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 4473 8499 4486 8508 4486 8485 4472 8485 TIME...MOT...LOC 0204Z 257DEG 34KT 4481 8485 HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH $$ Dippman
276 WWUS53 KAPX 020210 SVSAPX Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1010 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 MIC079-020220- /O.EXP.KAPX.SV.W.0068.000000T0000Z-260702T0215Z/ Kalkaska MI- 1010 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN KALKASKA COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 1015 PM EDT... The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area. Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire. && LAT...LON 4473 8499 4486 8508 4486 8485 4472 8485 TIME...MOT...LOC 0210Z 257DEG 34KT 4482 8480 $$ Dippman
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 1, 7:17 PM EDT, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Heat and humidity continues with some improvement from previous days.
- Multiple rounds of showers and storms through Friday with severe storms possible with large hail, damaging wind and heavy rain.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 7:17 PM EDT, 2 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
717 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Heat and humidity continues with some improvement from
previous days.
- Multiple rounds of showers and storms through Friday with severe
storms possible with large hail, damaging wind and heavy rain.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 231 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
Strong upper ridge across the Great Lakes will gradually
flatten through the end of the week as several shortwaves and
strengthening westerlies slowly suppress the highest heights. A
quasi-stationary boundary snaked across northern Michigan
currently will also sink southward with time, which may push the
shower/storm focus further south, as well as providing at least
a little relief from the 70F+ dewpoints. Convective evolution
from day to day will remain challenging with low predictability.
Additional showers/storms likely tonight with additional
shortwave energy riding along an elongated low level theta-e
gradient draped across parts of Wisconsin into northern
Michigan. Low confidence in the details, as convective evolution
will be driven largely by mesoscale processes and residual
outflows from earlier convection. Plenty of moisture and
instability and severe storms will remain possible with large
hail and damaging winds. The main focus of showers/storms may
shift slightly south on Thursday with the gradient of deepest
moisture/instability. Severe storms possible once again.
Stronger forcing with a more defined shortwave arrives for the end
of the week with potentially greater coverage of showers/storms for
later Friday into Friday night. Organized convection certainly a
possibility during this timeframe with plenty of instabilty and
shear. Locally heavy rain also possible. Unsettled weather
continues into the holiday weekend with more shower/storm
chances. Temperatures should be more comfortable with highs
generally in the 80s and dewpoints in the 60s.
We may fall short of heat advisory criteria in some areas on
Thursday with slightly lower dewpoints. But heat indices still
likely 90-100F in many areas (possibly 100-105 southeast
areas). So will let heat advisory continue.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 717 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
Volatile pattern remains in place through the forecast period,
with ample heat and humidity coupled with an intruding
stationary frontal boundary to the northwest providing spark for
numerous rounds of showers and thunderstorms across the region.
For now, we remain in a lull at the start of the forecast period
with VFR prevailing across the board. Anticipating the low level
jet to really get going, and with a nocturnal inversion, this
will lead to LLWS potential at 2kft out of the SW at 40-50kt. In
addition, this may fuel more thunderstorm development tonight.
Certainly in the realm of possibility for rapidly changing
conditions with flight categories bouncing all over the place in
the event convection can affect a TAF site. As far as winds go,
generally south winds tonight turn westerly Thursday, with
gusts up to 20kts possible in the afternoon.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for MIZ016>018-020>036-
041-042-097>099.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ323-344-
345.
Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM to 8 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ341-
342.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ346.
&&
DISCUSSION...JK
AVIATION...MSB/HADIn the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 1, 4:35 PM EDT, 5 hours 6 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
435 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1227 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 NNE Grayling 44.67N 84.70W
07/01/2026 Crawford MI Public
Picture on social media of trees downed at
Heather Lane and North Down River Road. Time
estimated by radar.
&&
HADLocal storm report, Jul 1, 6:44 PM EDT, 2 hours 57 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
644 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1201 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 WSW East Jordan 45.14N 85.16W
07/01/2026 Charlevoix MI Public
Delayed report. Image shared via social
media. Two trees downed on a property east
of the Mallard Golf Course near East Jordan.
One tree was downed on the house, the
garage, and brought down power wires. Time
estimated by radar.
&&
HADSpecial weather statement, Jul 1, 9:37 PM EDT, 4 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
937 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
MIZ021-027-020215-
Kalkaska MI-Antrim MI-
937 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN ANTRIM AND NORTHERN
KALKASKA COUNTIES THROUGH 1015 PM EDT...
At 937 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Kalkaska, moving east at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Kalkaska, Mancelona, Antrim, Darragh, and Blue Lake Township.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4483 8529 4497 8485 4473 8485 4471 8527
TIME...MOT...LOC 0137Z 257DEG 34KT 4479 8521
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
DippmanThe office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 8:32 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 58 min | |
| Jul 1, 9:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Grand Traverse | 23 min |
| Jul 1, 9:37 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Kalkaska | 38 min |
| Jul 1, 9:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Antrim, Otsego | 36 min |
| Jul 1, 10:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Crawford | 44 min |
| Jul 1, 10:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Montmorency, Otsego | 41 min |
| Jul 1, 10:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Crawford, Kalkaska, Missaukee, Roscommon | 49 min |
| Jul 1, 11:38 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Roscommon | 37 min |
| Jul 1, 11:39 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Alcona | 51 min |
| Jul 1, 11:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Alcona, Iosco | 34 min |
| Jul 1, 11:56 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 55 min | |
| Jul 2, 12:40 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 99 min | |
| Jul 2, 1:15 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Benzie, Grand Traverse, Leelanau | 60 min |
| Jul 2, 1:50 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 45 min | |
| Jul 2, 1:52 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Grand Traverse | 38 min |
| Jul 2, 2:07 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | APX | Antrim, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Leelanau | 3 hr |
| Jul 2, 2:17 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Antrim | 43 min |
| Jul 2, 2:45 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Crawford, Kalkaska, Otsego | 30 min |
| Jul 2, 3:06 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | APX | Antrim | 2 hr |
| Jul 2, 3:10 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Montmorency, Oscoda | 50 min |
| Jul 2, 3:33 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Alcona, Alpena, Presque Isle | 42 min |
| Jul 2, 3:38 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 92 min | |
| Jul 2, 3:57 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Alpena | 22 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2026Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.