Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2026

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 74, NWS Gaylord, MI

July 2, 2026Grand Traverse County, Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 2, 2026, 1:52 AM EDT for Grand Traverse County, Michigan. It was in force for 38 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 2, 2026, 1:52 AM EDT (05:52 UTC)
Expired
Jul 2, 2026, 2:30 AM EDT
In force
38 min
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Grand Traverse County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 2, 2:07 AM EDTTSTM WND GST 411 Se Traverse City, MICherry Capitol Airport TVC.
Jul 2, 2:10 AM EDTNON-TSTM WND GST 402 Se Traverse City, MIASOS station KTVC Traverse City - Cherry Capital Airport.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 245 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2026-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1963 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2026-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 269 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1963 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-41 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1089 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
269 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
328 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.6
Supercell composite
16.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

925 
WUUS53 KAPX 020552
SVRAPX
MIC055-020630-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SV.W.0074.260702T0552Z-260702T0630Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
152 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026

The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Eastern Grand Traverse County in northern Michigan...

* Until 230 AM EDT.

* At 151 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Interlochen, 
  or 7 miles southwest of Traverse City, moving east at 50 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
  Traverse City, Traverse City State Park, and Greilickville around 
  155 AM EDT.
  Spider Lake around 200 AM EDT.
  Williamsburg around 205 AM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Bates.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4478 8564 4486 8565 4491 8563 4501 8547
      4492 8540 4489 8542 4488 8538 4483 8538
      4481 8533 4463 8533 4460 8568
TIME...MOT...LOC 0551Z 259DEG 43KT 4469 8573 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Dippman
3 follow-up statements
577 
WWUS53 KAPX 020601
SVSAPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
201 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026

MIC055-020630-
/O.CON.KAPX.SV.W.0074.000000T0000Z-260702T0630Z/
Grand Traverse MI-
201 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 AM EDT
FOR EASTERN GRAND TRAVERSE COUNTY...

At 201 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Traverse City,
moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Traverse City, Spider Lake, Williamsburg, and Traverse City State 
  Park around 205 AM EDT.
  Elk Rapids around 210 AM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Bates.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4478 8564 4486 8565 4491 8563 4501 8547
      4492 8540 4489 8542 4488 8538 4483 8538
      4481 8533 4463 8533 4460 8568
TIME...MOT...LOC 0601Z 260DEG 40KT 4475 8559 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Dippman
819 
WWUS53 KAPX 020615
SVSAPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
215 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026

MIC055-020630-
/O.CON.KAPX.SV.W.0074.000000T0000Z-260702T0630Z/
Grand Traverse MI-
215 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 AM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN GRAND TRAVERSE COUNTY...

At 215 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Barker Creek,
or 8 miles south of Elk Rapids, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northeastern Grand Traverse County, including the following
locations... Bates.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4495 8557 4501 8547 4492 8540 4489 8542
      4488 8538 4483 8538 4481 8533 4463 8534
      4462 8549 4488 8559
TIME...MOT...LOC 0615Z 259DEG 43KT 4478 8535 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Dippman
149 
WWUS53 KAPX 020622
SVSAPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
222 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026

MIC055-020632-
/O.EXP.KAPX.SV.W.0074.000000T0000Z-260702T0630Z/
Grand Traverse MI-
222 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN GRAND TRAVERSE
COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 230 AM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Gaylord.

&&

LAT...LON 4495 8557 4501 8547 4492 8540 4489 8542
      4488 8538 4483 8538 4481 8533 4463 8534
      4462 8549 4488 8559
TIME...MOT...LOC 0622Z 270DEG 43KT 4479 8528 

$$

Dippman

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 1, 11:28 PM EDT, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Heat and humidity continues with some improvement from previous days.
  • Multiple rounds of showers and storms through Friday with severe storms possible with large hail, damaging wind and heavy rain.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 11:28 PM EDT, 2 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1128 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Heat and humidity continues with some improvement from
  previous days.

- Multiple rounds of showers and storms through Friday with severe
storms possible with large hail, damaging wind and heavy rain.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 231 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

Strong upper ridge across the Great Lakes will gradually
flatten through the end of the week as several shortwaves and
strengthening westerlies slowly suppress the highest heights. A
quasi-stationary boundary snaked across northern Michigan
currently will also sink southward with time, which may push the
shower/storm focus further south, as well as providing at least
a little relief from the 70F+ dewpoints. Convective evolution
from day to day will remain challenging with low predictability.

Additional showers/storms likely tonight with additional
shortwave energy riding along an elongated low level theta-e
gradient draped across parts of Wisconsin into northern
Michigan. Low confidence in the details, as convective evolution
will be driven largely by mesoscale processes and residual
outflows from earlier convection. Plenty of moisture and
instability and severe storms will remain possible with large
hail and damaging winds. The main focus of showers/storms may
shift slightly south on Thursday with the gradient of deepest
moisture/instability. Severe storms possible once again.

Stronger forcing with a more defined shortwave arrives for the end
of the week with potentially greater coverage of showers/storms for
later Friday into Friday night.  Organized convection certainly a
possibility during this timeframe with plenty of instabilty and
shear. Locally heavy rain also possible. Unsettled weather
continues into the holiday weekend with more shower/storm
chances. Temperatures should be more comfortable with highs
generally in the 80s and dewpoints in the 60s.

We may fall short of heat advisory criteria in some areas on
Thursday with slightly lower dewpoints. But heat indices still
likely 90-100F in many areas (possibly 100-105 southeast
areas). So will let heat advisory continue.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1127 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

Another challenging taf period with very low confidence in
convective evolution. Overall, mainly VFR conditions are expected
with just some higher based cumulus and some passing convective
blowoff cirrus. Again, will simply need to monitor radar trends for
specific impacts and timing of any activity into our taf locations.
Future amendments more than anticipated. Light winds this morning do
become bit gusty out of the southwest and west later this morning
and afternoon.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for MIZ016>018-020>036-
     041-042-097>099.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ323-344-
     345.
     Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ341-342.
     Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ346.

&&

DISCUSSION...JK
AVIATION...MSB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 1, 10:58 PM EDT, 2 hours 54 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1058 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1053 PM     Rain             1 SSW Gaylord           45.02N 84.68W
07/01/2026  M0.96 Inch       Otsego             MI   ASOS

            ASOS station KGLR Gaylord - Otsego County
            Airport. 12 hour total.

&&

JZ
Local storm report, Jul 1, 11:09 PM EDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1109 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 SSW Harrisville       44.59N 83.32W
07/01/2026                   Alcona             MI   Public

            Delayed report. Multiple trees downed in
            Greenbush. Time estimated.

&&

JZ
Local storm report, Jul 1, 11:25 PM EDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1125 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1112 PM     Rain             3 SSW Hartwick Pines St 44.72N 84.71W
07/01/2026  M1.16 Inch       Crawford           MI   Mesonet

            Mesonet station GYGM4 Grayling. 12 hour
            total.

&&

JZ
Special weather statement, Jul 1, 11:38 PM EDT, 2 hours 14 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1138 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

MIZ034-020415-
Roscommon MI-
1138 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL ROSCOMMON COUNTY THROUGH
1215 AM EDT...

At 1138 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Prudenville, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Houghton Lake, Prudenville, St. Helen, Roscommon County Airport,
Nester Township, Lake St. Helen, and Twin Lakes Area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4426 8483 4441 8477 4438 8437 4416 8437
      4416 8442
TIME...MOT...LOC 0338Z 280DEG 49KT 4431 8467

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Dippman
Special weather statement, Jul 1, 11:39 PM EDT, 2 hours 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1139 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

MIZ029-030-035-036-020430-
Iosco MI-Alcona MI-Ogemaw MI-Oscoda MI-
1139 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN ALCONA...NORTHEASTERN
OGEMAW...SOUTHEASTERN OSCODA AND NORTHERN IOSCO COUNTIES THROUGH 1230
AM EDT...

At 1139 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Curtisville, or 11 miles southeast of Mio, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Oscoda, Harrisville, Au Sable, Glennie, South Branch, McKinley,
Mikado, Lincoln, Harrisville State Park, Wurtsmith Airfield, Barton
City, Curtisville, Milen Township, and Sid Town.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 4444 8409 4468 8407 4473 8325 4439 8329
TIME...MOT...LOC 0339Z 268DEG 45KT 4457 8395

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Dippman
Local storm report, Jul 1, 11:52 PM EDT, 2 hours before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1152 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1148 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 ESE Roscommon County  44.35N 84.67W
07/01/2026  M53 MPH          Roscommon          MI   ASOS

            ASOS station KHTL Houghton Lake - Roscommon
            County Airport.

&&

JZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 1, 8:32 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX58 min
Jul 1, 9:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXGrand Traverse23 min
Jul 1, 9:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXKalkaska38 min
Jul 1, 9:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Otsego36 min
Jul 1, 9:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim, Kalkaska34 min
Jul 1, 10:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCrawford44 min
Jul 1, 10:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXMontmorency, Otsego41 min
Jul 1, 10:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXCrawford, Kalkaska, Missaukee, Roscommon49 min
Jul 1, 11:38 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXRoscommon37 min
Jul 1, 11:39 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXAlcona51 min
Jul 1, 11:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlcona, Iosco34 min
Jul 1, 11:56 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX55 min
Jul 2, 12:40 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX99 min
Jul 2, 1:15 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXBenzie, Grand Traverse, Leelanau60 min
Jul 2, 1:50 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX45 min
Jul 2, 2:07 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAPXAntrim, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Leelanau3 hr
Jul 2, 2:17 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAntrim43 min
Jul 2, 2:45 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXCrawford, Kalkaska, Otsego30 min
Jul 2, 3:06 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAPXAntrim2 hr
Jul 2, 3:10 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXMontmorency, Oscoda50 min
Jul 2, 3:33 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAPXAlcona, Alpena, Presque Isle42 min
Jul 2, 3:38 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAPX92 min
Jul 2, 3:57 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAPXAlpena22 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2026Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.