Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2026
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 1, 2026, 10:26 PM EDT for 4 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 1, 2026, 10:26 PM EDT (02:26 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 1, 2026, 11:15 PM EDT
- In force
- 49 min
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 0.75 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties Crawford County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Roscommon County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 48 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 217 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1963 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -41 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1089 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 269 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 328 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.6
- Supercell composite
- 16.5
The text
As transmitted.
186
WUUS53 KAPX 020226
SVRAPX
MIC039-079-113-143-020315-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SV.W.0071.260702T0226Z-260702T0315Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1026 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
The National Weather Service in Gaylord has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southwestern Crawford County in northern Michigan...
Northwestern Roscommon County in northern Michigan...
Southern Kalkaska County in northern Michigan...
Northern Missaukee County in northern Michigan...
* Until 1115 PM EDT.
* At 1025 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Sharon, or
13 miles south of Kalkaska, moving east at 50 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
Moorestown around 1030 PM EDT.
North Higgins Lake and Higgins Lake around 1040 PM EDT.
Grayling, Roscommon, and South Higgins Lake around 1045 PM EDT.
Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include
Stittsville and Smithville.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
LAT...LON 4447 8533 4449 8534 4472 8520 4474 8450
4437 8460
TIME...MOT...LOC 0225Z 271DEG 44KT 4455 8508
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
$$
Dippman4 follow-up statements
624 WWUS53 KAPX 020244 SVSAPX Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1044 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 MIC039-079-113-143-020315- /O.CON.KAPX.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-260702T0315Z/ Crawford MI-Roscommon MI-Kalkaska MI-Missaukee MI- 1044 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM EDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN CRAWFORD...NORTHWESTERN ROSCOMMON...SOUTHEASTERN KALKASKA AND NORTHEASTERN MISSAUKEE COUNTIES... At 1044 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near North Higgins Lake, or 9 miles southwest of Grayling, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. This severe storm will be near... Grayling, Roscommon, North Higgins Lake, South Higgins Lake, and Higgins Lake around 1050 PM EDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 4447 8509 4473 8496 4474 8450 4437 8460 TIME...MOT...LOC 0244Z 270DEG 33KT 4455 8484 HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH $$ Dippman
571 WWUS53 KAPX 020252 SVSAPX Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1052 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 MIC079-113-020301- /O.CAN.KAPX.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-260702T0315Z/ Kalkaska MI-Missaukee MI- 1052 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN KALKASKA AND NORTHEASTERN MISSAUKEE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED... The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled. Additional thunderstorms are possible through tonight. Be sure to have a way to receive alerts while you are asleep! && LAT...LON 4442 8485 4473 8485 4474 8450 4437 8460 TIME...MOT...LOC 0251Z 263DEG 41KT 4463 8487 $$ MIC039-143-020315- /O.CON.KAPX.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-260702T0315Z/ Crawford MI-Roscommon MI- 1052 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM EDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN CRAWFORD AND NORTHWESTERN ROSCOMMON COUNTIES... At 1051 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles west of Grayling, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. This severe storm will be near... Grayling around 1055 PM EDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 4442 8485 4473 8485 4474 8450 4437 8460 TIME...MOT...LOC 0251Z 263DEG 41KT 4463 8487 HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH $$ Dippman
106 WWUS53 KAPX 020304 SVSAPX Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1104 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 MIC143-020313- /O.CAN.KAPX.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-260702T0315Z/ Roscommon MI- 1104 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN ROSCOMMON COUNTY IS CANCELLED... The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has weakened. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled. && LAT...LON 4473 8471 4474 8450 4460 8454 4462 8470 TIME...MOT...LOC 0303Z 254DEG 38KT 4470 8452 $$ MIC039-020315- /O.CON.KAPX.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-260702T0315Z/ Crawford MI- 1104 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL CRAWFORD COUNTY... At 1103 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles south of Lovells, or 9 miles east of Grayling, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of central Crawford County. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 4473 8471 4474 8450 4460 8454 4462 8470 TIME...MOT...LOC 0303Z 254DEG 38KT 4470 8452 HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH $$ Dippman
300 WWUS53 KAPX 020307 SVSAPX Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1107 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 MIC039-020317- /O.EXP.KAPX.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-260702T0315Z/ Crawford MI- 1107 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL CRAWFORD COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 1115 PM EDT... The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire. To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service Gaylord. && LAT...LON 4473 8471 4474 8450 4460 8454 4462 8470 TIME...MOT...LOC 0307Z 271DEG 44KT 4470 8446 $$ Dippman
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 1, 7:17 PM EDT, 3 hours 9 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Heat and humidity continues with some improvement from previous days.
- Multiple rounds of showers and storms through Friday with severe storms possible with large hail, damaging wind and heavy rain.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 7:17 PM EDT, 3 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
717 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Heat and humidity continues with some improvement from
previous days.
- Multiple rounds of showers and storms through Friday with severe
storms possible with large hail, damaging wind and heavy rain.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 231 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
Strong upper ridge across the Great Lakes will gradually
flatten through the end of the week as several shortwaves and
strengthening westerlies slowly suppress the highest heights. A
quasi-stationary boundary snaked across northern Michigan
currently will also sink southward with time, which may push the
shower/storm focus further south, as well as providing at least
a little relief from the 70F+ dewpoints. Convective evolution
from day to day will remain challenging with low predictability.
Additional showers/storms likely tonight with additional
shortwave energy riding along an elongated low level theta-e
gradient draped across parts of Wisconsin into northern
Michigan. Low confidence in the details, as convective evolution
will be driven largely by mesoscale processes and residual
outflows from earlier convection. Plenty of moisture and
instability and severe storms will remain possible with large
hail and damaging winds. The main focus of showers/storms may
shift slightly south on Thursday with the gradient of deepest
moisture/instability. Severe storms possible once again.
Stronger forcing with a more defined shortwave arrives for the end
of the week with potentially greater coverage of showers/storms for
later Friday into Friday night. Organized convection certainly a
possibility during this timeframe with plenty of instabilty and
shear. Locally heavy rain also possible. Unsettled weather
continues into the holiday weekend with more shower/storm
chances. Temperatures should be more comfortable with highs
generally in the 80s and dewpoints in the 60s.
We may fall short of heat advisory criteria in some areas on
Thursday with slightly lower dewpoints. But heat indices still
likely 90-100F in many areas (possibly 100-105 southeast
areas). So will let heat advisory continue.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 717 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
Volatile pattern remains in place through the forecast period,
with ample heat and humidity coupled with an intruding
stationary frontal boundary to the northwest providing spark for
numerous rounds of showers and thunderstorms across the region.
For now, we remain in a lull at the start of the forecast period
with VFR prevailing across the board. Anticipating the low level
jet to really get going, and with a nocturnal inversion, this
will lead to LLWS potential at 2kft out of the SW at 40-50kt. In
addition, this may fuel more thunderstorm development tonight.
Certainly in the realm of possibility for rapidly changing
conditions with flight categories bouncing all over the place in
the event convection can affect a TAF site. As far as winds go,
generally south winds tonight turn westerly Thursday, with
gusts up to 20kts possible in the afternoon.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for MIZ016>018-020>036-
041-042-097>099.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ323-344-
345.
Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM to 8 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ341-
342.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ346.
&&
DISCUSSION...JK
AVIATION...MSB/HADIn the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 1, 4:35 PM EDT, 5 hours 51 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
435 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1227 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 NNE Grayling 44.67N 84.70W
07/01/2026 Crawford MI Public
Picture on social media of trees downed at
Heather Lane and North Down River Road. Time
estimated by radar.
&&
HADLocal storm report, Jul 1, 6:44 PM EDT, 3 hours 42 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
644 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1201 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 WSW East Jordan 45.14N 85.16W
07/01/2026 Charlevoix MI Public
Delayed report. Image shared via social
media. Two trees downed on a property east
of the Mallard Golf Course near East Jordan.
One tree was downed on the house, the
garage, and brought down power wires. Time
estimated by radar.
&&
HADSpecial weather statement, Jul 1, 9:37 PM EDT, 49 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
937 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
MIZ021-027-020215-
Kalkaska MI-Antrim MI-
937 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN ANTRIM AND NORTHERN
KALKASKA COUNTIES THROUGH 1015 PM EDT...
At 937 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Kalkaska, moving east at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Kalkaska, Mancelona, Antrim, Darragh, and Blue Lake Township.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4483 8529 4497 8485 4473 8485 4471 8527
TIME...MOT...LOC 0137Z 257DEG 34KT 4479 8521
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
DippmanLocal storm report, Jul 1, 10:00 PM EDT, 26 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1000 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0955 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 3 ENE Otsego Lake State 44.94N 84.65W
07/01/2026 Otsego MI NWS Employee
Multiple tree limbs downed onto the street
in the Michawaye subdivision.
&&
HADThe office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 8:32 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 58 min | |
| Jul 1, 9:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Grand Traverse | 23 min |
| Jul 1, 9:37 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Kalkaska | 38 min |
| Jul 1, 9:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Antrim, Otsego | 36 min |
| Jul 1, 9:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Antrim, Kalkaska | 34 min |
| Jul 1, 10:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Crawford | 44 min |
| Jul 1, 10:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Montmorency, Otsego | 41 min |
| Jul 1, 11:38 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Roscommon | 37 min |
| Jul 1, 11:39 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Alcona | 51 min |
| Jul 1, 11:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Alcona, Iosco | 34 min |
| Jul 1, 11:56 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 55 min | |
| Jul 2, 12:40 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 99 min | |
| Jul 2, 1:15 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Benzie, Grand Traverse, Leelanau | 60 min |
| Jul 2, 1:50 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 45 min | |
| Jul 2, 1:52 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Grand Traverse | 38 min |
| Jul 2, 2:07 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | APX | Antrim, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Leelanau | 3 hr |
| Jul 2, 2:17 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Antrim | 43 min |
| Jul 2, 2:45 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Crawford, Kalkaska, Otsego | 30 min |
| Jul 2, 3:06 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | APX | Antrim | 2 hr |
| Jul 2, 3:10 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Montmorency, Oscoda | 50 min |
| Jul 2, 3:33 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | Alcona, Alpena, Presque Isle | 42 min |
| Jul 2, 3:38 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | APX | 92 min | |
| Jul 2, 3:57 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | Alpena | 22 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2026Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.