River Flood Warning 21, NWS Jackson, KY

987 
WGUS83 KJKL 161246
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
746 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Levisa Fork at Pikeville affecting Pike County. 

  Levisa Fork at Paintsville affecting Johnson County. 

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Levisa Fork at Prestonsburg affecting Floyd County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 800 PM EST.

&&

KYC195-170100-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-250217T0622Z/
/PKYK2.2.ER.250216T0057Z.250216T0830Z.250217T0022Z.NO/
746 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY 
NIGHT...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Levisa Fork at Pikeville.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 45.0 feet, portions of Mullins and Coal Run Village 
  are flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 AM EST Sunday the stage was 45.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river has crested and is expected to fall
    below flood stage this evening.
  - Flood stage is 35.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3732 8248 3754 8266 3760 8256 3737 8236


$$

KYC115-170100-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-250218T0216Z/
/PTVK2.2.ER.250216T1834Z.250217T0600Z.250217T2016Z.NO/
746 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Levisa Fork  at Paintsville.

* WHEN...Until late Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 40.0 feet, water is in homes along Bridge Steet, 
  Frank Street, and Euclid Avenue.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:45 AM EST Sunday the stage was 30.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this
    afternoon and crest at 40.5 feet just after midnight tonight.
    It will then fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 35.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3769 8285 3778 8290 3802 8267 3797 8257
      3778 8277 3774 8276


$$

KYC071-170100-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0021.250216T1752Z-250217T0931Z/
/PSTK2.1.ER.250216T1752Z.250217T0000Z.250217T0331Z.NO/
746 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE MONDAY 
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Levisa Fork  at Prestonsburg.

* WHEN...From this afternoon to late Monday tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 40.0 feet, Minor flooding in low lying areas will 
  occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:45 AM EST Sunday the stage was 35.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this
    afternoon and continue to a crest of 41.0 feet this evening.
    It will then fall below flood stage late this evening.
  - Flood stage is 40.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3754 8266 3769 8285 3774 8276 3760 8256


$$

GEOGERIAN

954 
WGUS83 KJKL 161547
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1047 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Levisa Fork at Pikeville affecting Pike County. 

  Levisa Fork at Paintsville affecting Johnson County. 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Levisa Fork at Prestonsburg affecting Floyd County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM EST.

&&

KYC195-170400-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-250217T0627Z/
/PKYK2.2.ER.250216T0057Z.250216T0830Z.250217T0027Z.NO/
1047 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY 
NIGHT...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Levisa Fork  at Pikeville.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight Monday night.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM EST Sunday the stage was 43.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this evening.
  - Flood stage is 35.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3732 8248 3754 8266 3760 8256 3737 8236


$$

KYC115-170400-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-250218T0543Z/
/PTVK2.2.ER.250216T1937Z.250217T1200Z.250217T2343Z.NO/
1047 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Levisa Fork at Paintsville.

* WHEN...Until early Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 39.0 feet, 10 year return period flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM EST Sunday the stage was 32.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this
    afternoon and continue to a crest of 40.5 feet Monday
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage Monday evening.
  - Flood stage is 35.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3769 8285 3778 8290 3802 8267 3797 8257
      3778 8277 3774 8276


$$

KYC071-170400-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0021.250216T1745Z-250217T0850Z/
/PSTK2.1.ER.250216T1745Z.250217T0000Z.250217T0250Z.NO/
1047 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE MONDAY TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Levisa Fork at Prestonsburg.

* WHEN...Until late Monday tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 41.0 feet, Water is in the business district 
  including the court house and post office.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM EST Sunday the stage was 37.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this
    afternoon and continue to a crest of 40.9 feet this evening.
    It will then fall below flood stage late this evening.
  - Flood stage is 40.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3754 8266 3769 8285 3774 8276 3760 8256


$$

GEOGERIAN

590 
WGUS83 KJKL 161559
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1059 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Levisa Fork at Prestonsburg affecting Floyd County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM EST.

&&

KYC071-170400-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0021.250216T1745Z-250217T0850Z/
/PSTK2.1.ER.250216T1745Z.250217T0000Z.250217T0250Z.NO/
1059 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE MONDAY TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Levisa Fork at Prestonsburg.

* WHEN...Until late Monday tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 41.0 feet, Water is in the business district 
  including the court house and the old post office.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 AM EST Sunday the stage was 38.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage this
    afternoon and continue to a crest of 40.9 feet this evening.
    It will then fall below flood stage late this evening.
  - Flood stage is 40.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3754 8266 3769 8285 3774 8276 3760 8256


$$

GEOGERIAN

940 
WGUS83 KJKL 162137
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
437 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Levisa Fork at Prestonsburg affecting Floyd County. 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Levisa Fork at Pikeville affecting Pike County. 

  Levisa Fork at Paintsville affecting Johnson County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 130 AM EST.

&&

KYC071-170900-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-250217T1614Z/
/PSTK2.1.ER.250216T1816Z.250217T0000Z.250217T1014Z.NO/
437 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Levisa Fork  at Prestonsburg.

* WHEN...Until late Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 42.0 feet, Water is in the business district 
  including the court house and the old post office.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:45 PM EST Sunday the stage was 41.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 42.5
    feet this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late
    Monday tonight.
  - Flood stage is 40.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3754 8266 3769 8285 3774 8276 3760 8256


$$

KYC195-170630-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-250217T0627Z/
/PKYK2.2.ER.250216T0057Z.250216T0830Z.250217T0027Z.NO/
437 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY 
NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Levisa Fork  at Pikeville.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight Monday night.

* IMPACTS...At 38.0 feet, Lower flood gate of Pikeville is deployed. 
  Coal Run Village Park is inundated. Red Creek Road is flooded and 
  a mobile home park is threatened.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:00 PM EST Sunday the stage was 38.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this evening.
  - Flood stage is 35.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3732 8248 3754 8266 3760 8256 3737 8236


$$

KYC115-170900-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-250218T0543Z/
/PTVK2.2.ER.250216T2016Z.250217T1200Z.250217T2343Z.NO/
437 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Levisa Fork  at Paintsville.

* WHEN...Until early Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 40.0 feet, water is in homes along Bridge Steet, 
  Frank Street, and Euclid Avenue.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:45 PM EST Sunday the stage was 35.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 40.5
    feet Monday morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    Monday evening.
  - Flood stage is 35.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3769 8285 3778 8290 3802 8267 3797 8257
      3778 8277 3774 8276


$$

GEOGERIAN

328 
WGUS43 KJKL 170206
FLWJKL

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jackson KY
906 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in Kentucky...

  Levisa Fork at Prestonsburg affecting Floyd County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

The next statement will be issued Monday morning at 915 AM EST.

&&

KYC071-171415-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-250218T0125Z/
/PSTK2.2.ER.250216T1816Z.250217T0600Z.250217T1925Z.NO/
906 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Levisa Fork at Prestonsburg.

* WHEN...Until Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 43.0 feet, Moderate flooding occurs. Water enters 
  some homes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM EST Sunday the stage was 42.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 43.2
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage early Monday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 40.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3754 8266 3769 8285 3774 8276 3760 8256


$$

GEOGERIAN

878 
WGUS83 KJKL 170626
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
126 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Levisa Fork at Prestonsburg affecting Floyd County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 100 PM EST.

&&

KYC071-171800-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-250218T0200Z/
/PSTK2.2.ER.250216T1816Z.250217T0545Z.250217T1937Z.NO/
126 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Levisa Fork at Prestonsburg.

* WHEN...Until late this evening.

* IMPACTS...At 43.0 feet, Moderate flooding occurs. Water enters 
  some homes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:45 AM EST Monday the stage was 43.3 feet and was near
    crest.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late today and continue falling to below 22 feet Tuesday
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 40.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3754 8266 3769 8285 3774 8276 3760 8256


$$

HAL

258 
WGUS83 KJKL 171540
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1040 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Levisa Fork at Prestonsburg affecting Floyd County. 

  Levisa Fork at Paintsville affecting Johnson County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 845 PM EST.

&&

KYC071-180145-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-250218T0137Z/
/PSTK2.2.ER.250216T1816Z.250217T0915Z.250217T1937Z.NO/
1040 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Levisa Fork at Prestonsburg.

* WHEN...Until this evening.

* IMPACTS...At 42.0 feet, Moderate flooding occurs. Water inundates 
  homes in low lying areas.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM EST Monday the stage was 42.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river has crested and will gradually to below
    flood stage by this evening.
  - Flood stage is 40.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3754 8266 3769 8285 3774 8276 3760 8256


$$

KYC115-180345-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-250218T1107Z/
/PTVK2.2.ER.250216T2016Z.250217T1800Z.250218T0507Z.NO/
1040 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Levisa Fork at Paintsville.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 40.0 feet, water is in homes along Bridge Steet, 
  Frank Street, and Euclid Avenue. Water inundates a portion of the 
  parking lot outside of Paintsville ARH hospital.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM EST Monday the stage was 39.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is nearing its crest at near or just
    under 40.0 feet. It will then recede by this evening, falling
    below flood stage overnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 35.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3769 8285 3778 8290 3802 8267 3797 8257
      3778 8277 3774 8276


$$

GEOGERIAN

736 
WGUS83 KJKL 180130
FLSJKL

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson KY
830 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...The Flood Warning is replaced by a River Flood Advisory for the 
following rivers in Kentucky...

  Levisa Fork at Prestonsburg affecting Floyd County.

KYC071-180230-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-250218T0130Z/
/PSTK2.2.ER.250216T1816Z.250217T0915Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
830 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

...FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A RIVER FLOOD ADVISORY...

The Flood Warning is replaced by a Flood Advisory for
  the Levisa Fork at Prestonsburg.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM EST Monday the stage was 39.3 feet and falling.
    Flood stage is 40 feet
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below 22 feet
    Tuesday evening.


&&

LAT...LON 3754 8266 3769 8285 3774 8276 3760 8256


$$

HAL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
656 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Additional heavy rainfall, along with a round or two of
  thunderstorms, through tonight will continue the ongoing
  significant flash flooding and river flooding event.

- Rain changing to light snow Sunday morning with widely scattered
  snow showers persisting into the evening. Lingering moisture
  freezing to roadways could lead to slippery travel at some
  locations Sunday evening and night.

- A moderate to heavy accumulating snowfall is possible for the
  middle of the upcoming work week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 330 PM EST SAT FEB 15 2025

Rainfall/Flooding - Ongoing rainfall and flooding event remains on
track. Currently, moderate to heavy rainfall is occurring in a west
to east oriented zone across the central CWA where the warm front
is stalled. The northern and southern portions of the CWA are
seeing lighter rain with some occasional breaks. Training should
continue through the central CWA through late afternoon/early
evening before it shifts northward ahead of the parent surface
low. As the low moves through the area, a line of convection is
expected to move through from around midnight tonight to just
before sunrise Sunday. Additional rainfall through tonight is
forecast to by 1-2" over the southern CWA and 2-3 inches over the
central and northern CWA. Central and northern portions of the CWA
could see locally higher amounts up to 3-5 inches of additional
rainfall as seen in HREF LPMM values. This will continue and
enhance the ongoing flooding situation.

There is a marginal severe risk over the southwestern CWA tonight,
mainly for winds of 50-60 mph. SPC has the risk at 5% for winds,
which makes sense given linear convective mode. Overall expect storm
strength to be diminishing as the line of storms moves into the
area, but thunderstorms with gusty winds will be possible across the
entire area.

Gusty winds will be possible tonight into Sunday behind the front
front on the back side of the system. A few gusts of 40-45 mph are
possible over higher terrain, but not expecting to reach Wind
Advisory criteria at this time.

Behind the front, expected temperatures to be warmest (low to mid
50s) in the morning on Sunday, falling through the day to the mid to
upper 30s by noon and the mid to upper 20s by late Sunday evening.

As the upper trough moves through the area Sunday, snow showers will
develop that will linger into early Sunday night. Most areas could
see a dusting, with some higher terrain areas seeing up to an inch
of snow.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 330 PM EST SAT FEB 15 2025

Monday and Tuesday are currently forecast to be dry with highs
mainly in the 20s and Monday night lows in the upper teens to mid
20s.

Attention then turns to a potential moderate to heavy snowfall
event and colder temperatures starting Tuesday night. Current
forecast calls for snow Tuesday night into Thursday morning.
Several inches of snowfall is possible, but uncertainty remains
(especially with finer details).

NBM snowfall probabilities:

>=1": 70-90%
>=2": 60-80%
>=4": 30-60%
>=6": 20-40%

Probabilistic Winter Storm Severity Index shows the following
impact potentials:

At least minor impacts: 60-80%
At least moderate impacts: 20-40%

Look for highs in the mid 20s to mid 30s Wednesday, then in the
20s on Thursday. Lows are forecast to be in the teens Wednesday
night (wind chills in the single digits to low teens), followed by
lows in the single digits Thursday night but with light winds.

Saturday is forecast to see lows in the teens and highs in the
30s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
ISSUED AT 655 PM EST SAT FEB 15 2025

A strong storm system will continue to bring a variety of impacts
to eastern Kentucky into Sunday. A shield of rain will persist
along with MVFR and pockets of IFR through 05Z, primarily to the
north and east of Jackson. Showers will be widely scattered in
nature south of Jackson. Low-level wind shear conditions will also
continue for much of the night due to a strong low-level jet
stream.

In the 05Z to 09Z time frame, a line of heavy showers and LIFR
conditions will quickly move east across the area. This line of
showers will include a wind shift to the west or southwest with
gusts up to 35 knots. While there could be some isolated lightning
with this line, probabilities are less than 20%. On either side of
this heavy line of showers, MVFR conditions will prevail within
lighter showers.

We are then becomingly increasingly confident that rain will
change to snow Sunday morning. IFR visibilities will be favored
with the snow. Most precipitation will then come to an end by
early afternoon, however a few snow showers will remain possible
(20-30% chance) through 00Z on Monday. Surface winds will remain
brisk and gusty out of the west on Sunday with gusts around 25
knots.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Sunday evening for KYZ044-050>052-058>060-
068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120.

&&

SHORT TERM...GEERTSON
LONG TERM...GINNICK
AVIATION...WFO SGF

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
841 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-170145-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
841 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

Flood Warnings and Watches.

Periods of heavy rainfall, including a few thunderstorms, will
continue overnight. Widespread rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are
expected. However, in locations where heavier showers and
thunderstorms are more persistent, rainfall totals could approach or
exceed 5 inches and cause scattered to numerous instances of flash
flooding.

A thin line of heavy showers and a few thunderstorms will produce
wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph as it pushes east across the area between
midnight and 4 AM. Localized gusts up to 50 mph will be possible west
of a Mount Vernon to Williamsburg line.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

As runoff from heavy rainfall enters the larger creeks and rivers,
significant rises are likely to lead to flooding.

Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph are expected on Sunday while temperatures
fall back to near or below freezing.

Rain will change to light snow Sunday morning with widely scattered
snow showers then persisting into Sunday evening. The snow in
addition to freezing of lingering moisture on roadways may lead to
slick spots and black ice at some locations Sunday evening and
night.

A moderate to heavy accumulating snow is possible next Tuesday night
through Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

JKL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
721 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0719 PM     Flood            Hazard                  37.25N 83.19W
02/15/2025                   Perry              KY   Public

            Live webcams show feet of water in downtown
            Hazard around the Triangle Park area and
            vicinity.

&&

CC

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
754 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     Flash Flood      1 NW Whitco             37.13N 82.86W
02/15/2025                   Letcher            KY   Public

            Pictures on social media showed Dry Fork out
            of its banks and running across Highway 3401
            at the 180 block, making it impassable. It
            was also infringing on properties on the
            southeast side of the creek.

&&

JMW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
758 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     Landslide        3 NW Bulan              37.32N 83.21W
02/15/2025                   Perry              KY   Dept of Highways

            KY Transportation Cabinet District 10 shared
            a photo on social media of mudslide across
            KY Highway 267 at MP 5.5. Road is blocked.

&&

CC

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
827 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1225 PM     Flash Flood      1 SW Horn               37.20N 82.74W
02/15/2025                   Letcher            KY   Public

            Picture from a residence at 3537 Millstone
            Road (about half a mile north of Millstone
            Missionary Baptist Church) showed Millstone
            Creek out of its banks and flowing over the
            road, making the road impassable.

&&

JMW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
845 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 PM     Flood            1 ENE Jeremiah          37.17N 82.92W
02/15/2025                   Letcher            KY   Public

            Low lying Blair Branch Road is being flooded
            by the neighboring Blair Branch in the 160
            block. This is a flood prone area with the
            creek nearly at the same level as the road.

&&

JMW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
846 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0838 PM     Flood            1 WNW Means             37.95N 83.79W
02/15/2025                   Montgomery         KY   Dept of Highways

            KY Transportation Cabinet District 7 reports
            water over US Highway 460 at MP 21 in
            Montgomery County.

&&

CC