Alert archive / Kentucky / Flash Flood Warnings in 2025

Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Jackson, KY

February 15, 20254 counties in Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this flash flood warning at Feb 15, 2025, 10:31 PM EST for 4 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Feb 15, 2025, 10:31 PM EST (03:31 UTC)
Expired: Feb 16, 2025, 4:30 AM EST
In force: 6 hr
Issued by: NWS Jackson, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Bath County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Powell County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 518 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 74 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 271 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 286 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Feb 15, 9:33 PM EST, 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 9:33 PM EST, 58 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 8:41 PM EST, 1 hour 50 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
841 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-170145-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
841 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

Flood Warnings and Watches.

Periods of heavy rainfall, including a few thunderstorms, will
continue overnight. Widespread rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are
expected. However, in locations where heavier showers and
thunderstorms are more persistent, rainfall totals could approach or
exceed 5 inches and cause scattered to numerous instances of flash
flooding.

A thin line of heavy showers and a few thunderstorms will produce
wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph as it pushes east across the area between
midnight and 4 AM. Localized gusts up to 50 mph will be possible west
of a Mount Vernon to Williamsburg line.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

As runoff from heavy rainfall enters the larger creeks and rivers,
significant rises are likely to lead to flooding.

Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph are expected on Sunday while temperatures
fall back to near or below freezing.

Rain will change to light snow Sunday morning with widely scattered
snow showers then persisting into Sunday evening. The snow in
addition to freezing of lingering moisture on roadways may lead to
slick spots and black ice at some locations Sunday evening and
night.

A moderate to heavy accumulating snow is possible next Tuesday night
through Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

JKL

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 15, 8:27 PM EST, 2 hours 4 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
827 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1225 PM     Flash Flood      1 SW Horn               37.20N 82.74W
02/15/2025                   Letcher            KY   Public

            Picture from a residence at 3537 Millstone
            Road (about half a mile north of Millstone
            Missionary Baptist Church) showed Millstone
            Creek out of its banks and flowing over the
            road, making the road impassable.

&&

JMW

Local storm report, Feb 15, 8:45 PM EST, 1 hour 46 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
845 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 PM     Flood            1 ENE Jeremiah          37.17N 82.92W
02/15/2025                   Letcher            KY   Public

            Low lying Blair Branch Road is being flooded
            by the neighboring Blair Branch in the 160
            block. This is a flood prone area with the
            creek nearly at the same level as the road.

&&

JMW

Local storm report, Feb 15, 8:46 PM EST, 1 hour 45 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
846 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0838 PM     Flood            1 WNW Means             37.95N 83.79W
02/15/2025                   Montgomery         KY   Dept of Highways

            KY Transportation Cabinet District 7 reports
            water over US Highway 460 at MP 21 in
            Montgomery County.

&&

CC

Local storm report, Feb 15, 9:05 PM EST, 1 hour 26 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Local storm report, Feb 15, 9:14 PM EST, 1 hour 17 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Local storm report, Feb 15, 9:28 PM EST, 1 hour 3 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
928 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0106 PM     Flash Flood      1 NW Colly              37.13N 82.79W
02/15/2025                   Letcher            KY   Law Enforcement

            Letcher County Sheriffs Office relayed
            pictures on social media at the 800 block of
            Crafts Colley Road showing Crafts Colley
            Creek well out of its banks and flowing
            across the road, making the road impassable.

&&

JMW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 15, 8:51 PM EST	River Flood Warning	JKL	Floyd	48 hr
Feb 15, 8:52 PM EST	Areal Flood Warning	JKL	Bath, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell, Rowan	18 hr
Feb 15, 9:20 PM EST	Areal Flood Warning	JKL	Elliott, Fleming, Rowan	18 hr
Feb 15, 10:39 PM EST	River Flood Warning	JKL	Magoffin	26 hr
Feb 15, 10:47 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Bath, Fleming	4 hr
Feb 16, 12:51 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Bath, Rowan	24 min
Feb 16, 1:18 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Estill, Jackson, Lee, Menifee, Powell, Rockcastle	42 min
Feb 16, 1:26 AM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Bath, Fleming, Montgomery, Rowan	4 hr
Feb 16, 1:48 AM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Estill, Jackson, Laurel, Montgomery, Powell, Rockcastle	4 hr
Feb 16, 1:54 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Clay, Jackson, Lee, Menifee, Morgan, Owsley and 1 more	36 min
Feb 16, 2:08 AM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Clay, Estill, Jackson, Laurel, Lee, Owsley	3 hr
Feb 16, 2:13 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Breathitt, Lee, Leslie, Magoffin, Owsley, Perry and 1 more	32 min
Feb 16, 2:26 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Johnson, Magoffin, Morgan	34 min
Feb 16, 2:48 AM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Clay, Jackson, Lee, Owsley	3 hr
Feb 16, 3:14 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Bell, Floyd, Knott, Leslie, Perry	46 min
Feb 16, 3:16 AM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Laurel, Pulaski, Rockcastle	2 hr
Feb 16, 3:38 AM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Clay, Knox, Laurel, Leslie, McCreary, Owsley and 3 more	3 hr
Feb 16, 3:47 AM EST	Winter Weather Advisory	JKL	Bath, Elliott, Estill, Fleming, Jackson, Lee and 7 more	10 hr
Feb 16, 4:03 AM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Bell, Clay, Harlan, Knox, Leslie, Letcher and 2 more	3 hr
Feb 16, 8:15 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Elliott, Menifee, Morgan, Rowan	60 min
Feb 16, 8:17 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Clay, Estill, Jackson, Laurel, Lee, Owsley and 2 more	58 min
Feb 16, 8:21 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Bell, Knox, Laurel, Whitley	54 min
Feb 16, 8:53 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Breathitt, Clay, Knott, Knox, Leslie, Owsley and 1 more	37 min
Feb 16, 9:01 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Harlan, Letcher	59 min
Feb 16, 9:06 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Breathitt, Elliott, Floyd, Johnson, Knott, Magoffin and 1 more	54 min
Feb 16, 9:28 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Breathitt, Floyd, Harlan, Knott, Letcher, Magoffin and 2 more	62 min
Feb 16, 9:32 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Johnson, Magoffin, Martin	58 min
Feb 16, 9:44 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Bath, Estill, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell and 1 more	61 min
Feb 16, 10:20 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Martin, Pike	10 min
Feb 16, 10:28 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Martin, Pike	17 min
Feb 16, 10:45 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Elliott, Morgan, Rowan, Wolfe	30 min
Feb 16, 10:55 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Breathitt, Magoffin	35 min
Feb 16, 1:48 PM EST	Winter Weather Advisory	JKL	Bath, Bell, Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Estill and 27 more	17 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2025 Every flash flood warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.