Alert archive / Kentucky / Flash Flood Warnings in 2025

Flash Flood Warning 18, NWS Jackson, KY

February 16, 20258 counties in Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this flash flood warning at Feb 16, 2025, 4:03 AM EST for 8 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Feb 16, 2025, 4:03 AM EST (09:03 UTC)
Expired: Feb 16, 2025, 7:15 AM EST
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Jackson, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Bell County, KY, Clay County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Knox County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Perry County, KY, Whitley County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 273 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 518 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 74 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 271 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 286 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Feb 16, 4:01 AM EST, 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 4:01 AM EST, 2 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 8:41 PM EST, 7 hours 22 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
841 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-170145-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
841 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

Flood Warnings and Watches.

Periods of heavy rainfall, including a few thunderstorms, will
continue overnight. Widespread rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are
expected. However, in locations where heavier showers and
thunderstorms are more persistent, rainfall totals could approach or
exceed 5 inches and cause scattered to numerous instances of flash
flooding.

A thin line of heavy showers and a few thunderstorms will produce
wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph as it pushes east across the area between
midnight and 4 AM. Localized gusts up to 50 mph will be possible west
of a Mount Vernon to Williamsburg line.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

As runoff from heavy rainfall enters the larger creeks and rivers,
significant rises are likely to lead to flooding.

Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph are expected on Sunday while temperatures
fall back to near or below freezing.

Rain will change to light snow Sunday morning with widely scattered
snow showers then persisting into Sunday evening. The snow in
addition to freezing of lingering moisture on roadways may lead to
slick spots and black ice at some locations Sunday evening and
night.

A moderate to heavy accumulating snow is possible next Tuesday night
through Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

JKL

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 16, 2:26 AM EST, 1 hour 37 minutes before

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Local storm report, Feb 16, 2:39 AM EST, 1 hour 24 minutes before

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Local storm report, Feb 16, 2:45 AM EST, 1 hour 18 minutes before

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Local storm report, Feb 16, 3:14 AM EST, 49 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Feb 16, 3:14 AM EST, 49 minutes before

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Local storm report, Feb 16, 3:32 AM EST, 31 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 15, 8:51 PM EST	River Flood Warning	JKL	Floyd	48 hr
Feb 15, 8:52 PM EST	Areal Flood Warning	JKL	Bath, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell, Rowan	18 hr
Feb 15, 9:20 PM EST	Areal Flood Warning	JKL	Elliott, Fleming, Rowan	18 hr
Feb 15, 10:31 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Bath, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell	6 hr
Feb 15, 10:39 PM EST	River Flood Warning	JKL	Magoffin	26 hr
Feb 15, 10:47 PM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Bath, Fleming	4 hr
Feb 16, 12:51 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Bath, Rowan	24 min
Feb 16, 1:18 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Estill, Jackson, Lee, Menifee, Powell, Rockcastle	42 min
Feb 16, 1:26 AM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Bath, Fleming, Montgomery, Rowan	4 hr
Feb 16, 1:48 AM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Estill, Jackson, Laurel, Montgomery, Powell, Rockcastle	4 hr
Feb 16, 1:54 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Clay, Jackson, Lee, Menifee, Morgan, Owsley and 1 more	36 min
Feb 16, 2:08 AM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Clay, Estill, Jackson, Laurel, Lee, Owsley	3 hr
Feb 16, 2:13 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Breathitt, Lee, Leslie, Magoffin, Owsley, Perry and 1 more	32 min
Feb 16, 2:26 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Johnson, Magoffin, Morgan	34 min
Feb 16, 2:48 AM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Clay, Jackson, Lee, Owsley	3 hr
Feb 16, 3:14 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Bell, Floyd, Knott, Leslie, Perry	46 min
Feb 16, 3:16 AM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Laurel, Pulaski, Rockcastle	2 hr
Feb 16, 3:38 AM EST	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Clay, Knox, Laurel, Leslie, McCreary, Owsley and 3 more	3 hr
Feb 16, 3:47 AM EST	Winter Weather Advisory	JKL	Bath, Elliott, Estill, Fleming, Jackson, Lee and 7 more	10 hr
Feb 16, 8:15 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Elliott, Menifee, Morgan, Rowan	60 min
Feb 16, 8:17 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Clay, Estill, Jackson, Laurel, Lee, Owsley and 2 more	58 min
Feb 16, 8:21 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Bell, Knox, Laurel, Whitley	54 min
Feb 16, 8:53 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Breathitt, Clay, Knott, Knox, Leslie, Owsley and 1 more	37 min
Feb 16, 9:01 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Harlan, Letcher	59 min
Feb 16, 9:06 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Breathitt, Elliott, Floyd, Johnson, Knott, Magoffin and 1 more	54 min
Feb 16, 9:28 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Breathitt, Floyd, Harlan, Knott, Letcher, Magoffin and 2 more	62 min
Feb 16, 9:32 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Johnson, Magoffin, Martin	58 min
Feb 16, 9:44 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Bath, Estill, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell and 1 more	61 min
Feb 16, 10:20 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Martin, Pike	10 min
Feb 16, 10:28 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Martin, Pike	17 min
Feb 16, 10:45 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Elliott, Morgan, Rowan, Wolfe	30 min
Feb 16, 10:55 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Breathitt, Magoffin	35 min
Feb 16, 1:48 PM EST	Winter Weather Advisory	JKL	Bath, Bell, Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Estill and 27 more	17 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2025 Every flash flood warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.