Severe Thunderstorm Warning 368, NWS Atlanta, GA

155 
WWUS52 KFFC 272320
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
720 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAC063-089-121-272330-
/O.EXP.KFFC.SV.W.0368.000000T0000Z-250627T2330Z/
DeKalb GA-Clayton GA-Fulton GA-
720 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN DEKALB...
NORTHWESTERN CLAYTON AND SOUTH CENTRAL FULTON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
730 PM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However, gusty
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3382 8440 3371 8421 3365 8427 3365 8428
      3364 8428 3355 8436 3368 8454
TIME...MOT...LOC 2320Z 031DEG 1KT 3368 8441 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
313 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Key Messages:

    - Scattered to numerous afternoon and evening showers and
      thunderstorms will be the primary concern.

    - Temperatures will be near or slightly above seasonal averages.

Current radar loop shows some isolated thunderstorms beginning to
develop over east central GA and east central AL. Like yesterday,
convection is taking a bit longer get started because the area was
so worked over from yesterdays activity (Kind of a recurring theme).
Ample instability is again developing across the area with MLCAPE
values on the order of 1000-2500 J/kg and ML Lapse Rates around 6 to
6.5. This will be be sufficient support for at least a few severe
thunderstorms with a primary risk for strong downburst wind gusts as
well as a few instances of hail up to size of dime to quarter size.
Any storms that develop could persist into the late evening.

On Sat, little change in the overall pattern and environment is
expected. With the area remaining in southwest flow around the
periphery of the western Atlantic high, diurnally driven convection
is again expected. Also, strong to severe isolated  thunderstorms
will again be possible.

As for temperatures, forecast highs Friday should be a degree to two
below Todays highs for most of the area. It will still be hot with
heat index values peaking in the 95 to 100 range for portions
of north and central GA.

01

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday morning through next Thursday)
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Key Messages:

  - Very moist forecast, with diurnally driven convection every day.

  - Severe not anticipated at this time, but some uncertainty.

Forecast:

Few overall changes to the forecast this afternoon for the long
term. Next week still looks to be pretty moist with copious chances
for diurnally driven afternoon convection. The upper level low over
the Southeast currently continues to spin in place and fill through
the weekend, providing continued lift. Repeated rounds of convection
through the weekend will do a number on lapse rates, which should
limit the overall severe threat Sunday into Monday, but with
plenty of moisture around and summer heating, can't rule out a
storm or two getting a little bit feisty. Ensembles have pretty
good consensus through this time period, though one potential
"gotcha" for the models will be recovery of the atmosphere from
day to day, where a particularly robust day of convection may act
to limit things a bit more on the next day, especially given the
lack of upper level winds to advect latent heating due to
convection.

Today into Saturday, we will see the TUTT positioned out over the
Atlantic undergo a pretty big squeeze thanks to anticyclonic rossby
wave breaks occurring upstream of it. This will pinch off another
upper level piece of the PV streamer that will develop into a
cyclonically spinning upper level low that will retrograde towards
the SE coastline by Monday. This system creates a point of
uncertainty (and least with today's runs) within the ensembles,
with the Euro suite being a bit more aggressive with pulling it
into the SE, and the GFS suite keeping it to the east off the
coastline. By Tuesday, a shortwave will move within the upper
level jet across the US/Canadian border and drive a quick moving
surface low that will drive a front towards the area on Tuesday
into Wednesday that should stall before reaching the CWA. This
system will bring moisture streaming into the area causing rain
chances on Tuesday to increase even more than the previous days.
Severe chances may be dependent on the position of the
aforementioned upper level low - if it has moved over the area, it
will not only aid in lift, but may bring some enhanced lapse
rates through cooling aloft. Will need to keep an eye on this time
period.

Otherwise, temperatures will likely be modulated through the
longterm by copious surface moisture and afternoon convection/cloud
cover. Highs start in the low 90s and sink into the 80s by the
middle of next week. High Td's hovering in the 70s will keep
overnight lows elevated to the lower 70s.

Lusk

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Mainly VFR conditions across the area but looking for convection
to get going in the next few hours around the TAF sites. Should
see another round of SHRA/TSRA this afternoon and evening with the
best chance for the TAF sites happening between 21z-01z (give or
take an hour or two). Winds should stay mainly out of the W-NW in
the 5-10kt range but will see some gusty winds to 30kt in and
around any convective activity. VSBYs expected to stay in the VFR
range but like the winds could see some MVFR VSBYs in and around
the afternoon and evening storms. Things expected to clear out
overnight with another round of storms Sat afternoon/evening.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Confidence high on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          70  92  70  92 /  30  50  20  30
Atlanta         71  91  71  90 /  30  50  20  40
Blairsville     64  85  65  86 /  40  60  20  60
Cartersville    68  91  70  90 /  30  50  20  50
Columbus        71  92  72  92 /  20  50  20  50
Gainesville     70  90  70  90 /  30  50  20  40
Macon           71  92  70  92 /  30  50  20  50
Rome            69  90  70  89 /  30  50  20  50
Peachtree City  68  91  69  90 /  30  50  20  40
Vidalia         72  92  73  92 /  20  50  20  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....Lusk
AVIATION...01

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
314 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-281915-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
314 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening.
The strongest storms may produce damaging downburst wind gusts in
the 40 to 60 mph range. A Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) is in
effect for severe thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected each
day through Wednesday. Some of the strongest thunderstorms could
produce strong wind gusts and hail.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.  Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
627 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ060-072-073-272300-
Putnam GA-Baldwin GA-Jones GA-
627 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of western Baldwin,
south central Putnam and northeastern Jones Counties through 700 PM
EDT...

At 627 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Ethridge to near Coopers, and moving north at 10
mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Milledgeville, Meriwether, Ethridge, Resseaus Crossroads, and Browns
Crossing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3328 8342 3317 8331 3306 8326 3294 8334
      3312 8347
TIME...MOT...LOC 2227Z 182DEG 10KT 3314 8342 3298 8334

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
633 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ003>005-272300-
Whitfield GA-Catoosa GA-Murray GA-
633 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Catoosa,
southwestern Murray and Whitfield Counties through 700 PM EDT...

At 633 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Rocky Face, or near
Dalton. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, nickel sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Dalton, Chatsworth, Ringgold, Varnell, Tunnel Hill, Mill Creek,
Beaumont, Dawnville, Wood Station, Rocky Face, Tilton, and North
Georgia Speedway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3478 8471 3462 8488 3471 8505 3472 8505
      3472 8507 3476 8515 3477 8515 3477 8516
      3478 8516 3477 8518 3479 8520 3484 8520
      3498 8509
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 107DEG 3KT 3482 8500

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
638 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ013-014-021-272315-
Dawson GA-Cherokee GA-Pickens GA-
638 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Cherokee,
southwestern Dawson and Pickens Counties through 715 PM EDT...

At 638 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Ball Ground, or 8 miles
south of Jasper, moving northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, nickel sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Canton, Jasper, Ball Ground, Nelson, Waleska, Buffington, Salacoa
Valley, Lake Tamarack, Hollis Lathem Reservoir, Marblehill, Tate, and
Reavis Mountain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3455 8440 3440 8411 3433 8422 3433 8426
      3431 8426 3422 8440 3436 8462 3455 8443
TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 223DEG 10KT 3436 8442

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
640 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ014-022-023-272315-
Hall GA-Dawson GA-Forsyth GA-
640 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Forsyth, southeastern Dawson and central Hall Counties through 715 PM
EDT...

At 639 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Oscarville, or near
Gainesville. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail, frequent cloud
         to ground lightning and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Gainesville, Flowery Branch, Oakwood, Dougherty, Aqualand Park,
Silver City, Chestatee, Oscarville, and War Hill Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3442 8398 3442 8397 3428 8377 3415 8387
      3430 8415 3444 8402
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 122DEG 4KT 3426 8393

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
641 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ020-030>032-272315-
Polk GA-Cobb GA-Bartow GA-Paulding GA-
641 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Paulding, northwestern Cobb, northeastern Polk and southern Bartow
Counties through 715 PM EDT...

At 641 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Taylorsville, or 10
miles southwest of Cartersville, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, nickel sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Cartersville, Acworth, Rockmart, Euharlee, Emerson, Braswell,
Taylorsville, Cross Roads, Burnt Hickory Ridge, Stilesboro, and Red
Top Mountain State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3412 8505 3417 8470 3395 8469 3400 8504
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 268DEG 16KT 3408 8495

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
644 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0637 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 WSW Ball Ground       34.31N 84.45W
06/27/2025                   Cherokee           GA   Emergency Mngr

            Power lines down on Breedlove Rd near Amber
            Lake Dr.

&&