Severe Thunderstorm Warning 342, NWS Atlanta, GA

226 
WWUS52 KFFC 272005
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
405 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAC281-272015-
/O.EXP.KFFC.SV.W.0342.000000T0000Z-250627T2015Z/
Towns GA-
405 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN TOWNS COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 415 PM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However, gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3494 8355 3494 8360 3492 8359 3491 8360
      3499 8364 3499 8355
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 148DEG 16KT 3505 8355 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
313 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Key Messages:

    - Scattered to numerous afternoon and evening showers and
      thunderstorms will be the primary concern.

    - Temperatures will be near or slightly above seasonal averages.

Current radar loop shows some isolated thunderstorms beginning to
develop over east central GA and east central AL. Like yesterday,
convection is taking a bit longer get started because the area was
so worked over from yesterdays activity (Kind of a recurring theme).
Ample instability is again developing across the area with MLCAPE
values on the order of 1000-2500 J/kg and ML Lapse Rates around 6 to
6.5. This will be be sufficient support for at least a few severe
thunderstorms with a primary risk for strong downburst wind gusts as
well as a few instances of hail up to size of dime to quarter size.
Any storms that develop could persist into the late evening.

On Sat, little change in the overall pattern and environment is
expected. With the area remaining in southwest flow around the
periphery of the western Atlantic high, diurnally driven convection
is again expected. Also, strong to severe isolated  thunderstorms
will again be possible.

As for temperatures, forecast highs Friday should be a degree to two
below Todays highs for most of the area. It will still be hot with
heat index values peaking in the 95 to 100 range for portions
of north and central GA.

01

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday morning through next Thursday)
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Key Messages:

  - Very moist forecast, with diurnally driven convection every day.

  - Severe not anticipated at this time, but some uncertainty.

Forecast:

Few overall changes to the forecast this afternoon for the long
term. Next week still looks to be pretty moist with copious chances
for diurnally driven afternoon convection. The upper level low over
the Southeast currently continues to spin in place and fill through
the weekend, providing continued lift. Repeated rounds of convection
through the weekend will do a number on lapse rates, which should
limit the overall severe threat Sunday into Monday, but with
plenty of moisture around and summer heating, can't rule out a
storm or two getting a little bit feisty. Ensembles have pretty
good consensus through this time period, though one potential
"gotcha" for the models will be recovery of the atmosphere from
day to day, where a particularly robust day of convection may act
to limit things a bit more on the next day, especially given the
lack of upper level winds to advect latent heating due to
convection.

Today into Saturday, we will see the TUTT positioned out over the
Atlantic undergo a pretty big squeeze thanks to anticyclonic rossby
wave breaks occurring upstream of it. This will pinch off another
upper level piece of the PV streamer that will develop into a
cyclonically spinning upper level low that will retrograde towards
the SE coastline by Monday. This system creates a point of
uncertainty (and least with today's runs) within the ensembles,
with the Euro suite being a bit more aggressive with pulling it
into the SE, and the GFS suite keeping it to the east off the
coastline. By Tuesday, a shortwave will move within the upper
level jet across the US/Canadian border and drive a quick moving
surface low that will drive a front towards the area on Tuesday
into Wednesday that should stall before reaching the CWA. This
system will bring moisture streaming into the area causing rain
chances on Tuesday to increase even more than the previous days.
Severe chances may be dependent on the position of the
aforementioned upper level low - if it has moved over the area, it
will not only aid in lift, but may bring some enhanced lapse
rates through cooling aloft. Will need to keep an eye on this time
period.

Otherwise, temperatures will likely be modulated through the
longterm by copious surface moisture and afternoon convection/cloud
cover. Highs start in the low 90s and sink into the 80s by the
middle of next week. High Td's hovering in the 70s will keep
overnight lows elevated to the lower 70s.

Lusk

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Mainly VFR conditions across the area but looking for convection
to get going in the next few hours around the TAF sites. Should
see another round of SHRA/TSRA this afternoon and evening with the
best chance for the TAF sites happening between 21z-01z (give or
take an hour or two). Winds should stay mainly out of the W-NW in
the 5-10kt range but will see some gusty winds to 30kt in and
around any convective activity. VSBYs expected to stay in the VFR
range but like the winds could see some MVFR VSBYs in and around
the afternoon and evening storms. Things expected to clear out
overnight with another round of storms Sat afternoon/evening.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Confidence high on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          70  92  70  92 /  30  50  20  30
Atlanta         71  91  71  90 /  30  50  20  40
Blairsville     64  85  65  86 /  40  60  20  60
Cartersville    68  91  70  90 /  30  50  20  50
Columbus        71  92  72  92 /  20  50  20  50
Gainesville     70  90  70  90 /  30  50  20  40
Macon           71  92  70  92 /  30  50  20  50
Rome            69  90  70  89 /  30  50  20  50
Peachtree City  68  91  69  90 /  30  50  20  40
Vidalia         72  92  73  92 /  20  50  20  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....Lusk
AVIATION...01

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
314 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-281915-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
314 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening.
The strongest storms may produce damaging downburst wind gusts in
the 40 to 60 mph range. A Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) is in
effect for severe thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected each
day through Wednesday. Some of the strongest thunderstorms could
produce strong wind gusts and hail.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.  Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1228 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0908 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Carrollton              33.58N 85.08W
06/25/2025                   Carroll            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Numerous trees down on powerlines per EM
            across northern and northeastern parts of
            city of Carrollton. Locations include 100
            block of Pawn Dr, 100 Block of Watson St,
            300 block of Cliff st, 500 block of Frashier
            rd, and 100 block of Kingsbridge dr.

&&

DL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1230 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NE Bowdon Junction    33.68N 85.12W
06/25/2025                   Carroll            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Tree down on road along 1900 block of Miller
            Academy Rd near Bremen.

&&

DL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1237 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 N Mount Zion          33.65N 85.19W
06/25/2025                   Carroll            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Tree down near intersection of Mt Zion Rd
            and Triplett Way near Bremen.

&&

DL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1241 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NNW Mount Zion        33.67N 85.20W
06/25/2025                   Carroll            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Tree down along 5 points Rd.

&&

DL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
336 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ008-009-016-272000-
Union GA-Towns GA-White GA-
336 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Towns, north central
White and northeastern Union Counties through 400 PM EDT...

At 336 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Track Rock, or near
Blairsville. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Hiawassee, Blairsville, Young Harris, Blue Mountain Shelter,
Brasstown Bald, Gumlog, Mountain Scene, Low Gap Shelter, Owltown,
Vogel State Park, Track Rock, Macedonia, and Alexanders Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3487 8365 3483 8366 3482 8365 3482 8366
      3472 8389 3473 8391 3499 8406 3499 8373
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 143DEG 2KT 3484 8388

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
338 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ009-272015-
Towns GA-
338 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Towns
County through 415 PM EDT...

At 338 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Tate City, or 8 miles
northwest of Clayton, moving northwest at 20 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Tate City, Titus, and Plum Orchard Gap Shelter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3494 8355 3494 8360 3492 8359 3491 8363
      3490 8363 3488 8366 3499 8374 3499 8355
TIME...MOT...LOC 1938Z 147DEG 16KT 3498 8347

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH