Flash Flood Warning 15, NWS Atlanta, GA

980 
WGUS72 KFFC 272343
FFSFFC

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
743 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAC111-281-291-272353-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FF.W.0015.000000T0000Z-250628T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Fannin GA-Towns GA-Union GA-
743 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR NORTHEASTERN FANNIN, UNION 
AND TOWNS COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3483 8435 3499 8422 3498 8358 3489 8363
      3488 8366 3484 8366 3480 8370 3482 8381
      3473 8383 3474 8394 3473 8423

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
313 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Key Messages:

    - Scattered to numerous afternoon and evening showers and
      thunderstorms will be the primary concern.

    - Temperatures will be near or slightly above seasonal averages.

Current radar loop shows some isolated thunderstorms beginning to
develop over east central GA and east central AL. Like yesterday,
convection is taking a bit longer get started because the area was
so worked over from yesterdays activity (Kind of a recurring theme).
Ample instability is again developing across the area with MLCAPE
values on the order of 1000-2500 J/kg and ML Lapse Rates around 6 to
6.5. This will be be sufficient support for at least a few severe
thunderstorms with a primary risk for strong downburst wind gusts as
well as a few instances of hail up to size of dime to quarter size.
Any storms that develop could persist into the late evening.

On Sat, little change in the overall pattern and environment is
expected. With the area remaining in southwest flow around the
periphery of the western Atlantic high, diurnally driven convection
is again expected. Also, strong to severe isolated  thunderstorms
will again be possible.

As for temperatures, forecast highs Friday should be a degree to two
below Todays highs for most of the area. It will still be hot with
heat index values peaking in the 95 to 100 range for portions
of north and central GA.

01

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday morning through next Thursday)
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Key Messages:

  - Very moist forecast, with diurnally driven convection every day.

  - Severe not anticipated at this time, but some uncertainty.

Forecast:

Few overall changes to the forecast this afternoon for the long
term. Next week still looks to be pretty moist with copious chances
for diurnally driven afternoon convection. The upper level low over
the Southeast currently continues to spin in place and fill through
the weekend, providing continued lift. Repeated rounds of convection
through the weekend will do a number on lapse rates, which should
limit the overall severe threat Sunday into Monday, but with
plenty of moisture around and summer heating, can't rule out a
storm or two getting a little bit feisty. Ensembles have pretty
good consensus through this time period, though one potential
"gotcha" for the models will be recovery of the atmosphere from
day to day, where a particularly robust day of convection may act
to limit things a bit more on the next day, especially given the
lack of upper level winds to advect latent heating due to
convection.

Today into Saturday, we will see the TUTT positioned out over the
Atlantic undergo a pretty big squeeze thanks to anticyclonic rossby
wave breaks occurring upstream of it. This will pinch off another
upper level piece of the PV streamer that will develop into a
cyclonically spinning upper level low that will retrograde towards
the SE coastline by Monday. This system creates a point of
uncertainty (and least with today's runs) within the ensembles,
with the Euro suite being a bit more aggressive with pulling it
into the SE, and the GFS suite keeping it to the east off the
coastline. By Tuesday, a shortwave will move within the upper
level jet across the US/Canadian border and drive a quick moving
surface low that will drive a front towards the area on Tuesday
into Wednesday that should stall before reaching the CWA. This
system will bring moisture streaming into the area causing rain
chances on Tuesday to increase even more than the previous days.
Severe chances may be dependent on the position of the
aforementioned upper level low - if it has moved over the area, it
will not only aid in lift, but may bring some enhanced lapse
rates through cooling aloft. Will need to keep an eye on this time
period.

Otherwise, temperatures will likely be modulated through the
longterm by copious surface moisture and afternoon convection/cloud
cover. Highs start in the low 90s and sink into the 80s by the
middle of next week. High Td's hovering in the 70s will keep
overnight lows elevated to the lower 70s.

Lusk

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Mainly VFR conditions across the area but looking for convection
to get going in the next few hours around the TAF sites. Should
see another round of SHRA/TSRA this afternoon and evening with the
best chance for the TAF sites happening between 21z-01z (give or
take an hour or two). Winds should stay mainly out of the W-NW in
the 5-10kt range but will see some gusty winds to 30kt in and
around any convective activity. VSBYs expected to stay in the VFR
range but like the winds could see some MVFR VSBYs in and around
the afternoon and evening storms. Things expected to clear out
overnight with another round of storms Sat afternoon/evening.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Confidence high on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          70  92  70  92 /  30  50  20  30
Atlanta         71  91  71  90 /  30  50  20  40
Blairsville     64  85  65  86 /  40  60  20  60
Cartersville    68  91  70  90 /  30  50  20  50
Columbus        71  92  72  92 /  20  50  20  50
Gainesville     70  90  70  90 /  30  50  20  40
Macon           71  92  70  92 /  30  50  20  50
Rome            69  90  70  89 /  30  50  20  50
Peachtree City  68  91  69  90 /  30  50  20  40
Vidalia         72  92  73  92 /  20  50  20  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....Lusk
AVIATION...01

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
314 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-281915-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
314 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening.
The strongest storms may produce damaging downburst wind gusts in
the 40 to 60 mph range. A Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) is in
effect for severe thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected each
day through Wednesday. Some of the strongest thunderstorms could
produce strong wind gusts and hail.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.  Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
410 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ074-076-085-097-272045-
Jefferson GA-Washington GA-Johnson GA-Laurens GA-
410 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Laurens, southeastern Washington, Johnson and southern Jefferson
Counties through 445 PM EDT...

At 410 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over New Home, or near
Wrightsville, moving southwest at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Wrightsville, Harrison, Lovett, Spann, Donovan, New Home, Tuckers
Crossroad, and Pringle.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3288 8258 3284 8245 3272 8249 3261 8267
      3266 8290 3284 8286
TIME...MOT...LOC 2010Z 064DEG 6KT 3277 8262

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
420 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ062-075-076-272045-
Jefferson GA-Glascock GA-Warren GA-
420 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Warren,
northeastern Glascock and northeastern Jefferson Counties through 445
PM EDT...

At 419 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near Matthews, or 14 miles
northeast of Louisville, moving west at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Wrens, Stapleton, Matthews, and Stellaville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3315 8227 3307 8229 3308 8250 3334 8251
      3334 8245 3333 8243 3333 8242 3331 8240
      3331 8234 3330 8231 3327 8229 3326 8225
      3323 8223
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 106DEG 8KT 3317 8227

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
443 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ006>009-015-016-272115-
Gilmer GA-Union GA-Towns GA-White GA-Lumpkin GA-Fannin GA-
443 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Towns, west central
Lumpkin, northeastern Gilmer, northern White, Union and Fannin
Counties through 515 PM EDT...

At 443 PM EDT, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Mountain Scene to Blairsville to near Dial. These
storms were nearly stationary.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Blue Ridge, Hiawassee, Blairsville, Young Harris, Morganton, Blue
Mountain Shelter, Gumlog, Loving, Titus, Jones Creek, Epworth, Low
Gap Shelter, Mineral Bluff, Vogel State Park, Anna Ruby Falls, Stover
Creek Shelter, Plum Orchard Gap Shelter, Gaddistown, Hemp, and
Margret.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Motorists should
slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3494 8356 3494 8360 3492 8359 3491 8363
      3488 8366 3482 8365 3480 8368 3477 8363
      3474 8363 3474 8396 3460 8419 3462 8420
      3460 8423 3499 8445 3499 8357
TIME...MOT...LOC 2043Z 117DEG 4KT 3486 8364 3486 8394 3479 8427

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
445 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ074>076-272115-
Jefferson GA-Washington GA-Glascock GA-
445 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Glascock, northeastern Washington and west central Jefferson Counties
through 515 PM EDT...

At 444 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Stapletons Crossroads,
or 7 miles northwest of Louisville, moving west at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Davisboro, Edge Hill, Edgehill, Downs, Agricola, Grange, and
Stapletons Crossroads.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3314 8241 3296 8243 3293 8276 3320 8274
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 094DEG 13KT 3306 8251

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
452 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ051-061-062-272115-
Taliaferro GA-Hancock GA-Warren GA-
452 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Warren, northeastern
Hancock and southeastern Taliaferro Counties through 515 PM EDT...

At 452 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Mesena, or near
Warrenton, moving west at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Warrenton, Norwood, Sharon, Camak, Cadley, Barnett, Mesena, Raytown,
Mayfield, and Sandy Cross.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3335 8288 3362 8283 3357 8263 3346 8259
      3341 8255 3336 8255 3336 8253 3335 8253
TIME...MOT...LOC 2052Z 099DEG 15KT 3346 8260

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
455 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ019-020-272130-
Bartow GA-Floyd GA-
455 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central Floyd
and northwestern Bartow Counties through 530 PM EDT...

At 455 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Kingston, or 11 miles
east of Rome, moving north at 10 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, nickel sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Adairsville, Kingston, Shannon, and Pinson.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3440 8503 3439 8502 3439 8499 3438 8499
      3439 8498 3440 8498 3440 8497 3438 8497
      3438 8496 3440 8495 3440 8485 3417 8491
      3419 8508 3440 8510
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 185DEG 9KT 3425 8499

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH