Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS Atlanta, GA

972 
WGUS52 KFFC 280059
FFWFFC
GAC057-117-121-139-280300-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-250628T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
859 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Cherokee County in north central Georgia...
  Forsyth County in north central Georgia...
  Northeastern Fulton County in north central Georgia...
  Southwestern Hall County in north central Georgia...

* Until 1100 PM EDT.

* At 859 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain 
  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.5 inches are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Gainesville, Canton, Cumming, Mountain Park, Roswell, Alpharetta, 
  Milton, Woodstock, Sugar Hill, Buford, Holly Springs, Flowery 
  Branch, Oakwood, Ball Ground, Nelson, Waleska, Rest Haven, Free 
  Home and Buffington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law 
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National 
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3408 8461 3414 8461 3433 8454 3438 8445
      3438 8433 3435 8427 3430 8425 3433 8410
      3434 8395 3423 8382 3415 8388 3413 8395
      3417 8407 3407 8412 3405 8410 3406 8424
      3409 8430 3407 8441

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

751 
WGUS72 KFFC 280256
FFSFFC

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1056 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAC057-117-121-139-280306-
/O.EXP.KFFC.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-250628T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cherokee GA-Forsyth GA-Fulton GA-Hall GA-
1056 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR 
CHEROKEE, FORSYTH, NORTHEASTERN FULTON AND SOUTHWESTERN HALL 
COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3408 8461 3414 8461 3433 8454 3438 8445
      3438 8433 3435 8427 3430 8425 3433 8410
      3434 8395 3423 8382 3415 8388 3413 8395
      3417 8407 3407 8412 3405 8410 3406 8424
      3409 8430 3407 8441

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
313 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Key Messages:

    - Scattered to numerous afternoon and evening showers and
      thunderstorms will be the primary concern.

    - Temperatures will be near or slightly above seasonal averages.

Current radar loop shows some isolated thunderstorms beginning to
develop over east central GA and east central AL. Like yesterday,
convection is taking a bit longer get started because the area was
so worked over from yesterdays activity (Kind of a recurring theme).
Ample instability is again developing across the area with MLCAPE
values on the order of 1000-2500 J/kg and ML Lapse Rates around 6 to
6.5. This will be be sufficient support for at least a few severe
thunderstorms with a primary risk for strong downburst wind gusts as
well as a few instances of hail up to size of dime to quarter size.
Any storms that develop could persist into the late evening.

On Sat, little change in the overall pattern and environment is
expected. With the area remaining in southwest flow around the
periphery of the western Atlantic high, diurnally driven convection
is again expected. Also, strong to severe isolated  thunderstorms
will again be possible.

As for temperatures, forecast highs Friday should be a degree to two
below Todays highs for most of the area. It will still be hot with
heat index values peaking in the 95 to 100 range for portions
of north and central GA.

01

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday morning through next Thursday)
Issued at 312 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Key Messages:

  - Very moist forecast, with diurnally driven convection every day.

  - Severe not anticipated at this time, but some uncertainty.

Forecast:

Few overall changes to the forecast this afternoon for the long
term. Next week still looks to be pretty moist with copious chances
for diurnally driven afternoon convection. The upper level low over
the Southeast currently continues to spin in place and fill through
the weekend, providing continued lift. Repeated rounds of convection
through the weekend will do a number on lapse rates, which should
limit the overall severe threat Sunday into Monday, but with
plenty of moisture around and summer heating, can't rule out a
storm or two getting a little bit feisty. Ensembles have pretty
good consensus through this time period, though one potential
"gotcha" for the models will be recovery of the atmosphere from
day to day, where a particularly robust day of convection may act
to limit things a bit more on the next day, especially given the
lack of upper level winds to advect latent heating due to
convection.

Today into Saturday, we will see the TUTT positioned out over the
Atlantic undergo a pretty big squeeze thanks to anticyclonic rossby
wave breaks occurring upstream of it. This will pinch off another
upper level piece of the PV streamer that will develop into a
cyclonically spinning upper level low that will retrograde towards
the SE coastline by Monday. This system creates a point of
uncertainty (and least with today's runs) within the ensembles,
with the Euro suite being a bit more aggressive with pulling it
into the SE, and the GFS suite keeping it to the east off the
coastline. By Tuesday, a shortwave will move within the upper
level jet across the US/Canadian border and drive a quick moving
surface low that will drive a front towards the area on Tuesday
into Wednesday that should stall before reaching the CWA. This
system will bring moisture streaming into the area causing rain
chances on Tuesday to increase even more than the previous days.
Severe chances may be dependent on the position of the
aforementioned upper level low - if it has moved over the area, it
will not only aid in lift, but may bring some enhanced lapse
rates through cooling aloft. Will need to keep an eye on this time
period.

Otherwise, temperatures will likely be modulated through the
longterm by copious surface moisture and afternoon convection/cloud
cover. Highs start in the low 90s and sink into the 80s by the
middle of next week. High Td's hovering in the 70s will keep
overnight lows elevated to the lower 70s.

Lusk

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1243 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Mainly VFR conditions across the area but looking for convection
to get going in the next few hours around the TAF sites. Should
see another round of SHRA/TSRA this afternoon and evening with the
best chance for the TAF sites happening between 21z-01z (give or
take an hour or two). Winds should stay mainly out of the W-NW in
the 5-10kt range but will see some gusty winds to 30kt in and
around any convective activity. VSBYs expected to stay in the VFR
range but like the winds could see some MVFR VSBYs in and around
the afternoon and evening storms. Things expected to clear out
overnight with another round of storms Sat afternoon/evening.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Confidence high on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          70  92  70  92 /  30  50  20  30
Atlanta         71  91  71  90 /  30  50  20  40
Blairsville     64  85  65  86 /  40  60  20  60
Cartersville    68  91  70  90 /  30  50  20  50
Columbus        71  92  72  92 /  20  50  20  50
Gainesville     70  90  70  90 /  30  50  20  40
Macon           71  92  70  92 /  30  50  20  50
Rome            69  90  70  89 /  30  50  20  50
Peachtree City  68  91  69  90 /  30  50  20  40
Vidalia         72  92  73  92 /  20  50  20  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....Lusk
AVIATION...01

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
314 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-281915-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
314 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening.
The strongest storms may produce damaging downburst wind gusts in
the 40 to 60 mph range. A Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) is in
effect for severe thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected each
day through Wednesday. Some of the strongest thunderstorms could
produce strong wind gusts and hail.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.  Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
640 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ014-022-023-272315-
Hall GA-Dawson GA-Forsyth GA-
640 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Forsyth, southeastern Dawson and central Hall Counties through 715 PM
EDT...

At 639 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Oscarville, or near
Gainesville. This storm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, up to penny sized hail, frequent cloud
         to ground lightning and heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Gainesville, Flowery Branch, Oakwood, Dougherty, Aqualand Park,
Silver City, Chestatee, Oscarville, and War Hill Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3442 8398 3442 8397 3428 8377 3415 8387
      3430 8415 3444 8402
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 122DEG 4KT 3426 8393

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
641 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ020-030>032-272315-
Polk GA-Cobb GA-Bartow GA-Paulding GA-
641 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Paulding, northwestern Cobb, northeastern Polk and southern Bartow
Counties through 715 PM EDT...

At 641 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over Taylorsville, or 10
miles southwest of Cartersville, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, nickel sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Cartersville, Acworth, Rockmart, Euharlee, Emerson, Braswell,
Taylorsville, Cross Roads, Burnt Hickory Ridge, Stilesboro, and Red
Top Mountain State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3412 8505 3417 8470 3395 8469 3400 8504
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 268DEG 16KT 3408 8495

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
644 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0637 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 WSW Ball Ground       34.31N 84.45W
06/27/2025                   Cherokee           GA   Emergency Mngr

            Power lines down on Breedlove Rd near Amber
            Lake Dr.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
648 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     Hail             Holly Springs           34.17N 84.50W
06/27/2025  M1.00 Inch       Cherokee           GA   Emergency Mngr

            Nickel to quarter-sized hail reported in
            Holly Springs.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
652 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ033-034-045-272315-
North Fulton GA-DeKalb GA-Gwinnett GA-
652 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern DeKalb,
west central Gwinnett and northeastern Fulton Counties through 715 PM
EDT...

At 652 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was over North Druid Hills, or
near Decatur, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, nickel sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Atlanta, Decatur, Peachtree Corners, Sandy Springs, Roswell, Johns
Creek, Alpharetta, Dunwoody, Duluth, Suwanee, Lilburn, Chamblee,
Norcross, Doraville, Clarkston, Stone Mountain, Avondale Estates,
Berkeley Lake, Pine Lake, and Tucker.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3372 8423 3379 8443 3409 8428 3403 8405
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 202DEG 12KT 3383 8430

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
700 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

GAZ004-005-012-272330-
Whitfield GA-Gordon GA-Murray GA-
700 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Murray,
central Whitfield and northeastern Gordon Counties through 730 PM
EDT...

At 700 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was near North Georgia Speedway,
or near Chatsworth, moving southeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind, nickel sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Dalton, Chatsworth, Varnell, Dawnville, Ramhurst, Rocky Face, Fort
Mountain State Park, and North Georgia Speedway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3476 8464 3473 8466 3469 8465 3457 8472
      3477 8509 3488 8499
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 296DEG 6KT 3474 8486

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH