Tornado Warning 22, NWS Tulsa, OK

849 
WWUS54 KTSA 280405
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1105 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

OKC037-280415-
/O.CON.KTSA.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-240428T0415Z/
Creek OK-
1105 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN CREEK COUNTY...

At 1105 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 3 miles south of Terlton, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations in or near the path include...
Mannford...                       Oilton...
Silver City...                    

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3616 9662 3616 9630 3615 9630 3605 9662
TIME...MOT...LOC 0405Z 228DEG 44KT 3614 9649 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

480 
WWUS54 KTSA 280411
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1111 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

OKC037-280421-
/O.EXP.KTSA.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-240428T0415Z/
Creek OK-
1111 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN CREEK COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
1115 PM CDT...

The tornado threat has diminished and the Tornado Warning has been 
cancelled. However, damaging winds remain likely and a Severe 
Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect for the area.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for northeastern
Oklahoma.

&&

LAT...LON 3616 9662 3616 9630 3615 9630 3605 9662
TIME...MOT...LOC 0411Z 208DEG 51KT 3619 9645 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1005 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(The rest of tonight)
Issued at 958 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

The forecast generally remains on track. Thus far, severe storms
have been confined to the far northwest part of our forecast
area, but that is about to change. Storms continue to increase in
coverage and intensity to our west, and these storms will move
into eastern Oklahoma within the next hour or so, with an all
hazard severe risk. A large QLCS will eventually evolve and sweep
across the entire forecast area overnight with damaging winds, a
few tornadoes, sporadic hail, and widespread heavy rainfall. Both
flash and river flood flooding will become a major concern heading
into the wee hours of Sunday morning. Have made only minor
changes to pops tonight, with the rest of the forecast on track at
this time.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Saturday)
Issued at 211 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Thunderstorms producing heavy rain and at least a low chance for
severe weather will be ongoing across parts of eastern Oklahoma
and northwest and west central Arkansas, with an expected decrease
in coverage and intensity toward mid morning. Another round of
thunderstorms with severe weather potential is expected to develop
along the cold front/dryline Sunday afternoon and into the
evening, with a lesser but still existent potential for tornadoes
and very large hail. The Flood Watch may need to be extended in
time to account for this activity across eastern parts of the
watch area.

A short break in the active pattern is expected Monday and into
Tuesday, with a period of dry weather for much of those two days.
The dry weather will be short-lived with multiple rounds of
showers and thunderstorms, including some potential for severe
thunderstorms, mid to late week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 653 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Flying conditions are expected to worsen as we move through the
night and into Sunday morning as showers/storms become widespread
across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   63  77  55  80 / 100  80  10  10
FSM   66  77  61  82 /  80 100  50  10
MLC   65  76  60  82 / 100  90  10  10
BVO   61  77  51  78 / 100  70  10   0
FYV   63  74  57  80 /  80  90  50  10
BYV   63  73  57  78 /  80 100  60  10
MKO   63  74  58  79 /  90  90  10  10
MIO   62  73  54  76 / 100  90  30  10
F10   63  76  58  79 / 100  80  10  10
HHW   66  73  61  80 /  80  90  30  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for OKZ049-053>076.

AR...Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for ARZ001-002-010-011-019-
     020-029.

&&

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....22
AVIATION...10

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
544 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
544 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

...SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...
...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT TONIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Critical.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Eastern Oklahoma.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Mainly Eastern Oklahoma.
	ONSET...This Evening.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Critical.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Eastern Oklahoma.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage and intensity
this evening. The threat of severe weather is present across the
entire area, but the greatest threat will be across eastern
Oklahoma. All severe hazards will be possible, including
tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds. By late this evening,
additional storms to the west will merge with ongoing activity,
and will shift the severe threat towards a heavy rain and flash
flooding threat. The highest flood threat remains across eastern
Oklahoma, but all areas have at least some potential. Total
rainfall in the hardest hit areas may exceed several inches.

Continue to pay special attention to forecast updates considering
the ongoing dual threat of severe weather and flooding rains through
tonight.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...
         Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...
            Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...
           Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Heavy rain will continue into Sunday across northwest Arkansas
before it finally moves east. Additional strong to severe storms
are possible across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
Sunday afternoon. Winds will remain breezy with gusts of 30 to 40
miles an hour.

For the rest of the week we will see additional rounds of rain and
thunderstorms, including the threat of severe weather and heavy
rains for mid week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
732 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

OKZ057-061-280100-
Craig OK-Rogers OK-
732 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL CRAIG AND NORTHEASTERN
ROGERS COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 731 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near
White Oak, moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Vinita...                         Welch...
Big Cabin...                      White Oak...
Hollow...                         Pyramid Corners...
Centralia...                      Centrailia...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 275 and 280.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3653 9522 3655 9542 3694 9541 3690 9505
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 188DEG 28KT 3660 9531

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Mejia

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
738 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0726 PM     Hail             16 WSW Apperson         36.68N 97.04W
04/27/2024  E1.00 Inch       Osage              OK   Amateur Radio

&&