Tornado Warning 20, NWS Tulsa, OK

751 
WWUS54 KTSA 280045
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
745 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

OKC113-280100-
/O.CON.KTSA.TO.W.0020.000000T0000Z-240428T0100Z/
Osage OK-
745 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL OSAGE COUNTY...

At 745 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 5 miles east of Ponca City, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
west central Osage County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3670 9705 3670 9703 3669 9700 3668 9694
      3672 9692 3675 9689 3675 9687 3674 9683
      3676 9682 3677 9682 3676 9677 3665 9689
      3663 9695 3664 9702 3668 9706
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 218DEG 36KT 3672 9697 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

277 
WWUS54 KTSA 280050
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
750 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

OKC113-280100-
/O.CON.KTSA.TO.W.0020.000000T0000Z-240428T0100Z/
Osage OK-
750 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL OSAGE COUNTY...

At 750 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 3 miles southwest of Kaw Lake, moving northeast at 40
mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
west central Osage County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3668 9694 3672 9692 3675 9689 3675 9687
      3674 9683 3676 9682 3677 9682 3676 9677
      3665 9689
TIME...MOT...LOC 0050Z 217DEG 33KT 3676 9694 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

764 
WWUS54 KTSA 280050 RRA
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
750 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

OKC113-280100-
/O.CON.KTSA.TO.W.0020.000000T0000Z-240428T0100Z/
Osage OK-
750 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL OSAGE COUNTY...

At 750 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 3 miles southwest of Kaw Lake, moving northeast at 40
mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
west central Osage County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3668 9694 3672 9692 3675 9689 3675 9687
      3674 9683 3676 9682 3677 9682 3676 9677
      3665 9689
TIME...MOT...LOC 0050Z 217DEG 33KT 3676 9693 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

853 
WWUS54 KTSA 280054
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
754 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

OKC113-280104-
/O.EXP.KTSA.TO.W.0020.000000T0000Z-240428T0100Z/
Osage OK-
754 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL OSAGE COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
800 PM CDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for northeastern
Oklahoma.

&&

LAT...LON 3668 9694 3672 9692 3675 9689 3675 9687
      3674 9683 3676 9682 3677 9682 3676 9677
      3665 9689
TIME...MOT...LOC 0054Z 217DEG 33KT 3678 9693 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
701 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Through Tonight)
Issued at 211 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Short-term severe weather and flash flood concerns dominate the
focus of the forecast today, with thunderstorm coverage expected
to increase through the rest of the afternoon and evening,
continuing well into Sunday. Thunderstorms are ongoing in western
Oklahoma, nearer to the dryline, with coverage also increasing in
central Oklahoma in the warm sector. CAMs continue to show the
warm sector activity expanding northeastward into eastern Oklahoma
and eventually western Arkansas mid to late afternoon into the
evening. Mesoanalysis and radar presentation would suggest that
northeast Oklahoma is at the greatest risk in the near term for
the bulk of this, with the rest of the forecast area following
toward evening. The expectation is that one or more lines of
storms will form to the west this evening and move eastward into
Sunday morning, as the upper level system moves into the Central
Plains. Forecast soundings are supportive of very large hail,
damaging winds and tornadoes this afternoon and evening, including
strong tornadoes, especially into northeast Oklahoma. While the
severe weather threat is not expected to completely diminish,
there should be a transition during the evening and into the
overnight toward a flash flood threat given unseasonably high
precipitable water values and potential for 2 to 5 inches -
locally 6 to 8 - of rain over a widespread area. The Flood Watch
has been expanded into all of eastern Oklahoma as well as
northwest and west central Arkansas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Saturday)
Issued at 211 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Thunderstorms producing heavy rain and at least a low chance for
severe weather will be ongoing across parts of eastern Oklahoma
and northwest and west central Arkansas, with an expected decrease
in coverage and intensity toward mid morning. Another round of
thunderstorms with severe weather potential is expected to develop
along the cold front/dryline Sunday afternoon and into the
evening, with a lesser but still existent potential for tornadoes
and very large hail. The Flood Watch may need to be extended in
time to account for this activity across eastern parts of the
watch area.

A short break in the active pattern is expected Monday and into
Tuesday, with a period of dry weather for much of those two days.
The dry weather will be short-lived with multiple rounds of
showers and thunderstorms, including some potential for severe
thunderstorms, mid to late week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 653 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Flying conditions are expected to worsen as we move through the
night and into Sunday morning as showers/storms become widespread
across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   81  63  77  55 /  40 100  80  10
FSM   81  66  77  61 /  40  70 100  50
MLC   81  65  76  60 /  40 100  90  10
BVO   80  61  77  51 /  40  90  70  10
FYV   78  63  74  57 /  40  80  90  50
BYV   78  63  73  57 /  30  60 100  60
MKO   80  63  74  58 /  40  90  90  10
MIO   80  62  73  54 /  30 100  90  30
F10   79  63  76  58 /  40 100  80  10
HHW   80  66  73  61 /  40  80  90  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for OKZ049-053>076.

AR...Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for ARZ001-002-010-011-019-
     020-029.

&&

SHORT TERM...22
LONG TERM....22
AVIATION...10

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
544 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
544 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

...SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...
...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT TONIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Critical.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Eastern Oklahoma.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Mainly Eastern Oklahoma.
	ONSET...This Evening.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Critical.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Eastern Oklahoma.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage and intensity
this evening. The threat of severe weather is present across the
entire area, but the greatest threat will be across eastern
Oklahoma. All severe hazards will be possible, including
tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds. By late this evening,
additional storms to the west will merge with ongoing activity,
and will shift the severe threat towards a heavy rain and flash
flooding threat. The highest flood threat remains across eastern
Oklahoma, but all areas have at least some potential. Total
rainfall in the hardest hit areas may exceed several inches.

Continue to pay special attention to forecast updates considering
the ongoing dual threat of severe weather and flooding rains through
tonight.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...
         Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...
            Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...
           Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Heavy rain will continue into Sunday across northwest Arkansas
before it finally moves east. Additional strong to severe storms
are possible across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
Sunday afternoon. Winds will remain breezy with gusts of 30 to 40
miles an hour.

For the rest of the week we will see additional rounds of rain and
thunderstorms, including the threat of severe weather and heavy
rains for mid week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
732 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

OKZ057-061-280100-
Craig OK-Rogers OK-
732 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL CRAIG AND NORTHEASTERN
ROGERS COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 731 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near
White Oak, moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Vinita...                         Welch...
Big Cabin...                      White Oak...
Hollow...                         Pyramid Corners...
Centralia...                      Centrailia...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 275 and 280.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3653 9522 3655 9542 3694 9541 3690 9505
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 188DEG 28KT 3660 9531

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Mejia

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
738 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0726 PM     Hail             16 WSW Apperson         36.68N 97.04W
04/27/2024  E1.00 Inch       Osage              OK   Amateur Radio

&&