River Flood Warning 302, NWS Atlanta, GA

272 
WGUS82 KFFC 272142
FLSFFC

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
542 PM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...

  Etowah River at GA 1 Loop near Rome affecting Floyd County.

GAC115-272245-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0302.240928T0224Z-240927T2142Z/
/ROEG1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
542 PM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Etowah River at GA 1 Loop near Rome.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:00 PM EDT Friday the stage was 29.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.5
    feet this evening.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3428 8502 3421 8503 3420 8512 3423 8517
      3428 8512


$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
149 PM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

...New 18Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 317 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

Key Messages

 - Strong winds and heavy rainfall from Helene will continue in
   the region this morning.

 - Conditions will improve rapidly this afternoon as precipitation
   ends and winds weaken.

Today:

At 3 AM, Helene was moving northwards through central Georgia. The
storm made landfall in the Big Bend region of Florida around 11 PM
yesterday as a category 4 storm. As of the last update from the
National Hurricane Center the storm was a category 1 hurricane. The
storm should continue to decrease in intensity as it moves into north
Georgia this morning. While the intensity may be falling, the storm
remains dangerous. Additional tree and power line damage is probable
as the storm moves northwards. Heavy tropical downpours will also
continue to exacerbate flooding concerns.

As we move into the late morning and early afternoon the rainfall
and winds from Helene will gradually diminish as what remains of the
system continues to rocket northwards. Guidance from the HREF favors
a few lingering upslope rain showers over the north Georgia
mountains this afternoon. Otherwise the rest of north and central
Georgia should be rain free by early afternoon. Though the rain will
have largely ended, local rivers and streams will continue to rise
as runoff filters through the drainage basins. Anyone with
interests that could be subject to river or stream flooding should
continue to monitor the river forecasts closely.

Tonight and Saturday:

The remnants of Helene should be absorbed into an upper level trough
over the Tennessee Valley tonight and Saturday. This should lead to
increased rainfall over Tennessee and Kentucky, and some of this
activity could wrap around into northern Georgia. A couple isolated
showers could develop as far south as central Georgia with the
diurnal heating Saturday afternoon. Any rainfall during this period
should be light and scattered, with most locations receiving less
than 0.10 inches of additional precipitation. Other than the minimal
precipitation chances, no significant weather impacts are expected
for storm clean up activities. Peak wind gusts should be in the 20
to 25 mph range Saturday afternoon and high temperatures will be in
the 70s.

Albright

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 317 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

Key Messages:

 - Due to excessive rainfall from Hurricane Helene river flooding
   will likely linger into the workweek, especially along the
   main stem rivers.

 - Dry weather and near average temperatures will prevail through
   the upcoming workweek.

Sunday through the Workweek:

Upper level troughing should hangout over the central Appalachians
through early next week. This will allow a slight chance of
thunderstorms to linger over the north Georgia mountains through
Monday. Given the saturated soils any thunderstorms could pose a
localized flooding risk. Drier air wrapping around the trough from
the west should help keep the rest of Georgia dry Sunday and Monday.

Ensemble guidance shifts the trough east into the Atlantic during
the second half of the workweek As this occurs an upper level ridge
should build in over the Southeast. Forecast confidence is high that
this will result in continued dry weather through the end of the
workweek (72 of 80 GEFS & EPS members produce less than 0.1 inches
or precipitation in Atlanta through next Friday). The overall
strength of the upper level ridge looks modest and this should keep
afternoon high temperatures near seasonal averages all week
(around 80 degrees).

Albright

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 142 PM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

What remains of Helene continues to move away. Low cigs will
gradually lift and thin this afternoon and evening. SW winds will
continue to be gusty into the early evening, with sustained speeds
gradually coming down by mid evening and gusts becoming less
frequent. Model guidance indicates some generally light showers may
pivot into the Atlanta metro area and AHN during the day Saturday as
the Helene remnant stalls near the TN/KY border. Some SW gusts near
20 knots will mix back to the surface by mid to late morning
Saturday.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium for Saturday showers and cig timing, high for other elements.

SEC

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          62  80  64  81 /  10  10  10  10
Atlanta         62  78  64  80 /  10  20  10  10
Blairsville     57  70  59  73 /  20  50  30  40
Cartersville    62  78  62  80 /  20  30  10  10
Columbus        64  83  65  85 /   0  10  10   0
Gainesville     62  76  64  78 /  10  20  20  10
Macon           63  83  66  84 /   0  10  10   0
Rome            63  75  62  80 /  30  40  10  20
Peachtree City  61  79  62  81 /  10  20  10  10
Vidalia         65  86  67  87 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for GAZ001>009-011>016-
019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>068-070>073-075.

Wind Advisory until 6 AM EDT Saturday for GAZ001>009.

Wind Advisory until 9 PM EDT this evening for GAZ011>016-019>025-
027-030>039-041>062-066>071-078>081-089>095-102>106.

Wind Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for GAZ072>076-082>086-
096>098-107>113.

SHORT TERM...SEC
LONG TERM....Albright
AVIATION...SEC

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
604 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-281015-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
604 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Tropical Storm Helene will continue to produce and elevated risk
for flash flooding and river flooding in north Georgia through
this morning. Gusty winds will also occur and may result in areas
of downed trees and power lines. Please use caution if traveling
and avoid crossing any flooded roadways.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible over northern Georgia
between Saturday and Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should be prepared for activation tonight into Friday
morning. Please relay any information about observed severe
weather to the NWS.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
124 PM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0857 PM     Tornado          2 NNE Jordan            32.06N 82.65W
09/26/2024                   Wheeler            GA   Emergency Mngr

            Corrects previous tornado report from Adams
            Cemetery Road and Highway 19. 2 Fatalities
            confirmed in a mobile home destroyed by the
            tornado.

&&

ks

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
131 PM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1239 AM     Flash Flood      1 SE Hapeville          33.65N 84.39W
09/27/2024                   Fulton             GA   Dept of Highways

            Crown Road was flooded and closed with
            vehicles stuck.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
138 PM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1201 AM     Tropical Cyclone 6 NNE Gainesville       34.38N 83.79W
09/27/2024                   Hall               GA   Dept of Highways

            A tree was downed on Wiley Road at Clarks
            Bridge Road.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
143 PM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1152 PM     Tropical Cyclone 3 E Alvaton             33.17N 84.54W
09/26/2024                   Meriwether         GA   Dept of Highways

            A tree was downed on Griffin Hwy at Mt.
            Carmel Rd.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
147 PM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0347 AM     Tropical Cyclone 3 E Villanow            34.67N 85.06W
09/27/2024                   Walker             GA   Dept of Highways

            A tree fell across GA-136 and caused a
            vehicle accident.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
150 PM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0446 AM     Tropical Cyclone 4 SSW Cedar Grove       32.20N 82.91W
09/27/2024                   Laurens            GA   Dept of Highways

            A tree was downed and blocked a southbound
            lane of SR-3.

&&