Flash Flood Warning 7, NWS Atlanta, GA

696 
WGUS72 KFFC 121720
FFSFFC

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1220 PM EST Mon Feb 12 2024

GAC053-145-197-215-263-121730-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-240212T1730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chattahoochee GA-Harris GA-Marion GA-Muscogee GA-Talbot GA-
1220 PM EST Mon Feb 12 2024

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR CENTRAL CHATTAHOOCHEE, 
SOUTHEASTERN HARRIS, NORTHWESTERN MARION, MUSCOGEE AND SOUTHWESTERN 
TALBOT COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 700 PM EST Monday for portions 
of north and central Georgia.

LAT...LON 3279 8448 3249 8453 3230 8494 3232 8500
      3234 8500 3236 8498 3237 8499 3238 8497
      3238 8499 3239 8498 3239 8497 3240 8498
      3241 8498 3242 8496 3244 8497 3245 8500
      3250 8500 3252 8501 3258 8507 3263 8509

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
339 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024

...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 337 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024

At a glance:

-Heavy Rain possible today. A flood watch is possible for much of
north and central Georgia.

-Severe WX along and south of the I-20 corridor as a stationary
front lifts to the north.

Showers and thunderstorms are moving through the area primarily
across the central part of the CWA. Storms have been sub severe with
a few statements for small hail. Given the lack of the instability
along the axis, it will be hard pressed for these storms to generate
severe weather during the overnight time period. That story changes
slightly as the cold front approaches close to dawn. By the time the
sun starts to come up, a number of models are indicating the
possibility of an MCS approaching the CWA's border. These storms are
definitely likely, but given the conditions during the overnight
hours and the timing of the front it is unlikely that the
environment which lacks SB CAPE and has only moderate bulk shear
values will support a widespread severe weather outbreak. That being
a few storms may contain damaging winds and the outside chance of an
isolate tornado can't be ruled out.

The bigger concern will likely be the flash flooding potential. Rain
bands are expected to remain in the same general location through
the morning and into the afternoon. A few locations at the SW end of
the Flood Watch have already seen up to two inches of rain with more
on the way.

The whole system is expected to clear the area by 8 PM. Gusty winds
will likely settle in on the back side of the system as the pressure
gradient tightens as high pressure moves in and a Wind Advisory may
be needed but given how much we have going on this morning the day
shift will have an opportunity to take a closer look at this and
make a decision.

Vaughn

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 337 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024

At a glance:

-Cooler temperatures are expected this week and into next weekend.

-Another round of precip is possible for the southern part of the CWA

Dry conditions are anticipated to continue through mid week up until
next weekend. As another weak impulse in the subtropical jet will
bring rain to the far southern parts of the CWA. At this time it
looks like this will mostly be a rain event with not instability to
work with we've kept thunder out of the grids.

Temps are expected to be pleasantly in the upper 50s and low 60s in
the afternoon. Overnight lows may be close to freezing for the
northern part of the CWA through the long term.

Vaughn

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1240 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024

We're knee deep in weather. RA with TSRA will continue to move
through the area during the overnight hours with another push of
TSRA from 05Z to 12Z. As a result, CIGS will be mostly IFR through
the night improving to MVFR after 20Z. Gusty winds will accompany
the rise in CIGS with some gusts up to 25kts out of the SW. VIS will
fall to around 3SM during periods of RA/TSRA and improve after 20Z
as the rest of the WX moves out.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...

Medium to High on all elements.

Vaughn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          65  45  58  33 / 100  50   0   0
Atlanta         66  41  54  36 /  90  30   0   0
Blairsville     60  37  50  30 / 100  70   0   0
Cartersville    66  40  54  30 / 100  20   0   0
Columbus        71  44  59  35 / 100  10   0   0
Gainesville     63  40  55  34 / 100  50   0   0
Macon           70  47  59  35 / 100  40   0   0
Rome            67  39  55  31 / 100  20   0   0
Peachtree City  67  42  56  32 / 100  20   0   0
Vidalia         73  50  61  37 / 100  50   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through this evening for GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-
027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>085-089>097.

&&

SHORT TERM...Vaughn
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...Vaughn

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
352 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-130900-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
352 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

A line of storms capable of producing severe weather is expected
to move into the area this morning. These storms could produce
damaging winds frequent lightning and few isolated tornadoes.

Moderate to heavy rainfall and localized flooding will be
possible today. A Flood Watch remains in effect through the
evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1228 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024

GAZ031>033-042>044-120600-
North Fulton GA-Douglas GA-Cobb GA-Carroll GA-Paulding GA-
South Fulton GA-
1228 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern
Paulding, eastern Carroll, southwestern Cobb, Douglas and
southwestern Fulton Counties through 100 AM EST
...

At 1228 AM EST, a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from Temple to near Treasure Lake to near Clem, and moving
east at 65 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, frequent cloud to ground lightning and
         heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
         street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Locations impacted include...
Atlanta, Marietta, Douglasville, Carrollton, City of South Fulton,
Smyrna, East Point, Union City, Villa Rica, College Park, Powder
Springs, Fairburn, Austell, Palmetto, Temple, Hiram, Whitesburg,
Lithia Springs, Chattahoochee Hills, and Fair Oaks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3360 8508 3370 8510 3372 8505 3379 8505
      3397 8455 3373 8443 3355 8448 3351 8472
      3351 8485 3349 8486 3346 8510
TIME...MOT...LOC 0528Z 259DEG 56KT 3375 8501 3363 8499 3350 8503

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
107 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024

GAZ056-066>068-120630-
Troup GA-Spalding GA-Meriwether GA-Pike GA-
107 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Spalding, northern Meriwether, northwestern Pike and east central
Troup Counties through 130 AM EST
...

At 106 AM EST, a strong thunderstorm was over Mountville, or 8 miles
east of LaGrange, moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind, pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
         ground lightning.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Greenville, Gay, Rocky Mount, Mountville, Odessadale, Hollonville,
Alvaton, Digbey, Big Springs, Wooster, Saint Marks, Louise, and
Hilltop.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3322 8458 3322 8451 3323 8450 3325 8451
      3326 8449 3326 8445 3313 8436 3298 8492
      3307 8496
TIME...MOT...LOC 0606Z 245DEG 51KT 3304 8488

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
334 AM EST Mon Feb 12 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1258 AM     Hail             3 NNE Smiths Crossroad  32.99N 85.00W
02/12/2024  E1.00 inch       Troup              GA   Law Enforcement

            Deputies reporting quarter size hail on
            Hamilton Rd at Sam Walker Dr.

&&