Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2023

Tornado Watch 55

March 2, 20239 counties in Oklahoma; 64 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 2, 2023, 2:58 PM CST for 9 counties in Oklahoma; 64 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 2, 2023, 2:58 PM CST (20:58 UTC)
Expired: Mar 2, 2023, 11:52 PM CST
In force: 9 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 3 in
Strongest gust expected: 65 kt

All 73 counties

Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Angelina County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Marion County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Mills County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Panola County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wise County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 30%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 60%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 70%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 95%

Warnings issued inside it

97 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 2, 3:10 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Cooke, Grayson	35 min
Mar 2, 3:24 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Pittsburg	51 min
Mar 2, 3:33 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Cooke, Grayson	57 min
Mar 2, 3:40 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Atoka, Bryan, Johnston, Marshall	50 min
Mar 2, 3:44 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	FWD	Eastland, Stephens	61 min
Mar 2, 3:56 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	OUN	Bryan	64 min
Mar 2, 4:01 PM CST	Tornado Warning	FWD	Stephens	29 min
Mar 2, 4:05 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	FWD	Fannin, Grayson	55 min
Mar 2, 4:08 PM CST	Tornado Warning	OUN	Bryan	37 min
Mar 2, 4:11 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, McIntosh, Pittsburg	34 min
Mar 2, 4:22 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Atoka, Coal	38 min
Mar 2, 4:23 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Palo Pinto	67 min
Mar 2, 4:28 PM CST	Tornado Warning	OUN	Atoka, Bryan	30 min
Mar 2, 4:29 PM CST	Tornado Warning	FWD	Hopkins	31 min
Mar 2, 4:33 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	SHV	Franklin, Red River, Titus	27 min
Mar 2, 4:38 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Harrison, Marion	37 min
Mar 2, 4:39 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	51 min
Mar 2, 4:44 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	OUN	Bryan	31 min
Mar 2, 4:46 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Atoka, Bryan	32 min
Mar 2, 4:48 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	FWD	Fannin, Lamar	37 min
Mar 2, 4:49 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	TSA	Choctaw	41 min
Mar 2, 4:58 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Franklin, Red River, Titus	47 min
Mar 2, 4:59 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	FWD	Parker	61 min
Mar 2, 5:01 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Harrison	29 min
Mar 2, 5:02 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Cass, Marion	28 min
Mar 2, 5:09 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	SHV	Franklin, Red River, Titus	36 min
Mar 2, 5:15 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Comanche	60 min
Mar 2, 5:18 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Latimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha	27 min
Mar 2, 5:21 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	24 min
Mar 2, 5:22 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Atoka, Coal	6 hr
Mar 2, 5:24 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Cass, Harrison, Marion	28 min
Mar 2, 5:27 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Denton, Wise	63 min
Mar 2, 5:30 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Choctaw	15 min
Mar 2, 5:31 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Pushmataha	23 min
Mar 2, 5:35 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha	40 min
Mar 2, 5:35 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threat	FWD	Tarrant	55 min
Mar 2, 5:39 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Erath, Hood, Somervell	66 min
Mar 2, 5:40 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	McCurtain	50 min
Mar 2, 5:41 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Choctaw	34 min
Mar 2, 5:45 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Mills	60 min
Mar 2, 5:50 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Hamilton	55 min
Mar 2, 5:55 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Bowie, Cass	35 min
Mar 2, 5:56 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Lampasas	64 min
Mar 2, 5:56 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threat	FWD	Denton	34 min
Mar 2, 5:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	FWD	Johnson	78 min
Mar 2, 6:05 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore	25 min
Mar 2, 6:05 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Bosque	55 min
Mar 2, 6:06 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threat	FWD	Collin, Dallas	69 min
Mar 2, 6:25 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Coryell	65 min
Mar 2, 6:27 PM CST	Tornado Warning	FWD	Dallas	33 min
Mar 2, 6:28 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	SHV	McCurtain	47 min
Mar 2, 6:28 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Denton, Tarrant	32 min
Mar 2, 6:29 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Grayson	31 min
Mar 2, 6:29 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Ellis, Hill	61 min
Mar 2, 6:38 PM CST	Tornado Warning	FWD	Coryell, Lampasas	37 min
Mar 2, 6:48 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threat	FWD	Kaufman	72 min
Mar 2, 6:49 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	FWD	Hunt, Rockwall	71 min
Mar 2, 6:50 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	FWD	Bell	70 min
Mar 2, 6:51 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Fannin	54 min
Mar 2, 6:55 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Bosque, Hill, McLennan	65 min
Mar 2, 7:07 PM CST	Tornado Warning	FWD	Bell, Coryell	23 min
Mar 2, 7:10 PM CST	Tornado Warning	FWD	Fannin, Lamar	50 min
Mar 2, 7:14 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Choctaw	4 hr
Mar 2, 7:17 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Freestone, Henderson, Limestone, Navarro	58 min
Mar 2, 7:19 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	41 min
Mar 2, 7:25 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Pushmataha	4 hr
Mar 2, 7:26 PM CST	Tornado Warning	FWD	Bell, Coryell, Falls, McLennan	34 min
Mar 2, 7:29 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Ellis, Hill	31 min
Mar 2, 7:29 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	FWD	Delta, Lamar	76 min
Mar 2, 7:33 PM CST	Tornado Warning	FWD	Bell, Milam	27 min
Mar 2, 7:36 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	FWD	Hopkins, Kaufman, Rains, Van Zandt	69 min
Mar 2, 7:37 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Falls, Freestone, Limestone, Milam, Robertson	68 min
Mar 2, 7:42 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Latimer, Pushmataha	48 min
Mar 2, 7:44 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	46 min
Mar 2, 7:45 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Camp, Franklin, Gregg, Morris, Smith, Titus and 2 more	60 min
Mar 2, 7:50 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Latimer, LeFlore	5 hr
Mar 2, 7:55 PM CST	Tornado Warning	FWD	Milam	35 min
Mar 2, 8:03 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	McCurtain	57 min
Mar 2, 8:08 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	FWD	Anderson, Freestone, Henderson, Kaufman, Limestone, Navarro and 1 more	82 min
Mar 2, 8:23 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	67 min
Mar 2, 8:35 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Falls, Freestone, Leon, Limestone, Milam, Robertson	55 min
Mar 2, 8:39 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Bowie, Franklin, Morris, Red River, Titus	36 min
Mar 2, 8:41 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Camp, Franklin, Gregg, Morris, Smith, Titus and 2 more	64 min
Mar 2, 8:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	McCurtain	63 min
Mar 2, 9:26 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Anderson, Freestone, Leon	64 min
Mar 2, 9:30 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bowie, Cass, Harrison, Marion, Panola, Rusk	60 min
Mar 2, 9:43 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	SHV	Bowie	62 min
Mar 2, 9:50 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Camp, Gregg, Morris, Smith, Upshur	25 min
Mar 2, 9:54 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Angelina, Cherokee, Nacogdoches, Rusk	66 min
Mar 2, 10:28 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bowie, Cass, Harrison, Marion	47 min
Mar 2, 10:30 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Harrison	26 min
Mar 2, 10:34 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Cherokee, Nacogdoches	41 min
Mar 2, 10:37 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Harrison, Marion	38 min
Mar 2, 10:52 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Angelina, Cherokee, Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, San Augustine and 1 more	53 min
Mar 2, 11:10 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	SHV	Nacogdoches, Rusk, Shelby	14 min
Mar 2, 11:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Harrison	61 min
Mar 2, 11:41 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Harrison, Nacogdoches, Panola, Sabine, San Augustine, Shelby	64 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 105 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 229 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -360 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1472 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 79 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 343 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 436 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 2, 7:23 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Coal, Haskell, Hughes, Latimer, McIntosh, Murray and 8 more	3 hr
Mar 2, 12:48 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Carter, Coal, Cotton, Garvin, Jefferson, Johnston and 5 more	6 hr
Mar 2, 12:53 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Craig, Delaware, Nowata, Ottawa, Rogers, Washington	67 min
Mar 2, 2:38 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Atoka, Bryan, Choctaw, Coal, Haskell, Latimer and 4 more	3 hr
Mar 2, 5:10 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Choctaw, McCurtain	2 hr
Mar 1, 10:21 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Atascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, DeWitt and 10 more	114 min
Mar 2, 4:11 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Brazos, Burleson and 19 more	3 hr
Mar 2, 10:55 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Callahan, Coleman, Cooke, Denton, Eastland, Erath and 11 more	3 hr
Mar 2, 1:01 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Eastland and 16 more	2 hr
Mar 2, 1:30 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Fisher and 17 more	6 hr
Mar 2, 3:29 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Callahan, Coleman, Cooke, Jack, Montague, Shackelford and 4 more	2 hr
Mar 2, 4:51 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Atascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Caldwell and 15 more	54 min
Mar 2, 5:08 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Caldwell and 16 more	5 hr
Mar 2, 5:43 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Coryell, Dallas and 18 more	2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2023 Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2023 Every tornado watch in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.