Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2023
Tornado Watch 37
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 16, 2023, 4:51 AM CST for 5 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 16, 2023, 4:51 AM CST (10:51 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 16, 2023, 12:00 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 91 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Independence County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Butler County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Benton County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 4:53 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Gibson | 3 hr |
| Feb 16, 5:00 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Weakley | 3 hr |
| Feb 16, 5:22 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | White | 38 min |
| Feb 16, 5:24 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Crockett, Dyer, Haywood, Lauderdale | 2 hr |
| Feb 16, 5:25 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Henry, Weakley | 3 hr |
| Feb 16, 5:41 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Carroll, Gibson, Henderson, Madison | 49 min |
| Feb 16, 6:24 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Livingston, Lyon, Marshall | 30 min |
| Feb 16, 7:18 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Daviess, Hopkins, McLean, Muhlenberg, Webster | 4 hr |
| Feb 16, 7:25 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Carroll, Crockett, Dyer, Gibson, Haywood, Lauderdale | 5 hr |
| Feb 16, 7:49 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Carroll, Henry, Weakley | 5 hr |
| Feb 16, 9:11 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Crittenden, Hopkins, Livingston, Lyon, Marshall and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 16, 11:54 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | OHX | Houston, Montgomery, Stewart | 4 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 374 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -84 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 892 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 64 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 186 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 306 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.4
- Supercell composite
- 3.6
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 9:21 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Crawford, Franklin, Logan, Montgomery, Polk and 3 more | 54 min |
| Feb 15, 9:22 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clay and 31 more | 8 hr |
| Feb 15, 9:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson, Logan and 7 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 15, 10:50 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Cleveland, Crittenden and 9 more | 115 min |
| Feb 15, 11:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Fulton and 10 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 15, 11:38 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Conway, Crawford, Franklin, Fulton and 15 more | 67 min |
| Feb 16, 2:26 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Fulton, Izard, Pope, Searcy, Stone and 1 more | 94 min |
| Feb 16, 4:08 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Clay, Cleveland and 28 more | 67 min |
| Feb 16, 7:30 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett, St. Francis | 90 min |
| Feb 16, 7:54 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Chicot | 2 hr |
| Feb 16, 9:23 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Desha, Drew, Lee, Phillips | 2 hr |
| Feb 16, 11:33 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Barren, Clinton, Cumberland, Metcalfe, Monroe and 2 more | 27 min |
| Feb 16, 12:00 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Allen, Barren, Clinton, Cumberland, Logan, Metcalfe and 3 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 16, 2:02 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Barren, Cumberland, Metcalfe, Monroe, Simpson | 118 min |
| Feb 16, 3:42 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clinton, Cumberland, Monroe | 2 hr |
| Feb 16, 9:59 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adams, Amite, Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw and 45 more | 9 hr |
| Feb 16, 11:37 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Amite, Attala, Claiborne, Clarke, Copiah and 28 more | 83 min |
| Feb 16, 1:50 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Greene, Perry, Wayne | 6 hr |
| Feb 16, 2:20 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clarke, Covington, Forrest, Greene, Jasper, Jefferson Davis and 10 more | 55 min |
| Feb 16, 5:56 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clarke, Covington, Forrest, George, Greene, Harrison and 11 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 16, 2:00 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Nodaway | 6 hr |
| Feb 16, 5:57 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bedford, Bledsoe, Cannon, Coffee, Cumberland, DeKalb and 15 more | 93 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2023Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2023Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2023Every tornado watch in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.