Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2023
Tornado Watch 38
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 16, 2023, 9:59 AM CST for 4 parishes in Louisiana; 51 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 16, 2023, 9:59 AM CST (15:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 16, 2023, 7:00 PM CST
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 55 counties
Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 70%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 11:39 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Amite | 2 hr |
| Feb 16, 1:24 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Smith | 40 min |
| Feb 16, 1:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Carroll, Montgomery | 30 min |
| Feb 16, 1:51 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Jasper | 54 min |
| Feb 16, 2:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Marion | 50 min |
| Feb 16, 2:16 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Marion | 30 min |
| Feb 16, 4:45 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Copiah, Franklin, Lincoln | 3 hr |
| Feb 16, 4:51 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Amite | 117 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 41 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 415 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -108 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 594 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 215 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 265 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 1.5
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 9:22 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Catahoula, Claiborne and 19 more | 8 hr |
| Feb 15, 10:50 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jackson, Lincoln, Morehouse, Ouachita, Union, West Carroll | 115 min |
| Feb 16, 7:54 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Avoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, East Feliciana and 14 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 16, 4:08 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bolivar, Coahoma, DeSoto, Marshall, Panola, Quitman and 2 more | 67 min |
| Feb 16, 4:51 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Benton, Coahoma, DeSoto, Marshall, Panola, Quitman and 2 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 16, 7:30 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | DeSoto, Marshall | 90 min |
| Feb 16, 9:23 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Bolivar, Coahoma, DeSoto, Marshall, Panola and 3 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 16, 11:33 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alcorn, Benton, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lafayette and 10 more | 27 min |
| Feb 16, 11:37 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Amite, Attala, Claiborne, Clarke, Copiah and 28 more | 83 min |
| Feb 16, 12:00 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alcorn, Benton, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lafayette and 13 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 16, 1:50 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Greene, Perry, Wayne | 6 hr |
| Feb 16, 2:02 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alcorn, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe and 5 more | 118 min |
| Feb 16, 2:20 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clarke, Covington, Forrest, Greene, Jasper, Jefferson Davis and 10 more | 55 min |
| Feb 16, 3:42 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Prentiss, Tishomingo | 2 hr |
| Feb 16, 5:56 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clarke, Covington, Forrest, George, Greene, Harrison and 11 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2023Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2023Every tornado watch in 2023
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.